Isolated Frost

1.3c/-1.1c with the temps increasing as the front approaches. Tense stuff man!

Hi-res indicating that 1c/1.5c air temp is the dividing line between rain and snow tomorrow.

Note I'm stressing about this and under-estimating it... I think the potential for Durham/Darlington/Morpeth to be under the 10-20cm zone instead of the 5-10cm zone is most likely, but I'm erring on the side of caution for now. Very localised event possible- so it's extremely hard. NOTE that this is snow falling over the next 24, NOT lying. Though it should all lie if it's strong enough or there is already a layer of snow on top..

I'm calling it now- about to make a patented snow map.

Alex Deakin on the NE prospects... very encouraging!

You know us north-easterners are watching your every word as if it's the Bible atm, don't let us down

NAE predicted -0c dew points over North Lincolnshire at 9pm... if it's all snow there then, we have a very good chance tomorrow on the coast even.

DP back up to -1.3c here (from -1.9c an hour ago), but moderate snow falling.

In line with NAE forecasting. About 1c-2c colder than NMM modelling.

NMM over-does the mild and NAE under-does it... something inbetween is probably right.

Wouldn't that mean they'd put their gloves on in Inbhir-Nis? http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/jan/20/scottish-independence-becoming-only-option Interesting read for you politik-folk, the ardent unionist/faux-labour Grauniad has published this in its comment section... now you know something's coming!

Don't use the netweather radar for precip type- it's useless at that, based on GFS data I think- it's reports and more reports that count atm. NAE seems over-optimistic, NMM over-pessimistic... too marginal to tell. Btw, met office has 54 hours of continued snow for Durham on its 5 day forecast (automated but !!!)

Good luck Scots!

8- sleet, 11-snow actually.

I think you can be tried in a few courts for that Deep snow please- Washington has 12 hrs sleet, 3 hrs rain, 8 hrs snow.

18 hrs of snow, nout else.

18 hours of snow, nothing else.

For tomorrow (24 hrs)- hi-res EC going for Sunderland: 15 hours rain, 5 hours sleet, 4 hours snow Durham: 5 hours sleet, 16 hours snow Newcastle: 1 hour rain, 11 hours sleet, 12 hours snow Middlesbrough: 11 hours sleet, 8 hours snow Morpeth: 17 hours rain, 3 hours sleet, 4 hours snow Bishop Auckland: 18 hours snow Consett: 19 hours snow This is scarily marginal.. just a 1 degree shift colder means snow-fest, a degree warmer and rain-fest.

In line with MetO and NWP modelling, opportunity for 20-30cm for Consett, 30-45cm in the North Pennines, where is Mark/Tucco/Teesdale?

For Durham, yep, lots of snow lying for you according to the ECM, but up the road at Chester-le-Street mostly sleet with some snow... very close. Snowing heavily here, -1.8c dew point.

We'll decide once we can get the car started in the drifts mate. Washington (top), Morpeth (second top), Stockton (second bottom), Durham (bottom) HD ECM meteograms... intense. Need to put some inspirational trap on to make this as intense as possible

Official measurement here 11cm. Was 14cm at 0900 at my mum's at 71m asl further NE from here, so 11cm seems about right, especially with the thaw.

bizarre- what's your temp/dp?

For Sunderland, tomorrow NAE: dew points (850s) [850-1000 thickness] 0000: -2c (-8c) [128-129] 0300: -1c (-7c) [128-129] 0600: -1c (-7c) [128-129] 0900: -1c (-8c) [128-129] 1200: -1c (-8c) [128-129] 1500: -1c (-7c) [128-129] 1800: -1c (-7c) [128-129] 2100: 0c (-7c) [128-129] 0000 Tues: 0c (-7c) [128-129] 0300 Tues: 0c (-7c) [128-129] 0600 Tues: -1c (-7c) [128-129] 0900 Tues: -1c (-8c) [128-129] 1200 Tues: -1c (-8c) [128-129] NMM: 0000: 1c (-8c) [128.5-129] 0300: 2c (-7c) [129-129.5] 0600: 2c (-7c) [129-129.5] 0900: 2c (-7c) [129-129.5] 1200: 1c (-8c) [129-129.5] 1500: 1c (-8c) [128.5-129] 1800: 1c (-7c) [128.5-129] 2100: 1c (-6c) [129-129.5] 0000: 0c (-7c) [128.5-129] 0300: 1c (-7c) [128.5-129] 0600: 1c (-8c) [128.5-129] 0900: 1c (-8c) [128.5-129] 1200: 1c (-9c) [128.5-129] Both would provide at least 20mm of precipitation to any part of the region, with 40-60mm on high ground around the Pennines. Above is the NMM predicted precipitation values over the next 48 hrs. NMM is also going for heavy sleet for most of the region, apart from the Pennines and surrounding areas, before everyone sees snow after 1700 tomorrow. Note NO rain is predicted on the NMM, so it'll be sleet/wet snow/snow for everywhere in the region. Both modelling for a start around 0000 tonight, will be very fun to see the first reports dig in.