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After crossing the Texas coast,Don poofed like some tropical waves exiting Africa. Don is currently a TD.

TD 11W formed today pretty close to equator,at 5.6 N and 147.2 E. It is looking good and it will move generally to northwest next 4 days and intensify,but then it will begin to recurve the STR (subtropical ridge) . At the end of forecast period (5 days) it will be a 90 kt typhoon. Satellite image:

In most of Croatia it is cloudy,cool,and rainy. I HATE IT!!! Temperatures at any place in Croatia today probably won't xceed 30 Celsius.

Atmosphere is still unstable and there are some thunderstorms. At 10:23 in Croatia temperatures are varying from 19 to 29 Celsius.

Cindy is crossing 22 C isotherm. NHC writes in its discussion that Cindy will not undergo xtropical transition but become post-tropical because Cindy is now having a well estabilished upper-level warm core. Microwave image:

Dora is still over 28 C waters but she has weakened to 125 mph Cat3 and she is undergoing high northerly wind shear. Dvorak's T number is 2,2 Satellite image: Bye,Dora the Explorer.

Cindy will soon move over cold waters and it will become xtropical. NHC discussion -> Statement as of 11:00 am AST on July 21, 2011 satellite imagery shows that Cindy has several ragged convectivebands around the center this morning. Satellite intensityestimates have increased to 45 kt from TAFB and remain 35 kt fromSAB. Based on this...the initial intensity remains 50 kt. Thecirrus outflow has become more anticyclonic over the system duringthe last 24 hr...with good outflow over the northeasternsemicircle. The initial motion is 040/25. Cindy is embedded in moderatedeep-layer southwesterly flow between the subtropical ridge to thesoutheast and the main band of the westerlies to the northwest. This pattern is forecast to persist and steer Cindy generallynortheastward for 36 hr or so...followed by a more east-northeastward motion before the cyclone dissipates. The trackguidance has shifted a bit to the left since the previousadvisory...and the forecast track has been adjusted to the left aswell. Cindy is moving across the north side of the Gulf Stream and shouldsoon encounter steadily decreasing sea surface temperatures. Thisand the onset of extratropical transition should cause weakening. The intensity forecast is mostly an update of the previousforecast...calling for Cindy to dissipate by the 72 hr point. Oneslight adjustment is to delay the completion of extratropicaltransition by 12 hr based on the latest global model forecasts. Forecast positions and Max winds init 21/1500z 40.3n 47.3w 50 kt 60 mph 12h 22/0000z 42.7n 43.6w 50 kt 60 mph 24h 22/1200z 45.9n 38.4w 45 kt 50 mph 36h 23/0000z 49.8n 32.8w 40 kt 45 mph...Post-trop/extratrop 48h 23/1200z 52.0n 26.0w 25 kt 30 mph...Post-trop/extratrop 72h 24/1200z...dissipated $$forecaster Beven Satellite image ->

Bret is fighting with wind shear and dry air and its intensity has fallen to 35 kts. Discussion from NHC -> Statement as of 11:00 am AST on July 21, 2011 While Bret continues to generate a strong convective cluster southof the exposed low-level center...the system is gradually losingorganization as it remains affected by northerly vertical windshear. There is no recent data from near the center. However...tropical-storm winds could still be occurring in and near theconvection based on a 1-minute wind of 33 kt recently observed atbuoy 41048. Thus...the initial intensity remains a possiblygenerous 35 kt. The initial motion is 055/8. There is no significant change to theprevious forecast track or reasoning. Bret should movenortheastward in the flow on the north side of the subtropicalridge until it dissipates...with a gradual increase in forwardspeed during that time. The new forecast track is similar to theprevious advisory. Bret is moving through an area of mid/upper-level dry air...and itis expected to encounter gradually decreasing sea surfacetemperatures along the forecast track. This combination is likelyto cause the cyclone to weaken even though the shear is expected todecrease during the next few days. All of the intensity guidanceforecast the system to dissipate during the next two to threedays...and the intensity forecast follows this scenario. The newintensity forecast is unchanged from the previous forecast. Forecast positions and Max winds init 21/1500z 33.8n 70.6w 35 kt 40 mph 12h 22/0000z 35.0n 69.0w 30 kt 35 mph 24h 22/1200z 36.8n 66.1w 30 kt 35 mph 36h 23/0000z 38.6n 62.1w 25 kt 30 mph...Post-trop/remnt low 48h 23/1200z...dissipated $$forecaster Beven Satellite image ->

Dora is looking nearly perfect and it has to strengthen only 1 mph more to become a Cat5. Satellite image:

Ma-on is now a "Tropical Depression" according to JTWC. Satellite image: Ma-on's LLCC is devoid of deep convection and exposed.Stratocumulus clouds are advecting southward and wrapping into Ma-on.

What I've found while lurking on Storm2k A MUCH FASTER RATE OF WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER<br style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; ">TWO DAYS AS DORA EXPLORES THE COLDER WATERS OF THE EASTERN<br style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; ">PACIFIC.<br style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; "><br style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; ">"SWIPER NO SWIPING! SWIPER NO SWIPING! SWIPER NO-" "You're too late! Now you'll never find the warm waters of the East Pacific!" Dora is now a powerful and possibly annular Cat4 hurricane with sustained winds of 140 mph.

Heatwave ended yesterday. The front is passing over Croatia. Today's maxima in Croatia will vary from 20 to 30 Celsius. Some thunderstorms are also possible.

Dora is now a 80 mph Cat1 hurricane,and it is moving WNW and steady intensifying in favorable environment.<div>As the mid level ridge over (I think) central USA weakens and moves to east,Dora will move in NW direction and peak as a Cat3 major hurricane.</div><div>Then Dora will cross in unfavorable environment over cooler waters and dry air.<br><br><br> </div>

Today Bret has exposed center,but it maintained intensity at 45 kts. Discussion although Bret is only producing a small amount of deep convectionthis morning...data from the Air Force Reserve hurricane huntersindicate that the storm has not weakened yet. Flight-level winds...SFMR winds...and dropsonde data all suggest an initial intensityof 45 kt. Gradual weakening is still forecast as the atmosphericenvironment is expected to remain hostile with north-northeasterlyshear near 30 kt and rather dry mid-level air being entrained intothe cyclone. The NHC intensity forecast is unchanged from earlierand calls for Bret to dissipate by day 3...in agreement with mostof the guidance. Aircraft and satellite fixes indicate that Bret has turned a bit tothe right during the past 6 to 12 hours...and the initial motionestimate is 050/06. A northeastward motion with a gradual increasein forward speed is forecast until dissipation. The track modelguidance is in good agreement...and the new official forecast isessentially an update of the previous one. The 34-kt wind and 12-ft seas radii have been adjusted based onaircraft and altimeter data...respectively. Forecast positions and Max winds init 20/0900z 31.1n 74.4w 45 kt 50 mph 12h 20/1800z 31.9n 73.4w 40 kt 45 mph 24h 21/0600z 33.2n 71.9w 40 kt 45 mph 36h 21/1800z 34.6n 70.2w 35 kt 40 mph 48h 22/0600z 36.2n 68.0w 30 kt 35 mph 72h 23/0600z...dissipated

Ma-on will now make sharp turn to east and later to east-southeast. Then a trough will pick up it NE-ward and Ma-on will become xtropical.

Even weaker storms can be dangerous.Winds are not the most dangerous, but the rain, and in low lying areas, storm surge. It is good that Japan is well prepared for tropical cyclones.

We've got Invest 98L. Satellite image: Currently at 20%.

We've got Invest 94E. Satellite image: Currently at 20%.

Ma-on further intensified to a powerful Cat4 with 1-min sustained winds of 130 mph.]

Heatwave. Today's maxima in northern and eastern Croatia will vary between 28 and 34 Celsius. In western and southern Croatia today's maxima will vary between 31 and 40 Celsius. Sunny and hot.

Some models are predicting a slowdown and maybe a loop when it nears Ryukyu and Japan.

Very warm weather in Croatia. Today's temperatures will reach from 29 to 37 degrees.

The heatwave is coming and it will end about July 22. Temperatures are now from 27 to 35 degrees. It is sunny and hot.

And we go!Inves 96L came! Satellite image: Models say Bret I think 96L has biggest chances of developing if it moves NNW.

After a not-so-warm start of July,weather is improving. With mostly sunny weather,temperatures will soar from 25 to 33.