Nick123
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Posts posted by Nick123
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Just now, Gary2701 said:
I can not believe this. When it all kicks off here I will be in 25c down in the Canaries. Guess If I cancel the insurance won't pay out as I go tomorrow!!!!!!
If you cancelled you can guaranteed it would go wrong lol
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Just now, TSNWK said:
Yep. Another option from the pack.
Unfortunately always going to be winners and losers with Atlantic incursions, but I'd bank this for the north
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My local forecast just said snow from the middle of next week is a certainty. I fully expect a monumental backtrack from all models now
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For my own sanity I'm taking a break till the weekend. I dunno how you guys Do it!
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Sorry if this has already been asked but what is a shortwave?
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Just now, MKN said:
People get carried away. If people follow the charts regular think back they'd remember that what the GFS is showing at around 200 hours 'the snowstorm' would only be around a 1-2% chance of verifying.
At the moment the only thing that would be reasonable to say is that it's turning colder again next week after a slightly milder few days with a small risk of Snowfall in the north from Monday with the risk extending southwards later In the week...
Beyond that would be pie in the sky.
If it was a few days away I could understand but a week is like next year in weather terms. Even the professionals can't forecast accurately a week away so what chance do we have!
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I have no knowledge of the charts at all but I do wonder why we get excited about weather that's a week away when they change run by run?
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Here we go again. Fantastic runs only to replaced by disappointment again either later today/tomorrow..
When will we learn?!
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It's so rare to get synoptics that start off amazing and actually stay that way then verify akin 2010. This period just now proves just how rare of a period that was. Will we ever see it again? Probably. Is this time the same? No.
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1 minute ago, Cymro said:
-NAO, West based -NAO
Greenland high and me wan' go home
One run, two runs in FI, me say Oh maybe Westbased -NAO
Keep calm, and enjoy the ride!
Brilliant
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Also can I ask is this eye candy as a result of the ssw? Seems a little early..
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Please guys don't do it to yourselves again. It's nice to look at but wait till its in the reliable (or maybe the next day) before you get excited!
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we have a storm going on here now, wind is scary!
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52 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:
Can’t believe there’s no warnings out it’s bad outside
the wind is so so strong here, a bit worried if its supposed to get worse!
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omg the wind is so strong, a few gusts have literally shook my windows and its forecast to get worse later??
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Wind definitely strengthening here. Starting to get some noisy gusts.
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5 minutes ago, The PIT said:
Is alright there's only a few cart horses and sheep up north so there won't be much of an impact.
Local forecast for today has us peaking at 31 mph for today and we are hitting 40mph normally they are pretty spot on so the predicted 51 mph peak tomorrow is going to be interesting too see what we do actually get.
If this storm was going to hit to saf I'm sure there would be an Amber and the met office all over it. Typical bias as usual
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So confused. 4 posts one after the other. 2 says good start to the day, 2 say poor!!
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Light/moderate snow here aswell.
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Just now, KTtom said:
True, but some are far more likely than others, and I think we do know what the outcome is next week now... ECM deports the - 5 isotherm from UK shores as early as Sunday night!
Could easily delay or flip tonight or even as late as tomorrow.
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13 minutes ago, KTtom said:
The voice of reason!
I was shocked to read some talking up chances of an easterly in the next 3 weeks on the other page ..Hard to see thats possible from the model output and I think Exeter would at least be dropping a hint if it was, so, If it does happen I'll eat my sledge!
There is no voice of reason. Basically we don't know what is going to happen. All options are on the table going forward.
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1 minute ago, gazzac69 said:
bloody raining now
Snow here in Prudhoe
Just now, Nick123 said:Snow here in Prudhoe
Heavy as well
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10 minutes ago, gazzac69 said:
just started to snow in Westmoor
Suddenly looks promising around newcastle and surrounding areas
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2 minutes ago, Nick123 said:
We have the lightest of snow falling here. Prudhoe
For all of 2 mins.
Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Ooo yes please