Tim A

Might be wishful thinking but the radar seems to be filling a little with light precipitation over us , hopefully this can pep up like further north. My concern is why is it warmer than forecast. It is ok here at -0.2c (Met office automated said it should be -2c now earlier) but in the Vale of York Linton on Ooze is 1.8c. Any light showers will not be accumulating there now even though it is after dark.

Difficult to say, but tomorrow evening into Tuesday morning might be the best chance , Euro 4 shows more showers around then and Met Office automated is generally better then too. Early hours tomorrow morning perhaps too, to a lesser extent.

I am hoping for a mass of showers across the region, really angry looking ones , like 2018, but I am a bit worried we may miss anything heavy here. Euro 4 does look good though. Currently a dusting from a shower this evening , light snow most of the day but didn't amount to much other than a bit on high level surfaces

Delete

Is ESE all that bad though for us though? As long as its easterly enough for showers to stream north of the wash/East Anglia, we should be ok? Sure I can recall decent snow with an ESE wind before, at least there is no significant high ground , sometimes the NYM block us a bit with NE winds. Anyway UKMO looks a bit of an outlier wind direction wise .

There might be an area with less convection initially as the front over the SE will kill shower development just to the North of it. Still too early to know exactly where though and it will disappear as the front moves away

Would be nice to get a few cm's Saturday night to build a nice base. Would also avoid the impatience you feel at the start of a cold spell waiting for snow. Then relax as it gets topped up by showers throughout next week. The Beast from the East 2018 was a slow start with loads of light snow showers on the Sun and Mon which didn't settle. Hope we get straight in with it this time and why Saturday night could be just what we need. ECM 240 snow depth is insane, granted most of it is from a snowy low at the end which may not happen. Probably underestimates showers/streamers for some too.

Yes I remember how South Yorks and North Nottinghamshire got absolutely buried. Seemed like you were under the streamer for days, I was waiting for it to move North which it did eventually but was so slow!

50cm officially at Bingley.

Stunning output for our region, almost nailed on now. Think we should all see snow even snow starved easterners , although I would guess the biggest falls will likely be in areas which have already seen plenty, eastern exposed hills always do well, e.g Feb 91 Bingley hit 50cm . Not suggesting it will be that much but you never know, if it goes on for days perhaps. Having said that anyone could hit the jackpot with a persistent streamer like 2010.

12.5cm measured here, fantastic event yet again. Drizzle and ice pellets for the last hour or so but not any drip drip yet, can't be far off though . 0.3c 50cm snowfall this winter so far .

9cm measured in the garden table so far and still coming down. Hoping it can slow down a bit , Met Office app predictions of snow till 1pm seems a bit optimistic but not too fussed as we have a good depth already.

Met Office automated keeps upgrading here. Snow from 3am till1pm and only getting above freezing at 2pm and staying at 1c until the evening. Please be correct.

Yes, Nice Euro4. 15cm in places, including Leeds and Harrogate and Huddersfield. Think this is much as a dead cert as you can get for snow certainly here, would be a bit more nervous towards Sheffield but hopefully still a good few hours of snow.

Re Tuesday, my guess is our region is still just about ok for a few hours snow from the early hours to late morning/ midday. Think the warning will remain for us but will be removed for Wales, the Midlands and west of the Pennines.

If you are a fan of taking a model in isolation and want to calm down take a look at the GEM. Has the stall point somewhere between Leeds and Harrogate and gives a massive dumping in this area.

Arpege is fine for a decent snow event, yes eventually pushing north and probably turning to drizzle but that is in line with the Met Office automated too, plenty of snow before then. Can't seen it stalling over us for days but that was always an outside chance. Get out and enjoy the snow on Tuesday whilst you can. Think the GFS is far too quick

That ECM chart is lovely but so far away, I worry that the slider will get nowhere near us in the end if this trend continues. Still at least we would be left in cold air until the next battle begins.

Hand on heart not expecting anything here , think just to the NW of here might though. I am always sceptical of such large Met Office warnings , the southern area might just be there to be overly cautious. Certainly Met Office automated not interested at all. But to give hope take a look at the Euro4. Band stagnates over us /not moved through by end of run(54 hours)

Been a horrible few days , 44mm here last few days and today was particularly vile with the strong winds . Looked like it might be getting interesting this morning after a heavy snow shower at 10am, but this is as good as it got. (Was also similar at Midnight last night) The NW did very well last night and Edinburgh.

IMO tonight isn't worth getting up for unless you haven't got any snow currently and want to see a possibly transient cover. Possible we might get an additional 1-2cm, between 2 and 4am but as outside is like a Alpine postcard anyway I can't get excited. Might as well just enjoy the current snow today. The main thing tomorow unfortunately will be that the snow will be a slushy mess and be thawing rapidly. An amazing event though, good winter so far.

A few metres up the road I have just measured 17cm on the grass. There is some heavier precip slowly edging in from the east too.

Yes think there was only a few mins that we went blue on that radar. Intensity picked up again last 15 mins. This heavy wet snow could cause problems to power lines and tree branches. Our telephone lines were sagging from the weight of it, had to shake it off.

Still coming down moderately now but we have somehow managed to stay in one of the last spots of green radar return on the Netweather radar. Definitely a weakening affair though. Fantastic day

Measured 11cm on the hard/high level surfaces and 12-13cm on the grass here. Heavy snow continues.