staplehurst

If those cells over Suffolk/Essex could merge with those in Cambridgeshire that would do Norwich just fine later - at the moment there's a horrible gap heading this way between the two storms.

Looks like it will pass to the south of us sadly. We ideally need something to sprout up in between the two of them.

some light 'convective' rain here in Norwich about 7.30pm, been dry since but very humid, sticky and overcast with weak signs of mammatus. Am sure I heard a couple of faint rumbles during the light shower at 7.30.

This looks increasingly like a Kent clipper to me

Monday 25th May (Bank Holiday), I remember it well. Though the MCS provided very unexpected cloud forecast and severely hampered our chances for sever thunderstorms later in the day, which was the forecast the night before. Pat has a quote from me (old username) in his signature I think :lol:

Chatham tends to benefit from storms moreso than other parts of Kent, particularly where I live (in the Weald of Kent). The UHI of London effect can create storms over London which then drift down the Thames Estuary, or equally during ENE shower trains the proximity of your location to the sea helps you receive the showers during their most intense stage. However when it comes to storms moving from the south, it all depends on whether they survive when they reach our shores. Otherwise it's just the south and east coasts of Kent that see anything, whilst the rest of us usually get just plain old rain.

It's only being pushed west so that the usual eastward movement can commence tomorrow

Looks like all models are stuck on the runs prior to the 12z - again.

Numerous anvils seen lining up to the east of Norwich today, in Norwich itself we've had some pretty hefty downpours with hail mixed in, and a very sudden increase in wind on approach of each shower. Very gusty indeed, and some very fast moving low scud at times too. Very active day here.

surely you've had your year's worth of storm fixes in the States? quite a cluster of sferics in the North Sea currently, why do storms seem to last longer over a cold sea than land recently?

In the end it was the UKMO model to step down and fall back in line with GFS - interesting...

There is still some disagreement between the UKMO High Res and the GFS, UKMO is keen to throw some potent cells in the channel and clip E Sussex/Kent tomorrow evening, GFS keeps all precip over France until Wednesday itself. Thing is UKMO and GFS are both being persistent in their positioning - one of them has to give eventually!

I've been watching that for a few days now, and it looks like tomorrow night might see a slim risk of a few storms clipping Kent - shame I'm in Norfolk at the moment! Does look like some big storms in France though.

Very rapid convection here in Norwich, getting very dark now and generally overcast. Feels very muggy.

Cumulus building slowly through the afternoon in Earlham Park, Norwich. Feeling hot in the sunshine but a nice moderate breeze cools things down.

sferics there on ATD now

A little bit of an improvement for Norwich this evening on the past 2 GFS runs, will watch eagerly this afternoon

Fingers crossed for Norwich on Sunday evening then

Isn't that always the way? For the past several years that I have been observing GFS Storm charts, something will pop-up, will be persistent, but in the days running up to the event it will shift further southwards and eastwards away from the country - the same can be applied to snow at times too. Most frustrating.

NAE Keen to 'dump' 40-60mm of rain in areas between the M4 and roughly the M6 - flooding certainly likely.

This cold front has been delayed with every consecutive forecast. Any futher delays and the storms over north France may actually graze the far southeast of Kent tomorrow evening (shame I'm in Norwich!)

Cracking pictures, the anvils did look pretty impressive as they approached

Same! We were walking onto campus and it absolutely poured it down, we were all soaked. The base of the cloud was lit up in an eerie-orange glow from the setting sun.

Amazing anvils to my west, 3 in total, the most southerly one looks like a straight track to Norwich,

Yes I wondered that earlier, so I emailed them asking when they expect their site to be back online. This was their reply: