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Dave Kightley

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Everything posted by Dave Kightley

  1. Slightly OTT at the end without much support!! Getting the real cold uppers into the UK look a problem.. Given the time of Year as well you may need lower then -5 to get widespread snow
  2. That is going to be a painfully long wait to get that 384h to 0h
  3. I haven't seen the precipitation chart but could that be a front with front edge snow? Turns out after further analysis be something else! Ha
  4. Steve Murr? Never boring when he posts! Don't think I've ever seen him post a mild chart!
  5. The models look pretty chilly, though I think this Greenland block trend could drag on for a while...
  6. That is a shame! His posts were very valuable but I guess Politics got in the way..
  7. I may take a walk along Exmoor whist it is snowing in a few weeks!! If I get stuck then you know where I am!
  8. Anyone know what the ECMWF seasonal model is like? With the NAO forecast positive and QBO going westerly! I'm picking out the negativity in the update from Brian..
  9. Very heavy wet snow at about 4am Wednesday... Stuck on cars etc and again around 8am this time on grass etc
  10. Had a lovely dusting Wednesday morning as a warm up to the dump on Tuesday hopefully
  11. Lovely evening sunshine here.. Couldn't asked for much more other than a tad warmer
  12. GFS alot further east and quicker moving the high east. Could easily be a Scandi high but instead a BBQ fest in the end. So unrealistic to me to blow up the high covering the whole of Europe nearly that can't tell if a Scandi high or Euro is the signal here. HAHA Could easily be either before stating the obvious.
  13. Nice cold uppers on the UKMO this morning 144h has -8 covering the uk. -12 in Scotland
  14. Back for another season of ups and downs. Mullender83 location is ideal during marginal set ups due to his height above sea level as ever. Can the South West pull off a cracker? COME ON!
  15. The models have that 2011/2012 feel to them at the moment with a N.Wly very possible at times.. I'm sure this time in 2011 had a pattern not far off but far off at the same time, with high pressure to the w/s.w for long periods. Current reaction to the model output of late.. I think 2011 had cool zonality at this point, so totally different but a more of a reaction to the current model output with a N.W the best possible outcome at this present time. The ecm 12z at 240 shows to me the vortex making a slight adjustment towards the North pole.
  16. Both GFS and UKmo are keen on pushing our Low further North this morning... GEM is good however
  17. Gfs is really shocking this morning... Also UKMO is really over doing this weather system surely???
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