weirpig
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Posts posted by weirpig
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Snow line for those interested. Will change
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Just now, iowpompeylee said:
There was where I was… pier blew down…
It wasn't technically s hurricane. But your right the winds were hurricane force have to be careful on here your wording as to be such so
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1 minute ago, MattStoke said:
Aperge 12z. U.K. wide run not yet updated.
Better than the icon brings snow to Wales peaks and west midlands by boxing day. Just another solution
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48 minutes ago, shunthebartlett92 said:
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Just for fun. But arperge starting to bring the uppers south
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1 minute ago, Ben M said:
Someone's hacked all the models and is messing with us, there's just no other explanation at this point it's beyond ridiculous
It is madness BBC just mentioned a risk of a haboob
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Just now, Midlander said:
MOGREPS 06Z Headline: Trended milder
Yesterday average for the 2 reading's in the Midlands (Time= 25th 15Z) were:
0Z Average temp 5.5*C06Z Average temp 6.02*C
12Z Average temp 3.81*C
Today's 06Z average temp 5.5*C
That shows massive uncertainty as with most models. Many show us on the boundary of cold warm air.
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Just now, B-C said:
channelling the positivity in here! I think it is difficult wading through forecast/opinion on the mod thread where a lot of IMBYism takes over. I think you are spot on re the Midlands, we have seen snow in recent years where people have foretold it was not going to happen etc..
Just my opinion but the snow line is going to be close to the midlands it's either going to a rain to sleet event or rain to snow of course there are more important things to worry about. But it's fun to keep an eye out
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6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
It’s about 140 miles between my house in Longton and my Dad’s house in Harrow.
Quite used to London being snowless so not too bothered that I’ll likely not see a flake down there. Their winters are awful compared to Stoke’s.
Yep the south and anywhere near the coast is shocking for snow. Midlands is probably one of the best. Could be third year running we get snow just after Christmas
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Just now, MattStoke said:
100 miles further south to me in London?
Think I’ll be watching this one from afar. Would though be nice to return to some wintry scenes after Christmas!
Geography and distance never been my strong point. About 25 to 50 miles?
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Just now, MattStoke said:
I think the North Midlands looks best placed. Risk decreasing as one moves further south. Still much model disagreement though. Forecasting snow is so difficult at more than 24-48 hours out at the best of times never mind in such a complex setup as this one!
Spot on I just can't see the track being what we see. And as you and me know these systems most of the time edge south overtime and closer to the day 50 to 100 miles south will be the track. Of course I could be wrong. Great viewing though
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This will be a midlands event. There I've said it
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2 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
I fully expect the eastern end of the M4 to flip northward, then! One must manage one's expectations, Mark?
It's only snow Pete. The m4 however does seem very difficult to breach
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Jma similar to the GFS snow for some northern areas Christmas day then into late evening and boxing day snow extending south into the midlands perhaps as south as the m4
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5 minutes ago, Staffmoorlands said:
Snow risk is from Sheffield north based on 00z ECM & MOGREPS for Christmas Day evening. Disappointing for my area as we just miss out but I feel this is a realistic predication based on the information available to us at the moment
I thought mogreps was further south?
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2 minutes ago, Sceptical said:
This all looks like bog standard UK Xmas weather?
A rather depressing assessment of Christmas weekend from the Met.
But that's what the models are showing? Midlands south wet midlands north possibility of the white stuff. However likely to change
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3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Cracker of a mean and comtrol!!
Yep control is very good great position to be in
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The wandering snow line. Christmas evening onto boxing day its over Wales into the midlands. Will move closer to the day it's a snow to rain event after for most however that will change also. All good viewing though
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6 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:
GFS 18z is Still Christmas shopping with some kind of a wintry outlook whether is the big day or Boxing Day.
Yep very much still in the game. I really do think a rain to snow event here. Low will be further south come the big day.
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GFS not to different from previous runs. Snowline could be anywhere festive weather for some come the weekend
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Snowy Christmas for some on the gem
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Past few years there as been snow flying about just after Christmas. Could be another year
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Could be marginal for some. But that chart at 192 is amazing for Christmas Eve. More lows lining up to follow. Very rare charts at the mo for time of year
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Snowy Christmas Brum north of course it will look nothing like that come the day but the trends are good
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Gem not to disimilar to the GFS on Christmas Day evening