Steve C

To be honest, like always, it's potential. Radar watching will soon come to the fore. I'd say the 12z runs are better than the earlier ones today though.

Very impressive CAPE charts on the 12z NMM. Surface Based CAPE for 3 o'clock tomorrow afternoon for instance.

I'd stay where you are. You've better photo opportunities, being on an island IMHO (big skies in all directions) and as long as the activity is relatively near you, committing to a ferry might end up being a pain (you can't just say 'change direction' to the ferry operator etc.) If you know the activity is going to be a two hour plus ferry journey, as a minimum, then you could decide to do it. The likelihood, before the radar watching timescale, though, is that you'll likely be in a reasonable place where you are.

Kind of puts the weather into perspective.

Sorry, nowhere near correct, but hope you made it home.

Edited

Just go outside with your family and sit in your car. As long as you're insured and very strong winds aren't an issue, you'll be fine. More seriously though, why think too much before a further 36/48 hours? I was in a sweet spot last Friday for England, but didn't expect it and it was a nice surprise.

Yep, totally agree!

That's the thing with storms. Unless there's an exceptional event, most people are likely to miss out. I did far better than I was expecting today. Have low expectations and you won't be disappointed IMHO (unless jealousy is an issue) Also, at some point, most people will strike the jackpot. Having a chilled drink in the Pointer, enjoying the Summer weather.

This would be the same cell as 'Clouds Above' photographed. The structure is obviously the same. Tracking through the radar sequence, it formed near Crawley at 5:00, tracked along the M25, over Dartford, went east of Chelmsford, North of Colchester and Ipswich and finally lost its identity somewhere near Beccles at 8:00. Almost constant constant thunder heard, from what was mostly intracloud lightning. Another storm formed soon afterwards and had a similarly long track, but went slightly east of this.

Amazing sferics in Lowestoft / Yarmouth area now! http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime

Lightning near Channel Islands... http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime

Certainly looked good then... But it has to be said that the 12z run downgraded the intensity and shifted things east. Still showing good potential for the east, much as Blessed Weather's BBC screen captures. Getting near to radar time only now though.

The million dollar question. Undoubtedly it'll do for some of us. I've also noted the Met Office wording and grid - 'scattered' and low probability / high impact. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=uk&from=rss&sn=F1B2B0B2-C1D4-75F2-E599-B890C7E18A92_4_EE&tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1433458800 I'm half tempted to go to bed seriously early and wake in the early hours to radar watch and possibly take a drive...

From Hi Res NMM. CAPE / LI and TT Index at 6 AM tomorrow. CAPE / LI and TT Index at Midday (slightly IMBY) but showing the progression of the plume and the potential severity of the storms.

There's no way I'd get over excited by storm potential 2 to 3 days out. Yes, there's obviously potential, but we know how things can go astray - there have been many times that storms have ended up tracking further west than expected, leaving our area in warm humid weather, which has transitioned to cooler and fresher, with hardly more than a layer of cloud at the boundary. Definitely to bear in mind, but not to 'hang a hat on' yet.

Crap May in my neck of the woods (right near the Coast) and I agree with Stainesbloke about the poxy wind - the worst feature of the month here!

I suppose they need to tie in VE, with a Bank Holiday weekend.

I agree with the severe gales thing. As a kid, I loved them, as I had very little responsibility. Now, owning property etcetera, I view early weather warnings with a certain amount of anxiety. Other than that, my tastes haven't changed too much. I loathe raw cloudy cold, without snow, but like snow and clear crisp weather. I like weather to be 'seasonal'

After a cloudy daybreak, we now have a beautiful Spring day in Lowestoft. Unfortunately the ants are enjoying it too.

Can't believe people are getting so excited about the chilly spell coming up, in the normal ramping place... Okay, there will be some nice cloudscapes, but the potential for sharp frosts is not good at all for growers, especially commercial growers. I'm hoping the winds don't drop out too much at night... In terms of temperatures this late in the year, it should be borne in mind that we've only had the grand total of 5 CET days, with temperatures at or below zero celsius, in April, since 1772. Four of those days were in the first three days of April. In terms of CET maximum temperatures, well we've had the grand total of 10 of those days in April, since 1878, where the temperature has not exceeded 4C. The last time was in 1968. Realism needed I think (and I'm not saying there's no chance of some of us seeing wintry precipitation early next week)

I guess you're in that business then? Would love your customers to read this...