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onlyME

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Everything posted by onlyME

  1. Excellent video but moderator should move this thread in the correct area of forum.
  2. On June 29 there were storms in NE Croatia because of a large low to the NE of Croatia. Today a cold front came to west of Croatia and it is bringing some rain and thunderstorms. Now in Croatia temperatures are from 18 to 29 Celsius.
  3. Arlene just made landfall in Mexico with sustained winds of 60 mph,gusting to 75 mph. There is a possibility that Arlene was hurricane at the landfall because of eye: The eye on satellite:
  4. In September thunderstorms are frequent because of high number of cold fronts.Storm are also frequent in May and June in all of the Croatia except coastal areas because of unstable air.The best time for pre-season vacation is mid May.The weather is generally sunny and very warm from late June to early August.In mid August number of thunderstorms and cold fronts begins to increase. And answer: In September there are lots of storms,a little more than May.The most rain falls in November and December,but it doesn't fall in thunderstorms. It is best to check forecast for cold fronts which bring lots of thunderstorms. Link to DHMZ(Croatian meteorological dept.)on English: http://meteo.hr/index_en.php
  5. Heatwave ended on June 24 when weak front passed through Croatia with very little rain. June 25 was cooler and windy.Temperatures reached 20 to 30 Celsius. June 26 is another warm day with temperatures forecasted to reach 23 to 33 Celsius in Croatia.
  6. Meari is nearly extratropical and it has developed fronts. Satellite image
  7. Meari's circulation extends from North Korean-Russian border to southern Filipinos(Phillippines) It's SOO huge! This satellite image depicts size of Meari and weakening convection on broad LLCC. Meari will continue northward before becoming extratropical.As extratropical storm,it will make landfall near Chinese-North Korean border. Some news about Meari MANILA, Philippines—(UPDATE) Tropical Storm Falcon (Meari) left the Philippines Saturday morning but gained strength as it moved north-northwest, dissolving a low pressure area that had spun off its tail over the Pacific Ocean on Friday, the weather bureau said. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said fairer skies were expected on Monday as the southwest monsoon, which has been bringing pounding rain over much of Luzon in the past few days, is expected to wane. “The low pressure area went out with Falcon quickly so it will continue to suck the southwest monsoon today. Fair weather [is expected] Monday to Wednesday,†said Graciano Yumul, the undersecretary of science who supervises Pagasa. The last storm warnings over the Calayan, Babuyan and Batanes groups of islands were also lifted on Saturday. The southwest monsoon, however, continued to bring rains of between 6- and 15-mm per hour, considered heavy per the Pagasa scale, over parts of Northern and Central Luzon through most of Saturday. Pagasa also issued flashflood and landslide warnings in several provinces in Luzon: Pampanga, Bataan, Bulacan, Zambales, Tarlac, Pangasinan, La Union, Benguet, Mountain Province, Abra, Ilocos Sur and Ilocos Norte. The Ipo dam in Bulacan and the Ambuklao and Binga dams in Benguet continued to release water as heavy rains filled the reservoirs to their spilling levels, a check with Pagasa’s hydrometeorology section showed. Water at the Ipo Dam, which has been releasing water since Thursday night, was beyond critical at 100.88 meters at 11 a.m. Saturday. The dam’s spilling level is at 100.87 meters. Ambuklao has also reached critical with 752.08 meters of water, slightly beyond its threshold of 752 meters. Binga had reserves of up to 565.55 meters of water, already considered critical while far from its capacity 575 meters because of structural integrity concerns, said Pagasa. La Mesa dam continued to overflow as its water level stood at 80.32 meters as of 11 a.m., beyond its capacity 80.15 meters.
  8. Haima used well the extreme warm waters(30-32 Celsius) of Gulf of Tonkin and it has intensified to 40 mph TS. Haima is currently looking good.
  9. Meari became more organized today morning. It is forecasted to reach typhoon strength northeast of Taiwan and become extratropical near Korea. It still has characteristics of monsoon depression. Some dry air is on the west of storm,but it will not be problem for Meari because of all the moisture that Meari contains. Satellite image:
  10. Meari has the characteristics of monsoon depression. It is HUGE and it has minor vortices rotating over the main center. The center is very hard to locate.
  11. Temperatures have been steady warming except of cold front in northern Croatia on June 19. Yesterday's maxima in some places soared to 36 Celsius. Today's maxima will be from 25 to 37 Celsius. The first true heatwave has came to Croatia.
  12. At morning Beatriz TOTALLY has fallen apart. Recon did not find closed circulation and Beatriz is devoid of convection. Bye-bye!
  13. Please rename the thread to Tropical Storm Haima because the official RSMC in this area,JMA,gave TS 6 a name.
  14. Beatriz is near the Mexico coast. It's a 75 mph hurricane with gusts to 90 mph. Today Beatriz will brush the Mexico coast before turning westward an weakening.
  15. NHC'S DISCUSSION: It isn't clear to me why forecasters from NHC write so much "..." . Discussion and 48-hour outlook ------------------------------ at 200 am PDT...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Beatriz was located near latitude 15.7 north...longitude 102.6 west. Beatriz is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph...17 km/h...and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next day or two. On the forecast track...the center of Beatriz is expected to approach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area by late this evening or early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph...95 km/h...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is likely during the next 48 hours...and Beatriz is forecast to become a hurricane later today. An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the tropical storm later today and provide a better estimate of its strength. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km from the center. Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb...29.44 inches. Hazards affecting land ---------------------- wind...hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area by late Monday or early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area on Monday...making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Rainfall...Beatriz is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 8 inches along the coasts of the states of Jalisco... Colima...and michoacan in southwestern Mexico...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches over mountainous terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Storm surge...a storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds within the Hurricane Warning area. Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
  16. Even in 9 o'clock some weather stations are reporting temperatures of 27 Celsius. Today's temperatures will be high...
  17. If this is an organised tropical system,pigs are flying around me.
  18. Today was a warm day with daily maxima from 23 to 34 Celsius. There has been some convective development.
  19. I'm sorry,but sentence "Back on topic" was a separator from my offtopic and ontopic part of reply.The reason because I write the sentence "Whaat mezzacyclone?" is that his reply confused me.Sorry!
  20. Whaat mezzacyclone? Back on topic. Adrian is now a pathetic 45 mph tropical storm(a low level cloud swirl) and it will dissipate soon.
  21. Sarika Today-News Tropical Storm (TS) 05w (Sarika), located approximately 160 nm east-southeast of Hong Kong, China, has tracked northward at 14 knots over the past six hours. Animated infrared (ir) satellite imagery shows a fully exposed low level circulation center 35nm to the northeast of the deep convection. The initial position was based on the IR imagery with high confidence. The initial intensity was based on a 996mb ship observation 40 nm away. Animated water vapor imagery shows a tropical upper tropospheric trough (tutt) located just north of the system is causing subsidence aloft and moderate northeasterly vertical wind shear (vws) of 25 to 30 knots. Ts Sarika is currently steering along the western periphery of a low- to mid- level subtropical steering ridge.
  22. We'd have unstable and steamy day with lots of warmth. Today?s maximum temperatures will be from 20 to 33 Celsius.
  23. Adrian is now a pathetic-looking Cat2.Poor.Due to rapid decay I think it was not annular.
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