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leemondo

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Posts posted by leemondo

  1. 58 minutes ago, seb said:

    Latest guidance calls for all snow, heavy at times combined with 25-45mph winds on Thursday for the entire Southeast (relevant warning issued about an hour ago - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?region=se&date=2018-03-01&regionType=area ) and more of the same on Friday (relevant warning updated to expand Southeast a few minutes ago - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?region=se&date=2018-03-02&regionType=area ) and the potentially more of the same on Saturday before milder air arrives (relevant warning issued a few minutes ago - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?region=se&date=2018-03-03&regionType=area ).

    Confidence:

    Thu  -85%

    Fri - 70%

    Sat - 60%

    That' actually a pretty scary update even if only 50% of it came off! 

    • Like 1
  2. 35 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

    Lovely walk on the Ashdown Forest today.49D9AA33-C919-4C0F-8732-7B65D77EC4A2.thumb.jpeg.ecae1ed1eafb3bd5b0d2439368073914.jpeg

    401C4826-658E-41AD-BFD1-11E5212BDCB8.thumb.jpeg.a1bdbae9fdae4b5412292f887f4d4090.jpeg

     

    I’m optimistic we’ll all see something by the end of Tuesday. Then, if it is going to end come Friday, roll on Spring and Summer

    It was bloody cold! But such stunning day for a walk and everyone we saw said hello, warmed my heart (shame the rest of me was frozen!)

    With regards to the doom and gloom posts I can completely understand, we chase cold and snow so passionately, and even though we have full week with a potential epic ending the truth is 90% of the time the thaw is too quick, it would be nice to gold on to it got as long as possible, but as stated, if the low tracks South enough we could be in for the long haul . . . . . 

    • Like 1
  3. 10 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

    Heading out for a walk on the Ashdown Forest later this morning. Should be stunning up there so will try and post some photo’s.

    With regards to this week, I’m sure a lot of us will see some snow, though I know from personal experience how frustrating showers can be. Nov 2010 I was 8 miles too far inland and missed a “channel clipper” and then a couple of days later was 5 miles too far south to miss a Kent streamer.

    End of the week could go either way but I’m sure some of the best snowfalls on record have come from these set ups. The MO are not making any mention of the dreaded “rain or sleet” at the moment which is encouraging.

    The other thing that strikes me with the long term update is that they’re still seeing very cold easterlies beyond next weekend. Am I right in thinking that would suggest the low heading east across Northern France and towards Benelux rather than northwards?

    We are going to brave the forest too! Gonna be bloomin cold as it is a tad exposed up there lol 

    • Like 1
  4. For me, the MET office have had this called for around a month ( I think, don't shoot me down!) starting with hints, seen a long time back, they have been very very bullish (for them) in regards to the severity and longevity of this potentially record breaking/making cold spell.

    Even with inter run wobbles they have remained straight, and see this as a substantial event, so for now i'd stick with what they are saying, and please IGNORE the apps etc, this will be a mostly nowcast situation I know that it can go wrong quickly, but something tells me this afternoon/evenings model runs are wrong, such a massive block won't be demolished that easily

     

  5. Isn't it strange how many different, virtually unseen posters, who never comment in the MAD thread, seem to come out when there may be a possible end in sight??? 

    Gets right on my t*ts that the trolls come out in force and declare it as gospel, yes it may happen, but as a second SSW has just occurrd surely given what we saw before this epic spell came to fruition, the model runs are getting a lot of conflicting signals and trying to pin the tail on the donkey

    • Like 5
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