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Sunny Android

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Everything posted by Sunny Android

  1. Sunny Android
    Looking at GFS forecast, there are no high CAPE values and the Lifted Index are insignificant from Tuesday to Thursday. It's not humid enough for a serious thunderstorm, well at this location anyway. I'm also interested on the 'triple point low' and it's part it may have to play in the weather breakdown ?
  2. Sunny Android
    Bit far out still, perhaps Sunday evening, yes 48 hrs hence, and we might be getting agreement from the other 3 and confirmation if ECM is your winner.
  3. Sunny Android
    Looking across UKMO, ECM, GFS and NOGAPs Jackone and given the low pressure senario on all by mid-week I cannot see your 'halfway house'. The only hope is the warm sector on these depressions falls after lunch and a brief glimpse of sun pushes the temperature up.
  4. Sunny Android
    The Metoffice charts have the Cold front reaching the welsh coast by 12 noon yet only reaches the welsh/english border by midnight... 12 hours to cross Wales .... slow I'd say.
  5. Sunny Android
    Yes, the best line for storms looks like starting at Crosby, through Preston, lancs; over the pennines, Darlington Co Durham and out over to Middlesborough...... signing out but certainly back later
  6. Sunny Android
    Sorry didn't reply on the previous thread Chris .... too busy watching the weather Anyway you've answered your own question, could be the start of something big this evening .... especially if I go and fire up the BBQ, bound to happen
  7. Sunny Android
    Just got in from Otterspool, just on the Mersey estuary where I was watching the clouds develop. Started to rain from one, and they seem to be developing nicely over lancashire as they track in. Lancashire lass may see some serious weather shortly !
  8. Sunny Android
    Thanks for the all the links and interesting reading. Although the N Atlantic has been active it seems to have gone quiet further north in Iceland... just the usual background temors !
  9. Sunny Android
    A fresh feel this morning, 15.7C in Warrington and some blue sky too. I can second the comment from John ... So onto Warrinton rainfall. Yesterday ranfall was 18mm and today we've already had 4mm already !
  10. Sunny Android
    Although the thunder has passed into Lancashire, there are plenty of black clouds heading towards the Irish Sea out of the Cheshire Gap. Blackpool should get some 'static illuminations' this evening
  11. Sunny Android
    The sky is dark and the rain has just started here. The lightning is every 2 - 3 minutes biased towards Warrington Town Centre, approx 53 24N 2 35W
  12. Sunny Android
    Warrington is receiving it full blast now
  13. Sunny Android
    The light show is spectacular in Warrington, tracking north into Lancashire
  14. Sunny Android
    Tracking across South Warrington so can see the storm nicely from here in Great Sankey, NW warrington
  15. Sunny Android
    Forecast is for wild weather in 240hrs ! Models are starting to agree on this senario
  16. Sunny Android
    Machrihanish is the MetO site name. Good guess for location Milkmaid but '97mph Machrihanish' is my call on this one.
  17. Sunny Android
    Good to see the long range winter forecast. At least you guys have a crack at it, unlike the MetO. I read the forum comments before the forecast which made it more interesting. Anyway, like the sound of a dry winter here in the west
  18. Sunny Android
    This certainly caught my eye...... And it's the Eye of the Hurricane that made me think, surely with it's core raising the sea levels it actually has a negative downward force / negative net weight. Only the outer clouds have the rain bearing volume we could quantify ?
  19. Sunny Android
    About 200 miles, It's at Wilmington, North Carolina
  20. Sunny Android
    This camera is already bouncing around in the wind
  21. Sunny Android
    Quite possible, Manchester Airport dew point fell rapidly after lunch today from 10C to 6C in 2 hours as the front moved south. It's now down to 5Cso not much change.
  22. Sunny Android
    Wivenswold I'm surprised it's 'throwing it down' so early in Essex. You've a long wet night ahead !
  23. Sunny Android
    MetO only have this dropping to 995mB over the UK, dropping lower as in heads into the continent !
  24. Sunny Android
    Thunderstorms passes to my North (over South Lancashire) at 08:30BST. Moving East so looking good as forecast for the N. Pennines and Yorkshire
  25. Sunny Android
    Tomorrow I'll be driving the M62 for nearly the full length so if the risk looks to be mainly over N England, I could catch it.
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