EastAnglian

Continuous light to moderate snow here settled on all services not salted. Started off a small flakes now bigger flakes, very light or no wind which surprised me.

Snowing lightly here in Blaenau Ffestiniog nothing to write home about but never the less is is snowing.

Sleet and rain last night and this morning a few light soft hail showers, cold and very windy. Hoping for better in the coming days. Andy please keep ramping, don't stop that will jinks the snow chances

Yes i have noticed that for both precipitation and around here temperature values, perhaps it is a feature of the software. Stopped raining around here about 90 minutes ago and the air temperature fell from 11 degrees to 8 and now 6 degrees. I expect any showers will be wintry over the tops this afternoon and evening.

It is known by both names the definition is "Graupel (German pronunciation: [ˈɡʁaʊpəl]; English: /ˈɡraʊpəl/), also called soft hail or snow pellets,[1] is precipitation that forms when supercooled water droplets are collected and freeze on falling snowflakes, forming 2–5 mm (0.08–0.20 in) balls of rime. The term graupel comes from the German language." I prefer the term soft hail to the anglicised German word or snow pellets. Just a matter of personal preference.

Soft hail showers here now temp falling still no snow though.

Yes it was a stormy night and very noisy from about 1230 to 0230. Our next door neighbor lost a joining fence and various bits of garden furniture had gone a wandering. I also heard a few bins travelling up the road in the early hours, but there was little real damage. Cold now, this morning and it's been raining sleeting all day so far. Hopefully our elevation 208m might see a bit of whiteness over night

A category 1 hurricane has to have sustained wind speed of over 74 mph, I think a category 5 would be sustained wind speeds of 156 mph. Might be wrong but I don't think gusts of 70 mph count

North west Wales dry windy and cloudy. Showers yesterday and last night soft hail gave a covering but did not freeze overnight so mostly gone now.

Hi, I am a little concerned with the elevation issue next week. I live in Blaenau Ffestiniog at 210m asl which you would think would be enough. But the sea is not far away and would be up wind in a WNW flow. We did very well in early December getting 5-6 inches on the Friday and a little extra on the Saturday from convective showers and then 8 to 10 inches on the Sunday 10th. But I have a nagging doubt that this will not be anything like as favorable. Looking at some of the comments in the other place (admittedly from people living in the SE and south of the Seven) so could be jealously or wind ups they could be correct and the moderating affect of the long draw across the Atlantic will have a significant influence on the eventual 850 temps and dew points. Any thoughts?

I think you may be a bit to far south for lying snow but you may see snow falling in the heavier showers I think, good luck. BTW the Met update is still uninspiring it must be very uncomfortable on that fence they are sitting on.

It's not the NW bickering that got me going, it was the Kindergarten posts. I would have thought, the upper temps on the predicted zonal flow are modified most by the Atlantic, the Irish sea would have little effect by comparison. Granted it would have on a more normal NW flow but the predicted flow is unusual. I live in NW Wales despite the user name and am looking forward to next week with my finger firmly crossed. Which make typing difficult.

Here here, thought I had been connected to a kindergarten site this morning and as for the NW "debate" least said the better. Will it snow in my back garden questions were asked, all to frequently on the old BBC Weather website, If you are not old enough to remember it lucky you. Regarding the GFS 06Z output up to 120 hours it seems very consistent with the last run. Still showing a cold zonal flow and snow possibilities. We shall see.....

I thought the upper air temps were modified to be less cold on this mornings 0Z run. Did the 6Z change them again?

Mid single figures (3,4 or 5) that is in North Wales, so for snow would expect height will be required

Still frosty in Blaenau Ffestiniog in the shade. Frost lifted in direct sunlight but pretty cold still. I will be very surprised if we see a raging Atlantic mild push this week.

My fear as well but if the jet goes NW - SE as some have indicated wont that push energy under the block and at the least stop it sinking to NW France and the long southerly draw/endless mild mush?

Here in Blaenau Ffestiniog cold, frosty and bright. I thought yesterday when I was out and being blasted by a gale force wind that the local forecast had shown the High sinking south and the winds would be light, that did not happen so as we all know the models always seem to underestimate how quickly the high can be blown away. Can be a mixed blessing if it moves north then happy days for cold if not snow, but if it sinks a little, to north western France then gloom and endless mild mush. Still if the jet runs NW - SE as indicated if that works out then perhaps we will get enough energy running under the block to pump it further north, as other have said time will tell.

Wow that is tempting fate, potentially absolutely anything and everything! After all we are talking about a potential easterly and I am old enough and been on here long enough to have seen lots go wrong in the past 10 years or more.

Been snowing in Blaenau Ffestiniog for a while gardens cars and roof opposite covered now nothing special but nice to see.

Am I right in assuming that most of Wales are dry, I have seen a few posts regarding how dry it has been. Well if water is needed we have had plenty up here today. It has been precipitating profusely since this morning! If I hear one more weather presenter or forecaster say "well at least it will be mild!" I will scream

When I came out of my Welsh class last night there was a dusting on top of my car, little polystyrene like balls I would describe them as. Something similar while walking the dog this morning, few bright spells as well. Nothing of note really.

I understand the frustration and in part share it, but please remember the models do not forecast all they can possibly do is to present a number of outcomes based on their input data and a series of complex calculations. The forecast is done by human experts who take a view of all the output and present their version of the outcome. The easiest way to avoid bursting a blood vessel over an output is to not take every output at face value and remember they are a prediction of a possible future outcome, not a forecast.

I would echo that yesterday I saw a few posts from people talking about a westward move of the High pressure to our North East. When you flicked through the images the older output had the high further west and the later model output had it further east and north of the UK. I checked several times to make sure I had the frames in the correct sequence, simple mistake to make but just reading the comment and not checking the output would have given a completely wrong impression. Still, I am the last one to talk about this I make frequent mistakes, however, the referenced post is good advice.

Blue is the control run for the ENS I think or at least that is how I have been trying to make sense of it. The red is as you say the mean. I believe the white is the Operation run (the one we seen every six hours) Please feel free to correct me if I am wrong.