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staplehurst

Pro Forecaster / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by staplehurst

  1. staplehurst
    The GFS has been persistent for at least 3 days now (that's as long as I have been looking at next Saturday's potential) for a pulse of mostly light-moderate snow to spread into eastern England and last for much of the day. Some runs take it further north into eastern Scotland, others take it further south. Whatever the case, this cold spell looks particularly good for Kent. Shame I'm in Norfolk until late March. Nevertheless, I look forward to the snow showers here late Tuesday onwards.
  2. staplehurst
    sferic at Dartford on ATD
  3. staplehurst
    This is nice Been snowing for a few hours now, about 1.5cm on top of the existing 18cm :lol:
  4. staplehurst
    The area covered by this thread as a whole. The coast will probably see less because it will fall as sleet/rain etc though the NAE also seems keen to have it fall as snow throughout, so who knows Things are starting to look promising
  5. staplehurst
    Has she made it back yet SQ1? I'm still here until Saturday lol It should ideally be at UEA already
  6. staplehurst
    I see the 12z NAE increase the precip for most of our region, before it was 1-3cm widely now it seems 2-5cm is more likely.
  7. staplehurst
    as expected, Darren seemed more excited about the mild air returning this weekend than this afternoon's snowfall in the SW. still, 1-3cm widely over the region tomorrow morning seems likely.
  8. staplehurst
    Oh Dear, mild ramper Darren Bett is doing the forecast on BBC One, and his first line so far on News Channel has been 'it will turn milder this weekend'.
  9. staplehurst
    Depends on the complicated setup I guess, as explained by Nick F earlier. I should rephrase, the NAE suggests 1-3 mm widely, whether that falls entirely as snow or not is up for debate...
  10. staplehurst
    18z NAE suggests 1-3cm widely across most of our region, maybe as much as 4-5cm over Hampshire.
  11. staplehurst
    It seems to have fizzled out on the southern side but stayed moderate over north Kent Still can't complain after yesterday I guess!
  12. staplehurst
    about one flake every 5 seconds, nothing major yet
  13. staplehurst
    getting heavier as it moves across east Kent! Estimate arrival here around 20:45ish
  14. staplehurst
    7C on Friday according to BBC 8pm update (12z model)!
  15. staplehurst
    plus precipitation
  16. staplehurst
    Keep an eye on that front coming in from the Atlantic on Tuesday. Last Tuesday the forecast changed rapidly from Sunday, from 10cm widely to up to 40cm in some parts of CS England. So there is every chance that the forecast can change this week and the front doesn't still where it is expected to currently.
  17. staplehurst
    Odd flake falling here and there this evening, nothing majorly exciting and probably drizzle if it was warm enough. 0.8C and a lot of snow on the ground.
  18. staplehurst
    proper convection running down the Thames north of Whitstaballs at the moment, heading for Sheppey and then London
  19. staplehurst
    Main A229 through the Weald seems fine, some slush in the middle of the road, and massive pile of snow on both sides narrowing the road to a certain extent. It's quite quiet out there today but at least it's all moving. Housing estates and country lanes are a different scenario though. Widespread compact snow about 5cm-10cm thick on top of the road itself, very slippery and very dangerous to drive on
  20. staplehurst
    Looking at it, it appears that those areas that got a good dump in February have seen very little this time round, whilst those who got very little in February appear to have a good amount now (like myself and Neil for example). Interesting that just a small shift in wind direction can make all the difference.
  21. staplehurst
    mod. snow here too
  22. staplehurst
    :)
  23. staplehurst
    It's sleet and rain here at the moment Steve. drip drip drip...
  24. staplehurst
    So ice likely to be more of a problem this week than last. The snow was still 'dry' and hadn't melted last week, so ice wasn't such an issue. With temps above freezing all week the snow will thaw and freeze overnight. Grit is definitely going to be needed this week!
  25. staplehurst
    really big thaw going on here ,it's all slushy crap now. 23cm of slushy crap. to think it was lovely, perfect dry snow yesterday! and occasional rain/sleet showers too
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