[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

14 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

Still at least 6 hours of heavy snow in Bath according to the MetO app

That would produce large accumulations seeing as it will settle instantly! No rain to snow event   

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

One thing to remember folks - this type of set up may not happen again for years!! Enjoy the moment. A few weeks ago i'd have given a lot just for a few cm's of snow! We now have the prospect of possibly 20cm + !!! 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

12 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Everything’s missing me now I’m home  

if I was to get 10cm I’ll be absolutely chuffed to bits!!!

I await Ian’s updates with great interest!

Yes, Ian will take us through into Fridays forecast - Unlike Darren Bett just now!....feline!! lol

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

19 minutes ago, AWD said:

Latest from the Meto;

 

That's the best thing I've seen all day

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

One thing i haven't being discussed regarding Thurs/friday, is likely snow depths? Anyone have any ideas what we're looking at?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

latest BBC forecast (updated 20 mins ago on website) looks very very good for us Thurs/Friday ! Looks all snow, and we get a fair a mount from two separate fronts associated with that low   Fingers crossed it delivers for us!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

First snow flurry here in Warminster

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

5 minutes ago, PerfectStorm said:

Especially for those in the NE, I think you'll be talking about this one for a very long time!

Yes, and the people of Portugal ?

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

1 minute ago, Weathizard said:

ukmo at 120

wow!!!! it doesn't get much better surely

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

3 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:

Updated 120hr FAX chart seems to have the HP further north than the UKMO model was showing earlier.

Also, an incoming trough just making landfall on the east coast.

Quite a slack flow though isn't it? looks cold, but not very snowy

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

2 minutes ago, radiohead said:

Absolutely stunning and so much better than the 12Z at this timeframe.

That really is quite something! The military will be digging people out if this comes off ?

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

1 hour ago, Nick L said:

I wish you guys could see the precip charts on the EC. Serious disruption Tues and Wed on this run across swathes of the country.

Yes, but lady on the lunch time BBC forecast said next week is looking "dry" !!  hopefully she sobers up before tomorrows shift!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards]

15 minutes ago, Nights King said:

At the moment I would say that is a fair assessment away from east coasts?

I think that's a terrible assessment. How on earth can they say that given the model output!? She should have said, next week is looking bitterly cold with the a strong possibility of snow. The word "dry" will just make her look daft!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards]

So the lunchtime BBC forecast said Next week cold but dry!!?? 

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

someone just called the met office and said there's a BEAST on the way,......there isn't, its just a cold snap......?

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

I would love to see this cold come off as much as the next person, BUT, If I had a penny for every time i've seen BOOM turn to GLOOM over the years, i'd have my own chalet in Courchevel and wouldn't need to read this thread! Caution still needed folks

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards]

what's everyone's thoughts on this afternoon? Looking at the radar there doesn't seem to be heavy precip in the midlands/wales? Have they got it wrong??

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards]

temp dropping here in Warminster, and light rain turning to sleet/snow

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards]

I need snow so badly its driving me crazy 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 09/12/2017 onwards]

Experience told me the snow line would move further south, but this seems too good t be true!

 

[Hurricane Irma]

I spoke to my uncle in Florida yesterday. He's really worried. He lives near Naples (east coast) and can't get away now. The highways are clogged and there's no fuel in the gas stations and water is sold out in the supermarkets It's not just the wind that's so worrying. The storm surge will be like the sea coming into the towns. I have a very bad feeling about this storm, I really fear for a great loss of life and catastrophic destruction

[Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards]

19 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Euro4 says no to snowfest Friday

 

Perhaps it might start as rain, but it will increasingly turn to snow as the system draws in air from the east 

[South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat, 6th December and Onwards...]

25 minutes ago, fergieweather said:

Bizarrely, someone yesterday or today on a thread even suggested the tropical feature 'wasn't a key player'. It's THE key fly in ointment. Pump tropical moisture north via a very rare January hurricane/tropical storm into our wintry latitudes and then just sit and watch the models go beserk. Latest UKMO-GM just one potential outcome of many (albeit looking a very interesting one for the snow lovers, at some point).

I was only thinking earlier, if there was a possibility of a collision between the Storm and our cold air. Perhaps the Express will have their snowbomb after all !!

[South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat]

Just wrote this

When snow falls, time stands still.

The child from within rekindles with my soul,

The elegant way it falls, is gentle and familiar

It floats with grace, and speaks to me like an old friend

As if from another world, it wants to be noticed

From gloom to bright, it changes the world in one night

My old friend snow, I love you so

[Model Output Discussion - 23rd Jan - 12z onwards]

ECM 'ok' tonight-

 

However its all about the JMA tonight-  the best realistic run thus far....

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/jma.php?ech=24&mode=1&nh=1&archive=0

 

S

Oh come on Steve. JMA never gets credit! One good run does not = reliable model!