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Weather Wizard

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Everything posted by Weather Wizard

  1. If you look at the anomaly chart much of the UK is actually only getting normal (100%) rainful we need more than this to overcome the drought. However it is a start
  2. Quite big diffrences at 144h on the 18z high pressure further north
  3. Chilly 18z FI The perfect synoptics for winter (low pressure to are east)
  4. Thats like saying that since I just flipped a coint 10 times and got a head every time that the next time I am more likely to get a tail. In fact the chances remain 50/50 I think it will be a warm summer overall
  5. Some signs of convection here to the north west of london Didn't expect much but nice to see and what a lovely day
  6. Hi GP I wonder if you are going to do an analysis of how your winter fourecast went? It seemed to me as if it did very well at for the first two months and then was only partly accurate. It still seemed to me that overall it was very accurate and it was probably the most accurate on the web. Thanks
  7. Accoring to Matt Hugo the latest long range ECM forecast is for: "...Definite trend & signal for a trend towards a weak El Nino as well as we progress through summer . Some signs are for unsettled but warm" That sounds very good for T-storms
  8. Sorry for my ignorance but what were the summers in the 1950's like Thanks
  9. Very good UKMO at 120h for cold prospects GFS not as good but not bad
  10. Does anyone know if the air is supposed to cool down at all as it is not settling here
  11. Hi, Surely if the NAE has underestimated the eastern extent to the precip then shouldn't areas further east tommorow get something Thanks
  12. I am listening to 119.5 and it atc keeps repeating only single runway operations. SH7B is PAM due to faulty anti icing
  13. The op was an outlier for having high pressure in the med it seems http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ensviewer;sess=
  14. Yes but look at the PV over Greenland again Grrrrrrr!!!!!!
  15. 12z again shortens the cold snap on Friday with -4 uppers leaving the east of England by 12:00
  16. Wow That's a brilliant fax chart compared to what the models are showing shows how much confidence the UKMO has with the models at the moment.
  17. ECM very similar to GFS but doesnt develop the low in the atlantic at 96h
  18. Steve I think you should find your nearest specsaver's dew points look all positive to me and all surface temps appear to be well above zero.
  19. Yes the low in the atlantic is better placed but the original low on Friday is significantly worse.
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