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Rollo

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Everything posted by Rollo

  1. Most likely in the early hours of Saturday morning for quite an extended period,possibly sooner depending on your elevation.
  2. Nice post Daniel,snow does indeed bring the best out of people, I certain Bly concur that it has been a long time ng wait even up her in the North East but ell worth waiting for,lets raise a glass for the next freeze!
  3. That may well be true but remember good Northerly is long overdue and that can last 10 days. That will hopefully be for next winter and just what is normal for our climate? Seems to me even without an SSW we are in with a good chance of some type of colds spells next year,hopefully during winter rather than Spring
  4. I am not sure but it appears we have light rain (freezing) or fine snow at present.
  5. A further remark on the word GRAUPEL. I first heard it years ago in a programme hosted by Alan Coren, they gave 4 definitions of the word and only one was right it was fun. Anyhow I used it as my password on Net Weather years ago.
  6. Certainly is cold and looks like quita a bit more to come, snow wise we have only had a few flurries this morning but from the wind direction we could get more at any time. This is your SSW in full swing.
  7. Made it back from Jesmond but the roads were becoming pretty icy and snowy with snow drifting across the road, whilst in Jesmond area had a vivid flash of lightning and a big clap of thunder around 4 pm.
  8. Thanks FP, my worry are the other drivers who might get stuck in front of me but hey ho we will give it a go.
  9. Leaving Ponteland in about an hour to try to get to TESCO and then to The Nuffield in Jesmond for my wife's physio, should be an interesting and hairy journey,wish me luck.
  10. Predicting cold is easier than predicting snowfall ,I would have thought it is near impossible for our area to remain snowless,I urge patience and we will be rewarded.
  11. I would not be to concerned about the snow at next weekend as everything is still up in the air( pun not intended) as it could well herald the breakdown but still to far in the weather future for anything to bother with just yet. Enjoy your snow holidays,I wonder if the bookies are taking bets on snow depths.
  12. GFS does go off on one from time to time, it is most likely wrong but the annoying thing is it does sometimes get it right. BUT it is well in the future in weather teams so enjoy the fun and games meanwhile. For what it is worth I am with Catacol on this one.
  13. This promises to be a once in a lifetime event but trying to second guess how much of the white stuff will accumulate will drive you mad, our area will get plenty and not long to wait now, as to The GFS breakdown it is best left to later next week. I have seen lows battling against entrenched cold before but they quite often give up and fill and slide east. I think after a week of road chaos and bitter temperatures many will be ready for the delayed spring when it should arrive.
  14. Some light snow showers showing up on the radar moving North West through our area.
  15. Dfff Ignore their temperature forecasts and even the snow predictions until t+24, then you will get a much better idea,maxima early next week will be 0-2 c. Enjoy.
  16. Back in 79' the airport was closed in February and I think also March, I live I mile from the airport and the only possible saving grace is that i n those days there was no airport by pass so that could be a saving grace if the snow gets bad enough. Enjoy your holiday.
  17. I have come to the opinion that the computers just have not got a handle on the current SSW as regards to the path to cold so it is still exploring all the avenues before finally deciding the true way, in the meantime it is giving us on hell of a journey.
  18. I profess to know very little re the understanding of SSW 's but would like to ask the following question. I am going back many years ,1962 to be precise, was there a SSW that year as the weather patterns from Mid December did behave in what I would describe an unusual manner. In those days I received DWR's from the met office every day and prior the start of that epic winter I had never observed high pressure cells travelling NNE in the manner that they did.
  19. The comparison between yesterday's GFS 0600z charts and today's is so vast that to me it proves at this moment in time anything can and might still occur. It is fair to say that some preceding charts over the last few days have given high hopes which may well be dashed but as far As I am concerned we are in uncharted territory and despite my own impatience we will have to wait for several more charts to unfold.
  20. I understood that North Sea temperatures were at their lowest in early March , if that is the case we are certainly in the game.
  21. Just seen the 12 noon forecast for the weekend,they do not see it as we do, a bit of snow on the hills Saturday and dry on Sunday, temperatures 5-7c.
  22. The current pattern used to occur more often ( but still infrequently) in the sixties and then as now it appears to be down to last minute now-casting,exciting for we snow lovers but just how long can one hold ones breath.I wonder if in the future forecasting techniques will make it possible to give a better accuracy than we have presently.
  23. I would think it would be better not to criticise those who attempt some sort of long range forecasts if you cannot proffer something sensible yourself.
  24. All easterlies are long shots but they do happen although granted it has been quite a long time since the last one. I think the will it, won't it situation is getting snow lovers down but it's all about the thrill of the chase isn't it?
  25. I can understand the reticence of members now when anything remotely resembling an easterly shows its face but they do happen,what is clear to me is that none of the large computers can fathom just what is going on,perhaps it is time to give them a rest for a couple of day, come back refreshed for the next attempt at a successful cold spell be it an easterly or something else.
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