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cobbett

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Posts posted by cobbett

  1. 21 minutes ago, Timbo said:

    the latest video met office said at the end, " turning much colder next week" more on this in the 10 day forecast later !!

    wonder if they are going against there own model?, as the ukmo did not look cold .  

    actually he said "a trend towards colder conditions next week" but that's not surprising as models clearly show that

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
  2. 4 hours ago, carled said:

    I get bewildered by the excitement on the model thread followed by the BBC app and TV forecast showing nothing but a bit of frost and sunshine in the vast majority of the country. One group or t'other is in for egg on their collective face. 

    to be fair to the MOD thread - no one is suggesting and nor do the models show much snow this week - just a bit chilly - it's next week where fun and games could start and of course thats way too early for the BEEB or metoffice to comment on

    • Like 1
  3. 4 hours ago, 38.7°C said:

    Who remember the theme of this thread five months ago when it was "How can anyone appreciate thy heat"? Well now it's my turn.. how can anyone look forward to freezing nights and those dreadful frozen mornings? Not a great weather outlook for those wanting to keep their gas bills down or the homeless folk. And everyone spreading their germs just in time for seasons greetings...I hope all those chasing days of below zero uppers are prepared for spending Christmas with a cold and sore throat caught during the Christmas rush !  

    Your weather preference includes 'Winter'  - looks like your account's been hacked 😟

    • Like 2
  4. 9 minutes ago, Mark Smithy said:

    Can anyone help me please? A link to weather buoys with wind speeds? I mean a really good site not just xcweather but something more detailed? Especially right out off the SW.

    This has some buoy info

    MAGICSEAWEED.COM

    Get the latest UK + Ireland surf reports including local surf heights, swell period, wind and tide charts. Score access to long-range surf forecasts, and ad-free web cams with Magicseaweed Pro.

     

    • Like 3
  5. 9 minutes ago, jvenge said:

    I think there is a difference between expressing interest in a preferred outcome and ramping. By all means if a model shows snow like the GFS Op did for 3 runs yesterday, say it. I did. But point out the GEFS were never so bullish. EPS and ECM Op not at all. Don't start disparaging models you praised a week ago, etc. 

    yeah but there were plenty of non bullish posts as well so take your pick - maybe posts can be moderated to remove excessive "!!!!!!!!" though

    • Like 1
  6. 3 minutes ago, Alderc said:

    Lol, are you sure? There’s thousands of posts as evidence ramping up cold weather when it was never in a reliable time frame. In fact it’s quite possibly the most excessive and continuous model ramping ever seen. I’m sure plenty of others would agree too.  

    Not sure why people have a problem with guys ramping up weather on a weather forum - it's a hobby (for most), if you want something more balanced just check the Met outlook

  7. 3 minutes ago, jvenge said:

    I ignore most people posting in the thread but sometimes (well okay, all the time) its better to just look at the outputs yourself. GFS this morning shows a snow event beginning the very early hours of boxing day. 

    But it has very poor support on the ensembles. I'll let the model whisperers guess the rest.

    gfs-deterministic-europe_wide-total_snow_10to1_cm-0617200.png

    gfs-ensemble-all-avg-europe_wide-total_snow_10to1_cm-0617200.png

    Quite  -  GFS + Snow forecasting = 

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