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Weather Wizard

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Everything posted by Weather Wizard

  1. Don't be greedy for this time of year most of us aren't doing to badly
  2. Yes!!! First storm in NW London here (NW11 9HD) 3 flashes and lots of boombing thunder. I am so excited after somehow all of the last few weeks storms have missed me
  3. listening to 120.4 and all planes at heathrow not wanting to take an approach as cell on final Its not fair everything is forming just south of here
  4. After dying out slightly it looks like it is begining to find new energy on the latest radar grab
  5. There are some gaps in the stuff to the north west of london as I have sadly found out
  6. Well all the planes are holding 15 miles short of lambourne due to a cell over lambourne at the moment I am pretty sure that the planes usually stack clockwise over lambourne I love the look of the stuff over the midlands heading towards London
  7. It was shaping up to be a good day but somehow i managed to find myself in this tiny gap
  8. as the cells approach oxford the cells seem to be finding increased energy
  9. I have gone to heathrow to chase to combine my hobbies of weather and planes, I think cells should start hitting here at around 5:15 anyone have any ideas it looks very convective already
  10. The thing is the GFS precip maps are so inaccurate that pointing them out on here especially past 96h is misleading in itself even though this is the model thread
  11. I was hoping for better on estofex only small chance of lightning.
  12. No they are not!!! As TWS just said dont use the charts on meteociel use the ones on netweather as the charts on meteoceil make it look like a lot of frontal rainfull which clearly there won't be. compared to exactly the same chart on net weather at the same time (meteociel is french time) shows more convective weather (i still don't think it will be anything like shown on netweather as I think it will be more scattered than one big blob of convection) That is exactly my point
  13. Those GFS precip charts as mentioned by john h are terribly innacurate especially for convection and at +132h
  14. I don't think the showers will be so prolonged as 1. There is not such deep cold at 850 (-1 to -4) 2. any convection that gets going will move along rather quickly on a strong breeze
  15. I disagree after monday there is very little frontal rainfull and most of the rain will be from convection which will not be "prolonged"
  16. Those GFS precip charts are rubbish at predicting coonvective rainfull any more than 24h in advance, so i wouldn't take the continous rainfull shown to seriously.
  17. I am not sure how persistent the showers will be after monday as there will be quite a strong breeze so any convective cells should move along quite quickly. There may be quite a lot of convection due to the cold air mass but that isn't persistant. (thursday may see a band of organised rain)
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