weirpig
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Posts posted by weirpig
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4 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
Looks like another model into the 110mph category.
I'm torn between thinking - are we looking at an historic wind event here? And, surely it isn't going to be that bad, because things like this don't happen?
It the wind direction also quite rare event we could be seeing across most of the country
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And harmonie
As the low on a slightly different track. But look at the north east
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Sorry only out on France view yet ARP . Many areas getting very strong winds
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2 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:
Your right, if that comes off in the Northeast, I really hope not
ARP
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3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Gfs 18z looks an upgrade for central mids!!snow all night tomorrow and also all day saturday!!❄
The winds are worrying also parts of north east over 100 mph on the icon. Just 80 mph for the west mids. Yikes
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6 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
Icon 18Z - is that 180km/h just off Teeside? I think I've added the colours up correctly. It all feels a bit surreal.
Brutal winds very high winds inland also Wales and west mids approaching 80 mph higher than storm Doris for around here
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1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
To me this has always looked like an east midlands thing, Buxton area of course mainly
Totally agree. May see a flake but nothing like last winter from this event at least
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2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
UKV snapshots.
Altitude will be a player as always at least some precipitation will be about
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5 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
That’s total snowfall - I imagine the lying snow prediction is less exciting!
Quite DPS are very marginal. Altitude is needed I expect
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Ive seen worse Euro4 Shaky will be happy
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Ah its that time again Snow watch As i stated on model thread Harm Arp and Arome bring snow to our part of the country will it happen like that? Prob not but its the chase that i love.
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1 hour ago, sheikhy said:
Hmmm gfs seems to have snow for eastern england for a good number of hours on the 06z for saturday!cant it push further west though?!
Models still all over the place for whats its worth the Herm / Arome and Arp bring the front through the spine of the country Still very high winds on most models also
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6 minutes ago, swfc said:
Sorry mwb I meant in the scheme of things ie damaging winds. Tbh I still think its to early to call when and where it may or may not snow.
Yep just a snap shot of the icon one model and subject to change but severe winds from northern England then travels south through Midlands later then southern England. Certainly an amber warning if it verifies
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8 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
GFS slightly quicker on highest winds into the borders and NE England Friday night. Significant inland gusts. Blizzards away from coasts in the north.
I'm keeping an eye out for the hires models in the next few days for windspeeds. Icon gone crazy with winds close to 90mph inland. This will be the story not transiant snow
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Although the low will move around a little over the next few days so its difficult to pinpoint exactly the location which will be the sweet spot but winds now are really ramping up on some of the models Icon showing 100mph winds very very dangerous
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- Popular Post
with winds over 70mph forecast for some areas and not just by the coast i have a feeling that is what will dominate the news over the coming days rather than snowfall quite nasty even the GEM going for very high winds
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Havnt seen any runs for a while but the 12z isnt without interest snow showing up at the weekend for Wales Northern England maybe parts of the North Midlands and Scotland. Not to be bad if short lived
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Well the ensembles are still all over the place at just 144hrs with how the northerly drop occurs still not totally resolved yet
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Very good run from the 6z seasonal and cold also pops a cheeky low over Italy never a bad thing
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2 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
Strangely enough by day 9/10 it looks much colder, as did the ECM to be fair
To be fair its turning very good i thinik now the northerly as passed its what happens next im looking to and whats on show from the 6z is perfectly acceptable for me at least
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5 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
OK? The whole blinking lot is coming down here! Pub run T222, there’s whites in there in the capture zone for the UK!
I understand what you say and it does now look great but its at 222 and still not cold enough for the white stuff with such difference between models even before that im not onboard with a freeze. see were we are in another 3 days if its still like that them im on board
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18z run is ok but it is typical early winter fare on the ground at least off course it may develop into something better as the next days progress if and its a big if the colder weather does arrive its past 200hrs again. Think ill just watch the 12zs for the next few days see were we stand then.
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Flatter on the 18z could be further east then the 12z
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1 minute ago, Mike Poole said:
ECM T168, too far west for the south here, fine margins! Could redeem itself on the next couple of frames?
Yep but to be honest rather it west than east i have a feeling it will move east with time always does
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Storm Arwen
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Full house. Many areas getting brutal winds. Arome