We all know how fallible long range forecasts are, even those which come from the experts. What output have you seen that suggests we're going to have the prolonged, above average rainfall needed this summer, or is this just a gut feeling you have?
You're saying we shouldn't have a hosepipe ban because you think we will all get sufficient rain? What happens if, like during the last 18+ months, we don't and then the water supplies become dangerously low? We'd be thinking "wouldn't it be handy if we had saved some extra water". Taking a chance with such a valuable resource as water in the way you suggest is reckless to say the least.