Chris.R

Well actually the 1981-2010 average is 23.2 air frosts each winter so been running well below average for a few years now compared to that. I am running ahead of the last few years this year though. Last year was just 8 total and the year before was 7 total(all in Jan and Feb). I am in somewhat of a frost hollow which is why that average is surprisingly high for my coastal location.

Another air frost this morning, seventh of the winter. Min -0.4°C.

Meanwhile it’s currently 2.3°C here which is colder than forecast, although not surprising given the light and mostly off-shore wind.

All rain and hail for me then and even missed all the lightning. Not happy. Don’t know which date that was exactly but 90% of all North-westerlies end up like that here anyway so don’t need to know.

I was going to mention this. Noticed it was down to 7.2°C, average I think was 7.5°C. Still not convinced, don’t think the 850s are cold enough, but anything can happen I suppose with prolonged precipitation so let’s wait and see.

4.3°C here, 0.4°C below the 1981-2010 average.

Minimum overnight 1.8°C, currently 3.6°C. At this time of year for falling snow here from a maritime source I need: At 850s above -6 - a trough/shortwave bringing prolonged torrential precipitation for at least 1 hour dropping the 2m temperature to below 1.7°C with at least a slight element of an off-shore wind on its back edge. At 850s between -6 and -8 - thicknesses of 519 dam or less; negative dew points; a 2m temperature below 1.7°C; a slack flow; and/or a trough/sshort-wave with prolonged precipitation ideally backing wins of—shore on its back edge. At 850s between -8 and -10 - thicknesses of 525 dam or less and/or a slack flow and/or negative dew points. At 850s below -10 falling snow is almost a certainty.

4.1°C here, 0.6°C below the 1981-2010 average. Today is a sub-zero day mean so far.

Max 3.5°C, back down to 3.0°C now.

-3.5°C minimum half an hour ago. Pretty respectable.

-1.1°C now.

Sixth air frost of winter just begun. This should cool the ssts down a bit.

Hope you have a good holiday. :-) When are you back?

4.9°C here, 0.2°C above the 1981-2010 average. Drops looking like continuing as long as the off-shore wind lasts.

Min last night -0.8°C, max today 3.8°C, back down to 1.2°C now.

Fifth air frost of the season now just begun. Should be the start of a run of several consecutive air frosts.

I’m expecting an air frost tonight here and a hard one at that. Met apps are suggesting otherwise but I told you all what I thought of them last night.

5.5°C here, 0.6°C above the 1981-2010 average.

2.5 C currently. Supposed to be 5 C . Met models don’t have a clew with these coastle micro-climates!

Can’t see anything on Blitz either.

That’s why I said only if we get the precipitation.

Think there could be some surprises overnight as long as we get the precipitation. Cannot see any reason why Snow wouldn’t fall to low levels; at least on the back edge.usual overestimation of temperatures by the Metin an off-shore wind, seen it so many times.

If Eleanor deserved a name then this did too. Rather bad out there now.

Well this is worse than Eleanor, can hear things banging around in the garden.

Remember to take a big deep breath soon then.