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Steve C

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Everything posted by Steve C

  1. Steve C
    It's gone
  2. Steve C
    Heathrow 'only' 30C now.
  3. Steve C
    NMM shows highest temperatures at 1 and 2 o'clock - so relatively early. Maybe this is cloud build up based? However the 4 o'clock chart shows a reasonable amount of clear sky.
  4. Steve C
    Yep, tomorrow...
  5. Steve C
    I wonder whether we might get one spectacular storm tomorrow, in our area, if as noted earlier, we can set a sea breeze convergence or similar then? Typical how the sky is so absolutely loaded with potential, yet is likely to stay that way. A bit like a store of gunpowder, but no-one has a match.
  6. Steve C
    Question for more knowledgeable people. NMM has great CAPE, LI over us tomorrow evening. CIN doesn't look a massive issue. Precipitable water is good. The TT Index is good. And yet the thunderstorm potential for our area is not looking good. Convective precipitation forecast (as good as it gets) shown. What is missing? (both from the forecast and my knowledge) Is it a forcing element?
  7. Steve C
    Thanks for the clarification and my midnight chuckle. For some reason I've always thought you supported Chelsea. Maybe it's because of your relative proximity to a successful team in blue. I definitely appreciate that you know your Stuff though.
  8. Steve C
    I hope 'bluearmy' - Chelski fan? is wrong. So easy to predict a non record, even if I think he'll be correct...
  9. Steve C
    My point is that models are bound to wax and wane. I'd be a bit annoyed if things changed drastically 24 hours out, but it's pure fun / speculation to me at this point. Some sort of hot spell does look very likely (32C being indicated for Wednesday on this run too) but whatever will be, will be. I think watching without fretting is the best thing to do now (as ever this far out tbh)
  10. Steve C
    And Friday at 3pm next week. Can't believe people panic, or set things in stone so far out...
  11. Steve C
    Good publicity for Netweather? http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3138816/Glastonbury-Wimbledon-UK-weather-Britain-set-hottest-temperatures-year-week.html Normal Daily Mail reader type comments below though.
  12. Steve C
    Obviously nothing dramatic happened, but your work was a good effort, IMO.
  13. Steve C
    The way this year has gone, it might be an 'if'
  14. Steve C
    I like the way the storms have been best over East Anglia (or hopefully so far ). Their capricious nature is great IMHO.
  15. Steve C
    That's the thing though. Have no expectations and you won't be disappointed - just look at the normal parameters of the Estofex charts... I saw nothing today. but was glad that East Anglia saw developing storms. I'm happy enough.
  16. Steve C
    Brilliant!
  17. Steve C
    The towers have moved off. Whether they'll benefit north EA? Who knows.
  18. Steve C
    Towers going up now.
  19. Steve C
    There was altocumulus when you posted. Now just hazy cirrus.
  20. Steve C
    In more positive news, 24C at Lakenheath now and temperatures rising nicely on the near continent. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=ukuk&LAND=UK&REGION=0003&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=kartealle&RUBRIK=akt&DATE=1434103200&CEL=C&SI=mph
  21. Steve C
    Met Office update. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=uk&from=rss&sn=A5C385DC-3885-E332-722C-DAA312C731C1_9_EE&tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1434063600 The same area and matrix as yesterday, but the wording, to me, suggests something of a downgrade.
  22. Steve C
    Was going to post similar satellite picture. Looks good to me! Mixed layer CAPE charts from NMM from midday till midnight, in 3 hourly steps. Again, all fine and dandy!
  23. Steve C
    Humdinger
  24. Steve C
    Yes, was a very optimistic forecast. The penguins were funny too!
  25. Steve C
    Only thin high level cloud here, so here's hoping GFS has got this wrong.
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