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Posts posted by chicken soup
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2 hours ago, Kasim Awan said:
& east of the M6 the precip shadow will likely limit accumulations into the early hours. Nonetheless, some sizeable accumulations will occurr locally, Peak District, Staffordshire, maybe Blackburn & Burnley way.
I like the sound of that.
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It's snowing in Blackburn now.
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4 minutes ago, iand61 said:
Better effort than here although it’s only just started doing anything over here.
Plenty of time yet...hope you get some soon.
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1 minute ago, chicken soup said:
Yes me.. We have a covering in Blackburn.. Heavy graupelish haily snow mix about an hour ago.
Edit.. Light snow now.
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1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:
Anyone in Burnley, Blackburn?
Yes me.. We have a covering in Blackburn.. Heavy graupelish haily snow mix about an hour ago.
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53 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:
The mean wind speed tomorrow is looking to be South of West which will funnel most streamers into Burnley, Forest of Bowland, Southern Dales up to Hawes. 4-8cm here up to or over 20cm possible above 250mts no exaggeration
If it going to Burnley then surely it will hit Blackburn aswell.. I will be devastated beyond compare if Burnley gets it and I dont
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1 hour ago, Cuban Zebra said:
Having lurked for a while, watching some of our erstwhile members chew lumps of each other I just want to remind everyone of the old adage “ get the cold in first!”
We look to be entering a cold/ very cold phase and I’m pretty sure the temps will drop lower than modelled and snow will pop up at the last minute almost anywhere... we’re entering the most exciting period of winter weather for some time, strap yourself in!!!
Yes but that old adage is a myth. In fact it's total bunkem.. I've lost count of the cold spells here. That never produce snow.
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Just seem MO extended outlook.. And its totally at odds with what the models we see are telling us.. Still banging the high pressure drum for end of December and new year... Why are they ignoring ECM GFS GEM and the rest.
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56 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
No GloSea5 or MOGREPS aren’t showing anything different, I’ll bet my car! They are deliberately downplaying it in my opinion probably for Covid, Brexit, panic buying reasons - see MO updates thread, not wanting to derail this thread.
Edit no idea why the T6 chart is there, but merry Christmas everyone anyway...
Careful. I got slaughtered earlier for saying exactly this.
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Snow here.. Starting to stick on grass, cars and roofs.
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Fairy decent snow shower here
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31 minutes ago, damianslaw said:
Its not being fully shown on the models just yet, not even on the FAX but there is a definate signal for a trough/frontal feature to move in from the west at some stage. Suspect it will be picked up tomorrow, it could be marginal for places with less height - but one to watch, it is unlikely to disrupt or slide, as the flow will be broadly westerly.
Cheers for that.
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What's crack with Sunday.. Is it showers or a proper front... Is It defiantly going through this region or another frustrating slider that will slide past us.
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Frustrating non sticking snow here... Met app has me down for a few light showers tonight.... Its a bust.... Thursday looking like a miss as well..... The next hunt begins.
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6 minutes ago, Barmada_Casten said:
Sadly I am only expecting a meagre dusting from Tuesdays said 'event' and Thursdays low will definitely not reach this far, and if it does will not provide anything significant.
It is quite tragic that I haven't seen significant snowfall for 6 years now a lot of that owing to bad circumstances and being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Another poor and cruel winter for me.
I don't think I can handle another winter of watching everyone else get significant falls of snow while I get nothing, it is far to painful. Can't see myself logging in or posting much from now on so in the words of Dragons Den - "I'm out."
Don't go barmada.. Its nice to have someone in here who is even more pessimistic than me.... And that takes some doing.
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Tuesday not looking to bad now.. I'm expecting at least a covering... Just a pity the main course on thurs looks like stopping just below us in the North Midlands.
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Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Is that good or bad.