[Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3]

1 minute ago, Wivenswold said:

There won't be much disruption in the Borders region of Scotland if they get 85 mph gusts. It's a fairly regular event so homes, walls and even trees and wildlife are used to it. Very rural area away from the coasts too. Likewise the far west and Wales. 85mph in London is knocking on a red warning. 

Umm i think 85mph is dangerous whether its a built up area or not. Still could cause branches falling or even trees which could danger life. Yes i agree its more unusual for london - but i still think it merits an amber in the boarders and maybe the NE. 

[Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3]

3 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

As soon as the isobars turn westerly to North westerly, the Lee of the pennines affect could come into play which can enhance gusts from my experience of living there. Looks like come Sunday evening NE Scotland and NE England could see the strongest of the winds. 

Tuesday morning could be one to watch also as the isobars tighten somewhat again but then by the afternoon winds should start to die down slowly. 

Thank you. Just seen the latest bbc forecast and it put particular emphasis on the boarders of scotland getting 85 mph winds. They arent even amber. Its baffling

[Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3]

Do you think newcastle upon tyne and surrounding areas will miss the worst of this storm? 

[Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards]

Looking at that clump of storms im not sure if id be overly excited tonight. Unless they gain intensity over the channel, doesnt look anything out of the ordinary

 

[Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards]

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

any one who is good at predicting, could i get confirmation for any action in kent, preferably Broadstairs  thankyou

 

Ill ask mother nature for you, reply in 10

[Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards]

Feels positively cold here in ne england, yet were supposed to get storms! Brr.

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Just now, shaky said:

Seriously though regardless of that phase 8 MJO BJO whatever you call it!! watch everything flatten out again as if by magic lol!!let the flatten start with the gfs 06z!!!!its a horrible tease from the models especially when the winter has been so boring!!i hope we see the scandi high happen but right now am saying no!!

Calm down dear, its only one run

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/12/2018 Onwards]

Umm the precip is going into france? And there is no pivot? This could be a massive bust for the people in the amber zone? Meanwhile in the NE we have our first few flakes!

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Very progessive EC tonight..not sure but looks like its building a strong PV at day 9..

Getting ready for a very blocky Xmas period one hopes

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

MO have called this to be fair. Short lived scandi high then milder. Let's just hope they're right about it turning colder again towards mid december!

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

3 minutes ago, evans1892 said:

Wasn't expecting this. Dire.

It's all FI. Don't get too upset yet!

[Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold]

2 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

I understand your POV Nick, my main worry though is that there is no guarantee that these building blocks will stay in place throughout the Winter.

Keep the faith man, something is afoot this year

 

 

[Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold]

1 minute ago, AppleUK 123 said:

No need to apologise Nick, as I've said were all here to learn Although I do have some high expectations when it comes to snow and cold as lets face it, it is a rare sight to our shores, so always like the synoptics to be as perfect as possible.

Personally I think these are the building blocks slowly coming into place, for the ultimate UK freeze we want the 'perfect synoptics late dec/jan ideally. The fact that they're showing now can only be encouraging 

[Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold]

2 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

Sorry, I'm only an amateur.

Ah, I feel bad now! I kinda assumed you were trolling so I apologise if i seemed harsh - I was you a year ago and i still am but I've done a lot of research since and i am a weather geek haha. This is such a lovely forum and i wish you well on here

[Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold]

Can i just remind you all just over a week ago we were staring down the barrel of wind and rain and indeed flooding, complete zonal trash, so even if the ecm is right, I for one will be greatful for the seasonal feel!

[Storm Bronagh- Atlantic Storm 2]

Most of the heaviest rain is where the warning isn't?????

[Storm Bronagh- Atlantic Storm 2]

7 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

The Uk Met Office have now named Thursday's Low Storm Bronagh 

Met Office " the storm has been named due to the squally nature of the cold front as it crosses the UK overnight – this could bring transport disruption for the morning" (Friday)

So will there be an amber warning for newcastle?

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018]

1 hour ago, cyclonic happiness said:

Why is the met office putting out warnings for wind on sunday/monday I wonder?

Seems very odd for such a large storm in the charts, to vanish overnight?

I bet we'll see it back later in the day's runs

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-09-23&lat=52.481&lon=-1.4674

Yes i think so too. Either that or the warning will disappear by lunch time.

[Storm Ali - Atlantic Storm 1 18/09/18]

The wind seems to be getting up now! Or is this Helene?

[Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards]

Cant see much happening for the north east away from the immediate coast line.. yet only last night storms were forecast over the pennies exclusively. Just goes to show with these storms its radar watching all the way 

[Far north and northeast of England - regional chat]

9 minutes ago, Stozzy said:

Could see some storms tomorrow then . No warning though 

Yes there is

[Far north and northeast of England - regional chat]

1 minute ago, Boro Snow said:

Just need some proper snow rather than these snow grains as its getting blown all over and not sticking 

Weird it's proper snow here

[Far north and northeast of England - regional chat]

This is worse than the last beast

[Far north and northeast of England - regional chat]

Whiteout here for about 20 mins must have put down an inch 

[Far north and northeast of England - regional chat]

3 minutes ago, doctor32 said:

They are looking much more banded together and if your under these now heavy snow showers for the rest of the night (if they continue) then some significant accumulations likely.

 

I see no difference yet between showers over the NE to showers over South Yorkshire... In my opinion.

The amber only came into effect from 4pm i think. So not including what we have seen up untill then

The showers are supposed to be at their heaviest in the early hours if i have understood correctly. Looks like a streamer setting up over newcastle area?