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Dave Kightley

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Everything posted by Dave Kightley

  1. GFS second go at a slider is probably worse... Crap run! could get interesting in FL though
  2. Quite Underwhelming when you get an snow chance then end up with a mild sector like that.. Just our luck this winter to date
  3. UKMO a tad disappointing for this weekend if you want snow. To far east you would think.. 144h Everywhere but UK with cold uppers!
  4. UKMO looks OK but strange it updates from 92h hours and updates the 144h chart before the 24h one on Meteociel Still updating but looks alot further east... Cold uppers are nearly gone at 120h..
  5. Other then GFS poor slider attempt is actually quite a cold run especially in FI with cold uppers in by Tuesday!!
  6. I'm not overally keen on sliders as they seem to have delivered very marginal snow events in recent times...100 per cent rather have an undercut! Would hope UKMO is correct being further west with it
  7. UKMO 144h has cold air feeding South.. Let someone else make a judgement about the other aspects of it..Can see that low just run over the top of the ridge on that one with it ending on us again but that is a pure guess
  8. 15 years ago, today and tomorrow would of been classed as a cold spell with only 6c out side... It has been a chilly day! But as the big freeze has lifted our expectations, especially mine that it is no longer good enough..
  9. Wouldnt believe that there has been a SSW on that GFS 00Z one.... Sometimes i think it just comes up with anything scientifically or not as it has to show something... When it shows a cold chart then it may be on to something obviously!!
  10. Ukmo is good for europe but in no mans land for us... Really is getting silly now..
  11. With December being quite mild or very mild for some... The model output really needs to behave to get a below average winter you would think...I dont think even the Met predicted December to be so poor by predicting a below average as a reasonable possibility
  12. I would of thought we would be seing cold charts creeping up by now... There were strong Signals for Northern Blocking this winter and so far doing anything but do that!
  13. Ok nearly Snowmaggadon time again! Upto 222h.. hmm might take a while.. though id love the cold uppers being drawn down in the Atlantic to come this way.. Thats just unfortunate... At least any movement north or west with the high the game should be on!
  14. ECM is proper .... Zzzzzz What hell happened? Can't be too long before that signal comes back
  15. Knife age stuff to get that cold air over us by the 25th! Look at the GFS for the 24th...
  16. UKMO and GFS are both quite different over Scandinavia at 144h but both are quite good runs especially GFS.. That GFS Christmas Eve looks white.northern Britain Christmas Day looks white for many Coastal regions
  17. I'm sure that ridge would of been up there for about 2 or 3 days by that point..
  18. Last time I checked as still is the case, were some interest at the back end of next week but soon gets flattened!!
  19. GFS for next week is pretty much a wet one... Not overally mild but thoughs low pressure systems need to behave given the opportunity..
  20. UKMO other then a 'really' deep low at 144h isn't the worst.. Good chance we may see a ridge nudge north in the Atlantic supported by the GFS next week. Will this be sustained is up for question though far from horrible mild weather ( Wednesday 7-9c for most).. Cold zonality or a Nwly as the front finally clears is possible... Doesn't happen on this run but can't see it being long before we look west! GFS FL showing what I were thinking for next week with a slightly less relentless Atlantic low pressures systems flattening it then will be alot better as a result..
  21. Good morning, where are you based? In truth we have had the blocking but really poor results from it so far unlike a lucky few like yourself which is always good to hear
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