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cobbett

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    Model banter returns

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, jethro said:

    This isn't a dig, it's a genuine question from someone who sees nothing but pretty blobs and squiggles on weather charts (it's all just gibberish to me) why do you think this isn't going to happen?

    Well its over 2 weeks away so FI  lala land  and the para is whilst not strictly an outlier, way below the mean

     

    graphe3_1000___-0_12574_51_5085_Londres.png

    Model banter returns

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    21 hours ago, cobbett said:

    I think If I was to follow any weather person on Twitter Liam Dutton would be near the bottom - seems to tweet only about tabloid cold scare stories and not very insightful , towing the party line  5-7 day weather ahead musings which you could get from the beeb.

    Come on Liam go out on a limb - what do YOU think will happen towards end Jan

    Thanks Liam - very informative 

     

    C4D1464A-72B4-433C-A85D-A22A33443C4F.jpeg

    Model banter returns

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    I think If I was to follow any weather person on Twitter Liam Dutton would be near the bottom - seems to tweet only about tabloid cold scare stories and not very insightful , towing the party line  5-7 day weather ahead musings which you could get from the beeb.

    Come on Liam go out on a limb - what do YOU think will happen towards end Jan

    • Like 2

    Meto Uk Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, bathweatherwatcher said:

    Making that incorrect as the 3rd week of January is the week commencing the 14th as this week commencing the 31st of December is classed as the first week of January according to ISO 8601 date and time standards.

    I agree but just going by the wording it implies it’s the following week after  the 15th. Anyway all a bit ridiculous discussing word by word dissection of a met update - it’ll change again shortly !

    • Like 1

    Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    19 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

    One incident?.......go and have a look at the radar for the past several  hours ( and still ongoing) for wilts/wales/oxon/berks & parts of somerset and then come back and say that today there was only one incident of a localised downpour and the Meto's warnings were unwarranted.

     

    In closing (and not directed at you specifically) some members in here need to look up what the Met Office warnings actually mean and their criteria before slagging them off in here ....Don't forget, the warning system is in place for Mr & Mrs Joe Public who dont' have access to information that we do here on NW....With reference to the warning system,  the amber which is for an increased likelyhood of impacts from severe weather.....no where does it say definite and for every single location in the warning area.....to quote...

    "

    Yellow Warning: Yellow warnings can be issued for a range of weather situations. Many are issued when it is likely that the weather will cause some low level impacts, including some disruption to travel in a few places. Many people may be able to continue with their daily routine, but there will be some that will be directly impacted and so it is important to assess if you could be affected. Other yellow warnings are issued when the weather could bring much more severe impacts to the majority of people but the certainty of those impacts occurring is much lower. It is important to read the content of yellow warnings to determine which weather situation is being covered by the yellow warning.

    Amber Warning: There is an increased likelihood of impacts from severe weather, which could potentially disrupt your plans. This means there is the possibility of travel delays, road and rail closures, power cuts and the potential risk to life and property. You should think about changing your plans and taking action to protect yourself and your property. You may want to consider the impact of the weather on your family and your community and whether there is anything you need to do ahead of the severe weather to minimise the impact.

    Red Warning: Dangerous weather is expected and, if you haven’t already done so, you should take action now to keep yourself and others safe from the impact of the severe weather. It is very likely that there will be a risk to life, with substantial disruption to travel, energy supplies and possibly widespread damage to property and infrastructure. You should avoid travelling, where possible, and follow the advice of the emergency services and local authorities."

    oh come on - am amber warming was required today ? please read what it signifies and yes maybe warn of some localised flooding but leave it at that. No need for this apocalyptic nonsense

    Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

    Really fed up of the met office bashing on here. If you look at the radar you'll see the rain fall is very localised. This afternoon Didcot,  5 miles away, had flash flooding,but I had diddly squat. It's the nature of storms and these peculiarities are why we're all so fascinated by them( well me!). If anyone knows better than the met office how to accurately predict where a storm will occur and,even better, how disruptive it's going to be then I suggest you invent an app and prepare to become an overnight millionaire.

     

    Edit:My street is now a river. This is usually followed by backing up of the sewers as they get flooded. 

    Just one incident of a localised downpour (which are not uncommon at this time of year) still didn't warrant the over exaggerated forecasts - its a bust

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