Frosty_wsm
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Posts posted by Frosty_wsm
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10 minutes ago, LRD said:
Got a bit of a feel of December 1981
The above don't look particularly special but the month was brilliant until the 28th. Memory is faded as I was pretty young but I just remembered it snowed. A lot
Dec 81 was epic down here in the west country, around a foot of level snow at sea level just a few miles inland from the bristol Channel, as you say the charts don't look that special but the setup certainly delivered, wouldn't mind a repeat!
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28 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:Can hear the “south of the M4” crew cheering this run on…
Holy grail setup for down here, meaning there's a 0.01% chance of that happening, nice to look at though!
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Absolutely hammered it down in the early hours, no thunder or lightning though, I'm taking biblical downpour! Poor hedgehogs in the garden, camera caught one rocketing through the hedgehog highway & straight into one of the hog houses where he/she just sat looking out of the tunnel entrance of the house, for wild animals they really aren't that fond of getting wet lol
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I never let the room temp drop below 20 as I have budgies.
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What a gorgeous day so far, cooler, grey skies this morning & some rain, absolute bliss compared to the last 4 days of oppressive heat!
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I'll I tell you about someone else who don't like this heat, my resident hedgehogs lol, despite being in full shade one of them leaves his house & goes under a bushy shrub to cool off, can't be nice in a wooden hog house with temps of 33c! Can't wait for temps in the low 20s to arrive from Wednesday onwards.
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Don't mind warm weather but not the hot temps for as long as we've had this summer, I hate seeing wildlife suffer & upon walking around the area I appear to be the only one putting shallow bowls of water out in the garden to help them, my visiting hedgehogs are drinking a lot & who can blame them, it's so warm even at night.
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Feels hot enough out there today, hate to think how it'll feel over the coming days with temps rising. So important to have shallow bowls of water in the garden for wildlife too in hot dry spells like this, got lots of house sparrows having cool baths & drinking & over night quite a few hedgehogs having a long drink, leaving water out can really be a life saver for them.
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What an horrid day out there, feels more like autumn!
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26 minutes ago, Lyn-M said:
Just about to tank it down here. The garden will be happy and I'm pleased that I cut the grass this afternoon!
Shame your not taking part in 'no mow may', love doing my bit for nature & wildlife so not touching the lawn for the whole month, plenty of wild flowers for the bees. All the heavy precipitation looks like passing to the east, unless what's to the south west develops more as it moves in.
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Had a few snow flurries here, possibly more to come looking at the radar.
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Never really looked forward to spring arriving, that was until I decided to transform the back garden into a wildlife friendly one, now I can't wait for spring to get going every year. Already had hedgehogs visiting the garden although with our winters getting warmer some don't even hibernate at all!
I love cold & snow but do I want the possible cold weather later next week to come off, not really, at this time of year that weather type can have a devastating impact on wildlife, I can't wait for a hp cell to plonk itself just to our south east pumping up southerly winds!
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1 hour ago, Jimmyh said:
Come on guys stop bashing the met seriously. We asked for a red warning we got a red warning for London and southeast. They weren't going to issue it any earlier until their super computer that we don't see or have access to as mere mortals conformed it. Think about the beeb. They also take the word from meteo group not the met office so their updates will be out of date till about 7. Its all over the news. Has been for about an hour on the live page on the app.
Well said, I'm honestly sick & tired of all the met Office bashing going on in this thread!
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I'm in the red warning zone, I hate stormy weather, absolutely dreading what tomorrow may bring.
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Loving this weather at the moment, plenty of frosty nights (except tonight!), some fog, this is the next best thing to cold & snow. Can't stand constant wind & rain, really detest stormy weather, long may it continue.
While hp is around there's always a chance, no matter how slim that it could end up in a more favourable position to deliver some proper wintry weather instead of this inversion cold,
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Absolutely gorgeous day, long may this weather continue. Yes I'd love cold & snow but what we have now is the next best thing in my book.
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35 minutes ago, jellybaby1969 said:Well no..too many got led on by boom posts n cherry picked charts. For UK meto and ECM are the ones to follow ..until there is agreement with meto n ecm it's fantasy
Well quite frankly the chase for cold charts is all part of the fun so those people posting charts, cherry picked or not are free to do so & to those posters I say keep doing what you're doing, you make this thread a fun place to be.
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36 minutes ago, SnowBlake said:
A few days ago, many comments about southward corrections this, southward corrections that...
What happened? Was it wishful thinking?
Unlikely things will change in time now but still 3 months of chances ahead. We will get one of those winters to talk about again.
In a couple of weeks, grab a return flight to Riga (2 hours 30 runway to runway), catch a train if no snow in the capital to an hour away for a fiver, enjoy the snow for 1 day, explore the old town the next, hotels in Riga £30 a night for 2 including breakfast. Bus from airport to city 30 mins for €2.
Lateral flow test €24.
All in all including food, flight and accommodation doable for £150 for 2 nights, £200 for 3.
Meanwhile here in Eastern Latvia, minus 9 this morning (minus 16 in Riga), I'm off skiing shortly to the highest point in the country, about 312 metres.
Few snaps from the last couple of days out and about. Only an inch or snow after it all melted last week. More snow due later today and most of tomorrow, several inches perhaps.
Hasta la piste-a.
The bit highlighted in bold, no I don't think it was wishful thinking at all, countless times we've seen low pressure pushed further south than originally forecast but in this instance the high pressure /wedge to our north imploded so nothing was there to force lp further south.
I remember a few years back with a 'sliding' low pressure up against a block to our north, at the start of the week the snow line was forecast for northern england, by the end of the week when the event happened it ended up a south west /south of M4 event!
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6 minutes ago, JOPRO said:
The Japanese never surrender, Banzai!!!!!!
Actually the jma is highly regarded by the met Office, according to a post from fergi a few years back.
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24 minutes ago, tight isobar said:
And you’d be correct- went to france
You wouldn't have been laughing at the time if you were forecast to be smack in the middle of that snow band, as I was! Similar thing happened again, can't remember the year but the channel islands got buried when the forecast late the night before had the south west /south in for heavy snow.
So I do find it amusing how some are saying game over regarding what happens around Xmas when that forecast for heavy snow that changed & pummeled the channel islands was wrong less than 12 hours out.
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2 hours ago, frosty ground said:
850’s of -3 not exactly snow maker is it?
Yes it can be, Dec '81, we only had uppers of - 2/-3 looking at the archive charts & I'm down the far south at sea level. Was one of the most epic snowfalls I've ever seen.
So yes, in certain circumstances, like surface cold being pulled off a cold continent like what happened back then can produce snowfall at those upper air temps.
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3 minutes ago, london-snow said:
Is that on iPhone mate as i am struggling to find this.
Click on the three dashes in the top right (go back to the top of the page if not already there) , choose account & then ignored users.
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50 minutes ago, jules216 said:
The milder for SW UK the better,. Means more members with GFS solution like this
No thanks, need one of those classic battlegrounds where weather fonts hardly make it past the south west, Dec '81 repeat would be greatly associated, hope weather gods are listening
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2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
The differences over siberia are huuuge!!its a clear move towards ecm early on thouugh so maybe some fun and games later on this evening!!
1 minute ago, frosty ground said:The 6z Op run didn’t really look like an improvement at any stage and by time you got to day 6 it looked much worse with the positive tilted trough.
let’s see if the Ensembles have moved in any direction.
Well one of you is clearly wrong, can't both be right!
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Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Be thankful for that 2cm, I'm in the white clear patch down south lol.