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Posts posted by Gavla
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I take if it starts as rain it remains so ? oh joyo another damp squib lol
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When is our next best chance then? Is tuesday still looking good ?
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Well must say looking a mixed bag for Wales this weekend and normally I'd be watching for any minor upgrade that would get me some snow. Andy love the positivity and hopefully it will be rewarded tomorrow but for once when there is a snow event due I am not at home. I happen to be roughly centre of the big orange warning that METO have out for sat as I am working in Cambridge at the moment. May have struck lucky here and could be in the right place at the right time for a change
can you arrange a mini bus to come pick all of us up? lol
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Looking further ahead at their updates, they dont seem to confident for beyond the weekend for here in wales at least they mention only damp and drizzly conditions and temperatures returning to normal . Can someone tell where on meto site you can sign up for alerts in your inbox?
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Gotta be honest - GFS 06z is dire for Wales - always on the side of the warmer air the next 7 days - only one run - and according to some experts one of the worst! - let's hope that's the case!
Steve Murr from the model thread - PHEW!
Before people start stressing-
Its the 06z...
File it in the bin.The whole run from around 60
if you have no optimism andy then nobody can give it to us noo !
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Weather Online keeps the wintry weather with us next week with further snow chances Tuesday?
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20120203
il take that any day, im starting to feel snow starved.
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Is there still a chance this front could under estimate the block and slow its approach not arriving in wales until tommorow evening?, then stalling and pivoting over wales dumping all the white stuff? Thats not my dream forecast onest.
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Tuesday is still looking good mind
Does it still show higher totals and all snow compared to this weekend?. I do know its very unlikely to pan out like shown but what would it produce as currently modelled on 18z ?
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How much of a shift west do we actually need for this to be all snow? Could other factors change to aid all it being all snow? i reckon andy will be right with heads out window/lampost watching, me with a brolly and everyone else hat and gloves.
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Who mentioned that?! Not heard anything like that myself. All I heard is that it'll get milder, especially here!
Kold weather is guy who said it, page 33 apparently thats what ecm at 144 is showing. It has probably very low chance of verifying i just like reading bigger snow event than this weekend for the west to be onest lol.
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This does look like its going to be a slushy mess even if it starts as snow i cant stand it reverting back to rain and slush yuck!. Im guessing theres going to have to be some drastic changes for it to be an 'all snow' event which is unlikely for our area so close to the event or am i wrong?. Throught lurking in the model thread havnt got the guts to post there yet lol, any way i heard someone mention a bigger event for the west tuesday 9 - 12 inches locally !! Hmm yes please what are the chances of this ?
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Right guys im trying not too get too excited for the weekend but cant help myself lol. So as things stand what are we to expect? i know the models are going to swap around with different solutions before the event before we have any agreement. What totals, snow first then rain etc just interested on the views of the more experienced on here.
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I havnt got high hopes for this myself. If i expect nothing then i cant be let down (again) would like to be surprised though.
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Been snowing on and off all morning here, nothing worth shouting about and not settling. How are we looking rest of week ? Mainly eastern coasts now during the easterly? Or more battlegrounds?
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That explains it then !!!
GFS 18Hz similar to 12Hz. at T+120 so might be worth giving the MOD thread a miss this evening.
never mind then gettin zzz now. Oh well look forward to spring now and next winter.
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How does the 18z look ?
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How much ppn is forecast for tue then? Because i onestly give up either snow or not at all literally been waiting all day for nothing. It now seems that something has gone horribly wrong today as i also poked my head in the model thread and its doom and gloom with cross model agreement its all over at +144?
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Tuesday night Gavla
what does that mean cant really understand that lol. Is there a better chance than tonight and what amounts are predicted?
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If people at 1000ft asl are strugling then i do give up. When is our next chance then because the countryfile forecast was dry and cold and im hearing the block is breaking down next weekend? Someone please tell me we will have another chance?
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These comments and pics of snow settling slightly are a good sign to be honese, here there is nothing but its sleeting...odd that Clase isnt too far away from here yet we have nothing
im not far either which makes it worse for me im gna cry now ;(
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I'm in penlan Swansea and the snow is sticking on the cars and fences but not yet on the roads
im literally by penlan and nothing typical lol. I now hav a snow shield around my house
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Since this isnt the big event some were hoping for including me, when is our next best chance ?
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Seen a few sleety flakes its a start
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I onestly cant say ive even had sleet, given up now i think. Met have it right snow only on the edge of the valleys/higher routes.
Wales (cymru) - Regional Weather Discussion (part 4)
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
was in the land of nod then lol. Cant say i noticed any settled snow from overnight maybe a bit of grauple.