feb1991blizzard

But why would they come to Britain 'Just for the weather' when clearly there are other options with a far higher percentage chance of having hot temps and unbroken sunshine than Britain does even in July or August.Infact the reason a lot of Brits go abroad is because if they stay here it can be very 50 / 50 ish even in summer.

I doubt you have got anything to worry about there mate, even an ardent cold fan like me would doubt very much that you would come back to britain and find cold weather in august. GP still said around average or even slightly above temps in august anyway, its just that he said there may be more rain than in june.

What i would say is we had soaring temperatures and extremely dry weather in the summer of 1990. If the forecast is to be belived we will be seeing plenty of charts similar to this, one such one is the ECM T240 tonight which i have posted above, with pressure rise to the east. Then we all know what happened the following winter. Lets hope history repeats itself.

ECM your best bet for heat tonight. LP systems tracking further North mid run allowing ressure rise to the east giving hot southerlys at the end.

I will be following those CFS charts religiously over the next 5 months hoping we will get a stonking winter.

I have to say im stunned, its all gone quiet over here. Worried about Moths spiders wasps, flys, sunburn stickyness and high blood pressure. A comprimise i would settle for now would be june, first half of july hot, as long as it gets cooler second half of july and a cool showery aug. If we have to have uncomfortable weather at all, i would rather just get it out the way in the first half of summer.

Just had a sharp snow shower. Has left half an inch on the ground. Lets hope it continues, excellent considering its mid may.

I hope it snows in June

Lets Just hope the conditions forecast for the next week repeat throughout the summer but i cant see it, i still see a very hot spell late may into early june. I suppose i can just hope the sun suddenly loses a load of its energy and the planet is plunged into summers of 10c and winters of -30c

I think so yes. Im pretty new to teleconnections but the La Nina of the past winter was responsible for the mild second half of winter according to most meteorologists / knowledgeable people on here although a weak La Nina wouldnt be too bad apparantely but this would depend on other teleconnections.

The good news is that it is forecast to stay pretty close to neutral untill january. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/nino12SSTMon.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/nino3SSTMon.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/nino4SSTMon.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/nino34SSTMon.gif

Its looking odds on some hot weather for the end of May now. I always thought this would be the case based on GPs posts in the technical thread and the fact that i havent seen that many Mays without at least a few days of hot weather. The Met office have come on board but interestingly they say the North East will be the driest and warmest and some thundery outbreaks in the South which suggests High pressure over North Eastern Britain into the North sea pulling up southerly thundery plumes into the south so it could turn out to be a warmer than average month but also a wetter than average month, latter of which i am suprised at but it looks odds on now, particularly after the last few days.

Stonking forecast for my area for this week and particularly Thursday, Friday, and Saturday with loads of cloud and rain and little sunshine. Looking at the model output i wouldnt have thought it would be QUITE as wet as this but at least it will be on the cool side no matter what. Just about the only thing missing is a frost but i would take cloudy showery weather now all the way through the summer just to get through it and back to winter. http://news.bbc.co.u...t/4278?area=OL1

[b]I agree entirely Ian. I think the Netweather forum is excellent and there isnt another one that comes close to it but there is a lot of hypocrisy on here at times.[/b]

Definately increasing, i dont see how there can be any argument against that unless there is some sort of conspiracy going on involving all the worlds meteorological organisations which it would be farcical to suggest, however there are two things to note, firstly this planet has cooled and warmed on many occasions in its existance so i dont belive that all of a sudden it is because of man and secondly Ice ages in the past have been preceded by a period of warming.

Looking like ferk all here again. I have to say though it doesnt come close to the disappointment on the evening of the 17th of december when everywhere west of here was getting massive wintry convections and we only got a couple of inches at the tail end.

Looks like its been too far west to affect me although i dont have access to a lightening radar, im just going on the brightest colours on the met office radar. There is a band on the 2130 frame just to the south but there is no red in it, mainly yellow with a bit of pink in there. If its going to affect me it will have to do it soon me thinks.

looks good for some reallly heavy rain soon here, hopefully with thunder. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/

Oops hang on a minute, ive just looked at the radar and there looks to be some convection covering a large area just to the south west of us.

Ferk all here im afraid and im not too confident of anything tommorow either.

I remember it well as i was out in the sun for 7 hours on a saturday and got severe sunburn on the head which swelled up near my eye and i looked a proper state for a few days but i also remember there was a couple of very chilly days either towards the end of may or early june because the french open tennnis was on at the time.

I have to say ive just noticed its a bit cold and i normally dont feel the cold at all. Still 6c here though.

I would like to see permanent Northern lattitude blocking prevail for the next year (a sort of reverse Bartlett only lasting a lot longer) starting off to the North west giving some very cool showery summer weather and then moving into scandinavia during November giving the mother of all easterlies lasting the whole winter with -20c uppers covering the whole country and some massive convections getting right across to the west as well.

I went for 12.8 on my prediction which is a good 1.5 above average and even then the only reason i went that low was because of the met office 30 dayer intimating that there would be a fair amount of cloud and rain around which would obviously bring the temp down and because the model output looked a bit chilly for the first week. I otherwise would probably of gone for well over 13 as i am convinced that at some point there will be a genuine hot spell in may, probably towards the end.

I feel comforted by the fact that the best meteorlogist of them all of the last 6 months has only gone 0.1c above my forecast