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bobbydog

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Everything posted by bobbydog

  1. bobbydog
    exactly john-
  2. bobbydog
    "whispers" (east)....
  3. bobbydog
    are you watching the radar and seeing the wind direction change pushing the precip inland?.....
  4. bobbydog
    2.1 and 0.8 here
  5. bobbydog
    no mate, you could be right regarding the wrap-around, as i said earlier, its a dynamic situation. however, it may not look right on the radar right now but if you look at the charts i posted earlier, the wind direction is due to change around midnight, bringing the precip further inland. we have all seen the weather we want "heading our way" only for it to swing in the wrong direction at the very last minute. that works both ways, as it stands now, its doing what its supposed to. we just have to wait and see if it stays on track. no point in arguing over it, we cant change what happens. however, the weather can.....
  6. bobbydog
    just in case we get any "i told you so" b*llocks, we have to take into consideration that the weather systems are moving through a little faster than predicted, though the latest charts should at least take this into consideration to some extent. as i said earlier, this is a dynamic situation, subject to change at very short notice.
  7. bobbydog
    agreed john. the GFS charts are (unusually!) pretty accurate in the very short term.
  8. bobbydog
    its gone. any higher temps are 'leftovers' from earlier. temps will drop.....
  9. bobbydog
    well it matches whats on the radar now, it would be the wind direction pushing it back inland and over us. obviously no guarantees as these set-ups can change within a few hours (which people need to remember when criticising the professionals) but it looks good at the moment.
  10. bobbydog
    why not? current conditions- (note the precip on the radar and wind directions on the chart) pretty much the whole of the south east region covered there (including all of essex)
  11. bobbydog
    i think this shows it quite well steve- as you say the showers are coming from the direction of the atlantic, the airflow across essex for example has colder air from the east, hence the drop in temps and DPs. incidentally, had a heavy hail shower a little while ago (from one of those showers), evidence of air beginning to mix out?
  12. bobbydog
    hmm.. temps and DP rising again after dropping steadily, just touching 0.0 then bounce back up! grrrr....
  13. bobbydog
    thats almost exactly what i was going to say..... but i couldn't be bothered to answer him!
  14. bobbydog
    we just watch and wait then.....
  15. bobbydog
    what are they falling as now? we'll be lucky if they make it here. could be interesting if they do, temps and DP'S dropping off again
  16. bobbydog
    bye bye rain.... clear skies behind the rain band- that should cool things down a bit. ice could be a problem
  17. bobbydog
    just to add, its also larger, covering a greater area-
  18. bobbydog
    never thought i'd say it but my optimism level is running low. snow turns to rain, mid-week snow chances for me are fading away, some stunning charts in the models will inevitably fizzle away to uninspiring or snow will fall everywhere but here.... meh....
  19. bobbydog
    there you go-
  20. bobbydog
    pfffff..... light rain now......
  21. bobbydog
    quite heavy snow now but DP has just gone above freezing. just waiting for the rain now, the good news is, its moving through quite quickly so hopefully won't last long, then its out of the way ready for what the rest of the week brings which, as of now looks promising.....
  22. bobbydog
    should be here any minute then.... and here it is.....
  23. bobbydog
    snowing here, not that heavy but big flakes.....
  24. bobbydog
    i think snow south of london is optimistic for today, dewpoints are only just below freezing down here so there's little margin to keep it as snow. areas from london north should do ok. however, the good news is, the second front is moving quite quickly so any rain should only last about 3 hours before temps drop and the low wraps around bringing in north easterlies. kent, surrey and east sussex could do well out of it, possibly even west sussex. maybe i might even get some! but you never know, keep watching dewpoints - and the radar!
  25. bobbydog
    i wonder if the Meto's new strat computer is getting a grip on the SSW effects, with the UKMO modelling the strongest scandi block and not really backing away from it
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