Kirkcaldy Weather

??

Some people thinking it might go to Moderate risk

Really heavy rain with 20mm between midnight and half 5 this morning, 23.19mm total today.

my storm risk map for tomorrow, most intense storms I think will be in the orange zone with a widespread risk overall and with the cold air at 500hpa hail chances with pretty much any cell

Delhi records highest 24-hr May rainfall on record and lowest May temperature since 1951 WATCHERS.NEWS Under the impact of remnants of Cyclonic Storm "Tauktae" and Western Disturbance, the Indian capital Delhi recorded 60 mm (2.36 inches) of rainfall from...

Radar was showing a few strikes a few miles away yesterday but wasn't lucky enough to see any or hear thunder got a few structure shots and one of cells that were getting going to the south

The radar showed lightning not far from here yesterday but didn't see any or get any thunder, some structure shots Cells were getting going to the south at the same time

With regards to warmer weather I agree, nothing scientific with my thought more of a gut feeling that it could be hurricane / tropical storm that moves in the direction of the UK which might change the pattern to a warmer one, I might end up being completely wrong and I don't use the seasonal model charts (we know how wrong they got last winter) but I'm interested to see if they are near with the high pressure predictions, I'm not overly convinced as that positioning would likely have the majority of hurricane activity being fish storms.

Pics from this week Monday, again looked like a gust front attempt possibly a bit of lowering on the leading edge and bit of scud Wednesday distant convection but escaped the showers

Night lightning show tomorrow ... might be Storms develop across England and push north/ NNW with our chances from teatime onward

There was a bit of scud And a later shower looked to be having a shot at developing a gust front Hail just before that VID_20210506_192557.mp4

Looking at the radar most of the precip has skirted here so far, amazing to see the snow pics and I bet there's not been many snow warnings covering a large part of Scotland in May @Mr Frost called it @damianslaw even the Met O calling it "quite unusual"

Today's convective snaps Didn't really have any showers directly impact here however a light flurry it was either snow or graupel but a first for me in May and at 11C! The timing of the first precip tomorrow morning here I expect around 10am either snow or hail then as that clears and instability builds thunder and hail widely again

I do think some of us will be reporting snow with tomorrows showers, crazy hail and thunder likely too Some angry skies earlier

Think most are awaiting the storms in Texas / Oklahoma some crazy unstable air in place

Line of convective activity looks likely for tomorrow with convergence and a trough, I think the heaviest of the precip will be around the Pennines but with the cold air coming in I would expect hail pretty much anywhere along it