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bobbydog

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Everything posted by bobbydog

  1. bobbydog
    or, 'The Precipitation Formerly Known As Snow'.......
  2. bobbydog
    well actually you can thank this forum more than me. 2 1/2 years ago i knew virtually nothing about how the weather actually works, i've learned nearly every thing i know about it from here! and to be fair, i've hardly scratched the surface of what there is to learn!
  3. bobbydog
    annoyingly, the fax charts don't seem to have updated from T+84 onwards all day... grr...
  4. bobbydog
    yep, see my above post
  5. bobbydog
    there were technically 3 fronts. the first was a weak warm front which passed earlier as the precip which fizzled out. this lot now, is an occluded front, i.e. 2 fronts combining into 1. a warm front 'in front' and a cold front pushing into it from behind, as seen here- causing the precip to intensify as it does so. the uncertainty has been where the point of occlusion will end up as there is a warm sector between the 2 fronts. the further south it gets denotes the southerly extent of any snowfall as the air mixes out, cooling it as they occlude, therefore this cooler air hits the cold air already here, turning it to snow. unfortunately, the air behind it is not supportive of snowfall, which is why it turns back to rain. as this is an evolving situation, it is very difficult to pin down exact amounts and locations for any snowfall. temps and dewpoints will give a good indication but the nearest lamp-post will be the most accurate snow indicator!
  6. bobbydog
    that blob will miss us. what we are looking for is that rainfall to the north and west of us to intensify and increase its southerly extent as the fronts occlude. this is another "warm sector" scenario. the further south the point of occlusion gets, will roughly be the southerly extent of the snow. basically, we want the precipitation to stall before it gets here allowing the two fronts to merge further west. i'm not expecting anything here especially as i still think the Meto warnings are being a little over-cautious. still, the weather is full of surprises so we never know!
  7. bobbydog
    looking at the current radar and satellite images,- http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ , http://www.sat24.com/de/gb , the rain band is weakening and fragmenting, with the track of the secondary band looking like staying to the north of london. if it maintains that track and intensity, i would say that the warnings are about 50 miles too far south, with any snow/rain for our region being short lived anyway expect nothing out of this 'event' then anything you do get will be a bonus
  8. bobbydog
    everyone banging on about some possible snow which may or may not happen. even if it does, it won't last more than a few hours before it gets washed away. what we should be more concerned with (apart from the heavy rain) is the wind forecast from these low pressure systems. especially monday and tuesday -
  9. bobbydog
    Weather warning- issued 21.12 23/01/13 a vague warning of snow which probably won't happen, has been issued to netweather members. a period of heavy snow, covering the whole of the south east region is expected between never and not at all, for at least the next two weeks. it is expected (by netweather members) that between 10 and 20cm of snow could fall from the tiny blip seen briefly on the radar. there will be some light to moderate flurries throughout the night, just to wind us up and give the more gullible some hope that severe disruption is possible. several centimetres of lying snow will have disappeared by morning. a severe depression is expected to sweep through the netweather forums by the end of the week the public should be aware that family members may be weather fanatics and will be at risk from eye strain from radar watching. this warning may be updated to amber if prozac levels run low
  10. bobbydog
    Weather warning- issued 21.12 23/01/13 a vague warning of snow which probably won't happen, has been issued to netweather members. a period of heavy snow, covering the whole of the south east region is expected between never and not at all, for at least the next two weeks. it is expected (by netweather members) that between 10 and 20cm of snow could fall from the tiny blip seen briefly on the radar. there will be some light to moderate flurries throughout the night, just to wind us up and give the more gullible some hope that severe disruption is possible. several centimetres of lying snow will have disappeared by morning. a severe depression is expected to sweep through the netweather forums by the end of the week the public should be aware that family members may be weather fanatics and will be at risk from eye strain from radar watching. this warning may be updated to amber if prozac levels run low
  11. bobbydog
    some even worse storms in deep FI, worth keeping an eye on
  12. bobbydog
    some very windy weather to come this weekend for the whole country, saturday night into sunday for us- south coast could get a battering!
  13. bobbydog
    its obviously a general forecast which is pretty much spot on. they can't account for the odd heavier burst, which, as you say, has stopped
  14. bobbydog
    not predicted? " Today: A cold start with local frost and ice. Generally cloudy with occasional light sleet or snow at times, but tending to become drier later. Cold northeasterly winds. Maximum temperature 3 °C. "
  15. bobbydog
    sad to see the snow melting away with the prospect of heavy rain and wind at the weekend. however, here's a thought- we've only just passed the halfway point of winter.......
  16. bobbydog
    you should have said- i would have come round!
  17. bobbydog
    wow, i've got 8 inches! i just wish it would snow as well.......
  18. bobbydog
    hello... look at that little 'reload' coming out of the dieppe area... eastbourne first in the firing line for that!
  19. bobbydog
    send it up here!
  20. bobbydog
    i just had about 10 mins of wet snow but it seems to have stopped now! grrr
  21. bobbydog
    he's on his way.....
  22. bobbydog
    so thats what it is! i can smell a strong diesel like smell outside!
  23. bobbydog
    and they have!! maxed out and dropping rapidly again!
  24. bobbydog
    unless these temps start dropping back soon, most of us are getting rain!
  25. bobbydog
    precip now pepping up over the channel, we could see it arriving sooner than we expect. however, temps are rising rapidly and this will be very marginal even for my location. coasts will probably just get rain and if my temp and DP keeps rising at the same rate, it could be disappointing for some of us
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