Dave Kightley

SO SO SO close on the GFS 00z for an epic snow event in the S.W so close.

If the GFS 18z or ECM 12z are right then this cold spell could be Huge! Going round my head is it could start on the 11th with further warming forecast for 17th with another maybe end of the month. Shouts plenty of snow chances! mild blips il accept if the uppers are colder afterwards.

HAHA Something must of changed if cold and snowy weather every winter in the past successfully reached our island. The synoptic's just never deliver what you hear back then or just go wrong. Seemed so much straight forward and a lot more snowy. 1800's for e.g.Shortwaves must not of existed! A lack of Blocking from 1987-2007 might be to blame but the Blocks have come back but the Snow hasn't! If you imagine us coming out of an ice age it feels that way. A melting world with a decline of Snow. You think of Snow you think of war times. A thing of the past. You hear a great relaxing song you wanna look back on old photos of snow. The world is changing and so it's the weather. What i feel anyway

I want a 1987 Windstorm as a Snowstorm. Lets go hardcore ;P We are overdue a USA Winter storm in this Country. Something extreme!

I look up in the 1700's we had Cold winter's every year with Snow 10 ft high. Zonal once must of been Snow fest instead of rain fest. I can't get my head round how'd you get 10 ft on this island every year with blizzards and Winter storms. I mean the Synoptic's never last long enough and are always dry. Nothing you see on the telly. The Synoptic's interest me as we have never experienced it or more meaning myself.

We could all say we've been Snow less until 6th November comes to mind or whenever it was ;P Terrible winter for Snow so far must admit. It's like the Synoptic's have tried but we actually become worse off compared to Zonal and with the odd N.W. Blocking to the east with troughs to the West are the Bartlett of cold Synoptic's.

A question to somebody who knows about SSW's. So is this warming quite Significant compared to the norm? What is the most likely outcome of this SSW and the chances there could be a prolonged cold spell?

Pressure building from the south. Can't see why it won't eventually move West or North with all the Warming's up North early next month. I will be expecting things to get interesting in the next few weeks Happy Christmas to you all

Very good ens for Aberdeen.. The mean for Somerset is around -2/-3 for the end of the week.

Is this a undercut? Serious snow risk next weekend on this run! Boxing day towards the end the weekend looks rather chilly indeed

U

Snow fest alert!!!!!!! Nice chart at 192 for countrywide snow.

Not a bad GFS run for Christmas week with Cold zonal flow and chilly esp in the North.. I suspect there would be Snow on the western Flank of the lows esp in the north. Later in the run pressure builds from the south and a mid atlantic ridge. Below average next week

i wonder if this was on the ukmo seasonal model last month. we what looled zonal but below average with troughing to our west. eitjer that or there all very useless indeed. time will tell.

height rises towards greenland on his run. not at all bad. would be interesting to see where it would go on the ukmo

looks more northerly to me but great run

great improvement this morning. wet windy..very mild for a time. look at spain... and then -10 uppers not to far away..mixed bag for everyone

Nothing mild on the charts for sure.. On the 00h run on Sunday they were widely 4/5/6. Frost and ice will still be an issue under any clear sky's.On the 12z Average at best over the weekend.. Just shows how far away we are from knowing exactly what will happen for sure

Still way below Average by next Sunday. Only the far south and west temps recover on this run. You could still class this as a cold spell without the snow except Scotland and Northern England. Still 4/5/6 is what we have had most of this week

Isn't that a deep depression to our west? Hopefully heights will move over the top and then the low should sink S.E wards. Or i suspect hang around building up though's rainfall totals

Abit better in the short term.. Long way from nailed i suspect... ECM longer term produces a lot of rain esp in the west with troughs. P.V relocates. So much going on right now. See what they look like later on. I wouldn't be surprised if the models have pushed back the attack until the weekend by Monday. Something tells me that getting cold here is just as hard getting rid of it. The models are making it look easy like our easterly at one point. 51 ens members fall blown. Do i believe the atlantic will come in Thursday. no i don't!

Anywhere but there will do. east or south the better

Hope this proves a point to newspapers. I never read the newspapers to do with weather... The output over the last 24 hours says it all....

A less eroded block over Greenland in FI and the track of low's further south.. FI would look very good indeed

Heights over Greenland later on FI