Weathizard

Yep, it goes wrong pretty quickly, as highlighted in the main ECM run

The point is if the ECM this morning is correct the ‘getting the cold in’ as you say is also allowing the milder air in from the south west because of systems engaging So in this instance the ‘breakdown’ is part of the ‘getting the cold in’ as once that phasing happens the troughing wont sink south cleanly enough to allow the cold in for the long haul. The last thing we want is a stonking GH drifting too far west and north, it’s happened plenty of times and it really is frustrating, I know it’s an unpopular opinion but looking at the ensembles, there’s no sustained countrywide -5 850s until day 9 or so, the ensemble suite backs this up, a transient phase of colder uppers initially but after that who knows.

Ideally we want the trough to go south cleanly, the danger on this mornings ECM run is the engaging with Atlantic systems pulling in milder air as the GH drifts north. It will happen at some point with this set up but Normally that’s end game for a cold spell with battle ground snow and milder temperatures returning soon after.

You can’t help but notice that the ‘real’ nirvana type cold is still staying at the end of the 9/10 day range, not to be negative just we’ve seen this many times before. Calm and cautious optimism needed

What a hideous spring chart this is.

Winter is over for us down here in terms of lying snow and deep cold, I speak as someone who lives on the south coast and even the other day it was -2 outside and the sun coming out STILL melted the snow. it depends what you define as ‘winter over’ for me I define the potential for long deep freezes being over as true winter, as snow that melts as soon as it’s daylight doesn’t do anything for me. Nearly 2 months after the equinox and the days are getting longer and the sun stronger. It probably depends on your location as well. ROLL ON SUNSHINE

I’d be extremely happy with the U.K. high set up and some nice dry sunny weather, been quite clear down here last couple of days - very cold but nice to see the sun! Roll on spring!

Pathetic event here in Brighton, sun even came out earlier Went out for my daily jog and didn’t even feel that cold, certainly didn’t feel the apparent -5 it’s meant to ‘feel like’ outside. snizzled for a few hours, zero settled.

Pathetic isn’t it, light snow with medium sized flakes and it might as well be raining out there! Much as I love snow, non settling snow just infuriates me.

Five hours progress (or lack of between 6.15 and 11. It does appear now that there is some more westward movement.

Perhaps later, unfortunately we’ve been stuck right on the edge of the first band of snow for hours now. Not that it’s cold enough right now to lay anyway, got a friend in Eastbourne who says it’s been pelting with snow at times mixed with sleet when it gets lighter and nothing aside from slush on cars and roofs

It feels much warmer outside that it was meant to be which is odd.

Indeed, so bloody annoying watching the radar, I guess someone somewhere had to be unlucky, I’m not bitter at all that it’s us....

4 hours difference, what a joke for anyone where I am.

So strange to see how much reports are varying from all over the region, even localised differences and then those of us more towards the western extent of the region who are stuck with nothing.

I hope you decided where to measure from...

If anything the front is now shearing more and not moving west, so unlucky! Enjoy your snow those who get it!

Doesn’t look like making it to us here in Brighton, shearing pretty much right over us. I guess someone had to be unlucky...

Hasn’t moved for the last hour, how unlucky can you be? Not happy

Absolutely zilch here in Brighton, even at altitude, there was some snizzle in the night but that’s about it

Only the 16 days away, we can’t pin down the track of this precipitation 6 hours out let alone that

Live pictures of many on this thread.

The weather apps don’t control the weather, be patient and wait and see, otherwise you’ll ruin your enjoyment that’s my advice. Besides even the few that miss out in our region will be in the game for streamer setups and showers piling in off the North Sea in the coming days. Every easterly we get is always the same, showers and other features are under played. ZEN MODE

It’s been so long since a proper snow event that I’d forgot what a hell hole this thread became in the countdown till the snow arrives, it’s amazing that some frozen water falling from the sky can turn normal human beings into manic, froth mouthed lunatics