Lauren

Don't worry, aircraft are built to handle strikes and if the weather is too dangerous, they won't be allowed to take off. On average most aircraft are hit at least once a year and most of the time the passengers will know nothing about it.

Not even a drop of rain so far and BBC have downgraded to just overcast all day. I hope they're wrong.

Some very impressive looking Cb out over the Essex/Kent coast.

Looking at that it will all head North of me

Thanks Mike, that's helpful.

Yeah, I'm not so sue about that. BBC, Met and Netweather are saying occasional rain showers and have had storm risk decreased from 65% to 5%.

I checked my rain gauge this morning after the showers we had last night and I was surprised we only had just short of 1mm considering we had gentle rain on and off for 2 hours. Currently blue skies with no sign of rain.

Why are those locations particularly 'hot'? I'm going 34C in Gravesend,

Seems to be lots of convection towards London/Essex way but doesn't appear to be dropping anything.

Firstly, I do not mean this thread to be a dig in any way whatsoever, I am genuinely interested. Second, I apologise if it is in the wrong place. What I am wondering is; what makes weather forecasts go through periods of accuracy and huge errors. I understand that storms and snow are difficult to forecast, but that aside, I have noticed many sites going through phases of continually getting it wrong. For example at the moment the BBC has been accurate only 20%* of the time in the last month, compared to being pretty much spot on the previous month. That's not in regards to unusual weather but things such as rain, temperature etc. I know that many sites use the same models and such to get their forecasts, so my question is what causes phases of inaccuracy in forecasts, even with 'normal' weather? * I measured that in terms of if the weather was doing what it said at that time range (give or take an hour) and if the temperature was what it said to within 4-5C, for example.

They have been pretty atrocious in general the last month or so.

Bust for Kent again and the BBC has now downgraded to light rain today and tomorrow.

Looks like I'm missing out again....

So as I can make out, it's looking to miss Kent?

In laymans terms, how do storms form in overcast conditions?

Same position timeless. Storm chance has been reduced to 0%.

Also netweather have reduced to 0% risk of storms!

And expected, the storm symbols have been removed for my area today and tomorrow.

This year I saw a storm literally split in half and then rejoin once it had passed my area. That is the strength of the Medway Storm Shield.

I think it might be worthwhile advertising this thread as I only caught it by chance from Bobbys status post on the side.

Just started gently raining, which sounds and smells lovely. I hope there's more to come as the garden needs watering.

Considering how unpredictable our weather is, I often find it weird how people will be adamant the charts are gospel a month out. Hell, the charts can be wrong on the bloody day! So as a layperson, are the current runs showing rain nearly every day for July?

I'm quite confused to be honest, I thought the country (save for a few areas) is getting exactly what would be expected in June?

I haven't seen a proper storm since El Gordo, although I am giving last years night storm a slight nod as it did give T&L but not overhead.

And the T-Storm warning has disappeared from my area for tomorrow and Saturday despite the Met now issuing a warning. Considering the BBC get their info from tbe Met, this makes no sense.