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Dave Kightley

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Everything posted by Dave Kightley

  1. Dave Kightley
    ECM is ok. Makes less of the mild sector 1am Monday all under colder uppers again. Colder then some other runs anyway..
  2. Dave Kightley
    Gem makes more of the warm sector. Nae is one to follow now
  3. Dave Kightley
    00z are getting closer.... Typical we are so close to the centre though. Parts of the N.e of the region might get lucky on the Nae 00z
  4. Dave Kightley
    I think the Nae backs up the ECM mean with the centre in the channel rather than Wales. Might be wrong though..
  5. Dave Kightley
    The centre of that low will properly need to be over North of France and if so all the models are poor if it does.
  6. Dave Kightley
    that's nasty Steve. Way things are going I won't be surprised of another 30 miles south with that snow line on the 12z.
  7. Dave Kightley
    UKmo 144h looks quite flat to me.. Not great
  8. Dave Kightley
    UKmo wants to go for that low too. Not sure if its any good though. Again....
  9. Dave Kightley
    any chance for the s.w Steve or rain to snow into the evening. Looks better then GFS with less of a warm sector
  10. Dave Kightley
    still that chance just... Think Monday morning might get interesting yet for some parts of our region.. Gunna be interesting how this pans out.
  11. Dave Kightley
    I see where the cold gone now.... won't happen like that.
  12. Dave Kightley
    GFS 18z Is poo. I just have this gut feeling Sunday will not be our time...
  13. Dave Kightley
    Op isn't just important. Met office the ensemble part
  14. Dave Kightley
    Getting pushed back each time though. We had break down end of this weekend one point.. Tuesday, Wednesday now as you say Friday.
  15. Dave Kightley
    Gem is the run of the day for us.. Shame it's only the gem but the other are trending west which is good. Come on ECM!!'
  16. Dave Kightley
    Is that today's 12z run mate?
  17. Dave Kightley
    Very good trend so far of the low pushing further west... Lets hope it keeps up that trend over the coming days..Ukmo is also further west but still rain at the moment.
  18. Dave Kightley
    shows snow by Sunday evening ate
  19. Dave Kightley
    ECM and GFS are good for a rain to snow event as I stated and also that' shortwave around Greenland being a what not reflected in the GFS and ECM output until 192h hours. I rushed into it but still all fl. can't say they we're great runs. The cold uppers are gone by Wednesday.
  20. Dave Kightley
    168h poor.. Model agreement on a shortwave being a pain in the I have a problem.
  21. Dave Kightley
    I can't see a way back to cold on that UKmo 144h or GFS. You would hope the next frame on the ukmomwould go for a slider. Just to Far East. Very disappointed.
  22. Dave Kightley
    Slightly further west on the GFS 00z
  23. Dave Kightley
    I'm surprised the block gets pushed so easily.. UkMo looks better over Greenland and makes less of the feature behind our low Sunday. We will see.
  24. Dave Kightley
    216h no heights to the n.e left. I think it would be rain with ridge building in Atlantic on 240h.to Far East anyway...
  25. Dave Kightley
    There a secondary feature behind this low causing the problems. UKmo makes less of it then ECM.
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