snowwonder

Just had this from someone at Luton airport!!! Bit off topic but thought worth sharing!! What follows is the early view of what the end of this week might look like for the UK. Temperatures are expected to continue to fall as we move in to the second part of this week. Day time temperatures will barely climb above freezing (except for the far south west and Ireland) and overnight we will see -4 to -6 falling to -8 to -10 by Fri/Sat. **SEVERE ICING RISK** UK - As forecast we have seen large accumulations of snow across far eastern parts of the UK over the last few days which mostly missed LTN & STN, but ice is now affecting many other areas of the country. The next 2 days look much drier and brighter but still very cold, giving us some respite from potentially disruptive wintry weather but a continued risk of severe frost and ice and plenty of de-icing activity. However, towards the end of the week it looks as though there will be a transition to more unsettled conditions spreading from the west. Over the last few days the UK has seen a battle between cold air to the east and north-east, and milder, moist air to the west. Cold air has certainly won the battle for the moment but milder air in the west is trying to push against it all the time. This is creating very difficult conditions to forecast. The current thoughts are that a band of rain will push in from the west on Friday, hit cold air and turn to snow that could produce significant accumulations for much of the UK. The main risk areas initially are Northern Ireland, Wales, northwest England, the West Midlands and southwest England but it is likely that these conditions will move east over the course of Friday and into the weekend. However, considerable uncertainty remains in exactly how the band of precipitation will then position itself, whether it continues northeast or stalls over western Britain. In the extreme west, snow is likely to turn back to rain but we could see large accumulations of snow in places. Amounts of snow are highly uncertain but there is currently a moderate risk of severe disruption to our operation. Over the weekend further outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow are expected to push in from the west but there is still considerable uncertainty as to how quickly this might happen and whether or not we will see slightly less cold conditions despite the above predictions. London Airports LTN/STN/LGW/SEN - The weather outlook for today and tomorrow is very cold with visibility issues due to freezing fog and then low cloud. Temperatures are set to stay below freezing over the next few days. There is a threat of substantial snowfall for Friday afternoon with a 50-60% risk of snow from the west making its way across to the London Area. If any snow does fall on Friday it is expected to arrive mid morning (however, it is too early to tell with any certainty at this early stage) and be with us for most of the afternoon into early evening. If the snow does eventuate, there is 40-50% probability of accumulations of up to 10cm's. Due to the nature of the forecast OCC will be providing daily updates and will be in regular contact with the Met office. ** Would all relevant business areas ensure they are fully prepared for this next cold weather event? **

Anyone think there is a streamer developing just near the wash???

Will elevation help with the snow tomorrow. For example near Luton airport is about 160m asl. Will that help re warm sector?

Very light snow here near Luton airport!! Hoping for more later. I think we will be ok re warm sector tomorrow!!

Does this warm sector include Luton or are we high enough up and far enough west??? CIA

Panic not! Latest forecast on BBC said def an increasing risk of snow for all!! No chance of rain in Luton being that bit higher up anyway!

Dont post very often, still getting to grips with model reading!! Any chance that the ECM has only just recieved its snow/cold party invitation and will accept via RSVP later this evening!!! lol GFS seems very consistant at the moment re cold/snow. Hope ECM does accept its invitation!!!

I work in Bedford so should be fun this morning!!

2 inches here near Luton airport!!! Big surprise!!!

Hi everyone, I am on a residential school trip at Grafham Water (Northants) from Mon to Wed with 70 kids! Anyone know what the weather may be. looking at the latest am i right saying Monday wet and breezy and Tues and wed breezy and showery? Any advice would be very helpful Cheers

How's it looking for good old Luton, the band to the east seems on track for here am i right??

Doesn't look great for travelling from Luton to the Cotswold's on Friday for a long weekend!!! How much do you think we will get? I reckon it will be worse the further west we travel.

Hi everyone, steady snow in Luton not as heavy as I thought it would be. Not sure the front will stall seems to picking up speed! But I might be completely wrong!! Any thoughts??

yeah every week in kenny end! Do many away games too!! will win play offs this year! Hoping this front gets here!

Is it me but it looks like its stalling!!!

Do you go each week, thats where I sit!! Where you at York game last season when it was abandoned! Took me 4 hours to get back to wigmore!!! lol

Normally shouting c'mon Luton every Saturday afternoon!!!!! So C'MON Snow come to Luton!! lol

As Luton is about 150m asl I feel we may be in a sweet spot too! What do others think? Anyone got a link with Luton airport and their thoughts!! Fingers crossed for everyone.

Worried the new fax charts put us too far east now!!

In wigmore!! So you will get the snow first! lol

Me too! Fingers crossed, just hope that front makes it, lol? Being high up will help, what area in Luton you in?

Looking good for Luton at the weekend dont you think?

Hi All Please mods don't delete. Just wanted to acknowledge the expertise in this MD forum. I have been reading for many years now, I find it difficult to understand the charts so rely heavily on others. I respect so many of you with your knowledge and it makes reading this forum very interesting and in winter very compelling. I appreciate that at times it gets very heated in here but my advice to others is that I know now who I want to read and who to skip over, this makes the read a lot easier. I know this isn't model discussion as such but I know over the past few days it has been a testing time. But, please believe everyone, that for total amateurs such as myself it is fascinating. Just felt it needed saying. Cheers P.S. I believe that winter will bite us back! and looking at the charts to my very inexperienced eye, something is brewing!

BFTP Any little clues to your thoughts? Something seasonal would be my guess! Anything after 72hrs IMHO is FI at the moment.

Hi Everyone, may be a bit off topic but can anyone recommend a good book that will help me read the charts that are often posted. I am such a novice but want to learn to read them myself. If not has anyone got the time to post a couple of charts and explain what they are telling us. Sorry mods if off topic! CIA Graham