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bobbydog

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Everything posted by bobbydog

  1. bobbydog
    wow, didnt expect to see that! will that low undercut though...?
  2. bobbydog
    both babies awake at 4...... at least its snowing!!!!
  3. bobbydog
    and most of the country!!!
  4. bobbydog
    ok, just to lighten the mood a little, probably won't happen but....... UKMO charts for thursday and friday..... even if you don't understand the charts, they are what they look like.........
  5. bobbydog
    erm... whats that lot appearing on the radar!!!!?
  6. bobbydog
    not an Essex slapper then.....
  7. bobbydog
    interestingly enough though, the NAE is almost spot on, just 3 hours too late!!
  8. bobbydog
    what i find interesting, is that the Meto warnings have recently been updated, yet the snow warning is still in place for areas south of london which are supposedly just getting rain.....
  9. bobbydog
    hi steve, what do you make of these latest fax charts?- does that not look to you like the warm sector is tracking further south and west?
  10. bobbydog
    are you aware that tv forecasts are up to 12 hours behind with the data they use? (as ian fergusson has pointed out) also the Met office are still uncertain as to the extent of the rain/sleet/snow. the latest fax charts show the 'warm sector' further south and west. its still a dynamic situation and a lot depends on the speed of the second front and how fast it occludes. still all to play for anyway, even if tomorrows (daytime) snow is not that impressive, there is potential for some heavier stuff by night-time and wednesdays chart looks very good- embedded troughs in there- potentially heavy snowfall......
  11. bobbydog
    morning! for those worrying about tomorrows snow, here's how it looks at the moment- tonight the first front moves in, getting weaker as it moves across our region but possibly giving a decent covering to many areas with a few cm possible. late morning, the second front moves into our region falling as snow everywhere initially, but possibly turning to sleet or rain for a time in areas to the south west of london, mainly hampshire and west sussex, before turning back to snow late afternoon/evening. this could give a few cm everywhere. there is still an element of uncertainty here, because if the 'warm sector' is further south and west it may well fall as snow all the way through. that is looking fairly likely, as the Met office charts indicate- for the rest of the week, well the Met office update sums it up nicely- " Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday: Tuesday, very cold, bright or sunny intervals and snow showers, some possibly heavy near coasts. Wednesday and Thursday, very cold with a biting northeasterly wind and heavy snow showers." the models are showing very cold and varying amounts of snow for at least a week but beyond that, there is too much uncertainty to say how it will turn out. the likelihood is more of the same though. for anyone wondering about the SSW affects the weather, here's an excellent, easy to understand explanation from peter gibbs. it also explains why we might as well ignore any forecast beyond a week during this SSW event - http://www.bbc.co.uk...atures/20998895
  12. bobbydog
  13. bobbydog
    i give you good news and you call me that! how rude! lol heh heh- i see you edited it- 'booby' indeed......
  14. bobbydog
    there's some embedded troughs in there john, it could be quite possible. it happened in 2010!
  15. bobbydog
    if the 'warm sector' materialises, west sussex will be in the area most affected, i.e. rain/sleet for a time during the middle part of the day. (less snow) either side of that time, snow. if the warm sector stays further south and west then it will be all snow. amounts will be decided on the day. however, if your family member has a long journey, they will most likely hit disruptive snow somewhere along the way. if we hit the snow jackpot, they probably won't be going anywhere!
  16. bobbydog
    fax charts for whoever wants them- http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=fax;sess=
  17. bobbydog
    ok, there are lots of "will it snow here?" or "its showing rain" posts, regarding monday. as it stands now, we are looking at possibly 3 scenarios. 1) from about midnight sunday, it will snow pretty much everywhere in our region. through the middle part of the day, it turns to rain or sleet as the "warm sector" moves through, then back to snow by late afternoon or evening. 2) as above but with sleet/ wet snow to the south west of the region for a time, the "warm sector" being mixed out and having less effect. 3) the "warm sector" takes a more southerly track as the front occludes more quickly, thereby missing us completely resulting in all snow in conclusion, it will snow everywhere but how long for and exact amounts are yet to be decided. keep watching the forecasts, the radars and the lamp-posts. everyone will see some snow and with a bit of luck, scenario 3 will be the result.
  18. bobbydog
    the radar is fine- what you are seeing is the snow-shield set to full power....
  19. bobbydog
    yep. "warm sector" indistinct, will be mixed out as it moves east and then it hits the 528 dam line. looking much better. snow could be briefly on the wet side but could also pep up the snowfall
  20. bobbydog
    seems the rain is turning sleety everywhere. have a look at the radar you will see that the wind has turned southeasterly as the LP system is beginning to move off on its southeasterly track. temps should start dropping quite sharply now, watch those lamp-posts!
  21. bobbydog
    in case anyone's wondering-
  22. bobbydog
    latest NAE not showing any rain- not for us anyway....
  23. bobbydog
    funnily enough, we do live on an island in the sea.....
  24. bobbydog
    not sure whats going on with the radar.....
  25. bobbydog
    lets hope the Meto confidence increases..... "However, there is greater than average uncertainty at this range, especially in the extent to which snow affects southern counties, and it is quite possible that the Alert will be upgraded to an amber Warning if confidence increases. "
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