[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

I’d say snow is more likely than freezing rain. With air / ground temps above freezing...how is the rain going to freeze ?

Probably freezing sleet

Current 3pm data

3.1C

2.8D   No movement since 1230

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Depends on the melt layer

if its wet snow at 200M then sleet 100-150M & rain with odd bit of sleet at 50M

Just driven over the top of WK by the radio mast which is 240M

Heavy rain & big splodges of sleet mixed in

Temp on dash dropped to 2c

So I would say FL currently 400-450M

Snow level 325M

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Just now, jright35 said:

It’s that bad Blue Bell Hill will even be rain ?!  No lamppost watching this week.

well blue bell about 190

West kings 240 so you would expect to see some snow falling

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Freezing level today 550M

6PM lowers to 300M

9-midnight lowers to ~ 200M

Some wintryness then after 9....

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Checking in at work for home data

3.4C

2.9D

Lets look towards later tonight.....

[Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards]

UKMO day 6 

colder again than yesterday -8c still in SE

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

Interesting bank of PPN coming in from the east!!

1.7C / 0.7D

[Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards]

Interesting ENS from 18z - looked similar to UKMO then ...

Meteociel - Cartes Ensemble GFS (ENS/GEFS)

WWW.METEOCIEL.FR

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meteociel propose des rubriques météo temps réel, forums, modeles...

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

Eve - looking at the 18z the core of the cold air has taken another tick North leaving the SE in predominantly -6c Air & very  very borderline even for elevated areas.

I would hazard a guess that during daylight hours the freezing level will be circa 300M which does noone any favours....

S

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

Heavier burst of rain here with very wet snow flakes mixed in.

2.5C

1.3D

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Southender said:

So are we all pretty much in agreement next few days are a bust?

Perhaps some of the white stuff for the Kent Alps. But for the rest of us a wintry mix at best?

Anyone still banging the snow drum to low levels?

Yes high ground only

Even today there has been a slight reduction in uppers > may be 200M now not 150M

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

11 minutes ago, John Stevens said:

@Steve Murr what’s the model of weather station you’ve got? I’m looking at getting my dad a new one for his birthday...

Cheers,

 

 John 

here we go

Ventus Weather Station, WiFi Internet & Colour Forecast (W830)

WEATHERSPARES.CO.UK

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The Ventus W830 weather station allows you to monitor your weather remotely as it uploads data to Weather Underground, Weather Cloud and also the UK MetOffice WoW service. Ventus has...

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

No worries - Im 2 miles from the golf club - 100M from the fire station...

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

13 minutes ago, North Downs Snowboarder said:

As you can see from the below, the Met Office is predicting rain to snow for my location in NW Kent Monday night through to Tuesday morning and a high of 3˚c all week. I won't be too thrilled if it's only cold rain by Saturday!

Where are in relation to the golf club - just ip the road! - although the golf club is about 160M

[Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards]

much improved ECM this eve!

Colder as well

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

6 minutes ago, Mal Kapadia said:

Hi Steve, what one is this? Does it have an outdoor temp sensor etc? 

 

Thanks, 

Mal 

Yes its a ventus w830 one from weather shop

Dewpoint + app available

Rain depth

Wind speed

pressure

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, loafer said:

I got the same Xmas present!

lol good stuff

have you set it up yet- got app & connected to home WIFI but cant get station ID to add to app connection

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

New crimbo present showing up my outdated & over temp sensor !!!

Plus finally I get a dewpoint reading

Still calibrating !

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

Just now, NewEra21 said:

UKMO isn't really that bad of a run for us down here in EA & the SE, not so good for the north of the country with higher pressure.

But down here we're mostly in an easterly flow and maintaining uppers between -6 to -8 with lower heights. 

Yes staying very cold for a week.

Also now GFS is similar to UKMO > GFS only takes 2-3 days to get cold again..

[Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards]

UKMO retains a much colder feed at 144.

-6c over Eng & -8c just to the East.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

20 minutes ago, Binsey72 said:

Just enjoyed this in Aylesford ! Better than nothing !!

Is that maidstone or bucks

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

18 minutes ago, Snowmut said:

Hi Steve, what are your thoughts on SSW, do you think we're still in the game for a memorable spell?

Chances are good > odds are for a memorable cold spell about 75% on...

Friday AM catches my eye!

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

This afternoon / eve sees the -5/-6c isotherm arrive & dewpoints drop towards zero before rising again then dropping off again from the North tomorrow eve.

Chance for a few flakes in the showers today..

[Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards]

I know ( for a change ) its a slightly IMBY post but is 100% model related.

The high res models now working on T48 & below-

HIRLAM goes for 5-6cm over the hills in the SE - maybe low ground as well. Could be higher at the core of the streamer.

[Model output discussion - Into 2021]

GFS snowcover 120 as the first low tracks south