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Posts posted by Mapantz
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I am just a bit confused as to why the southeast are still under a warning for wind and we aren't.
Gusts of 50mph to 55mph can still cause damage particularly if they are frequent. Perhaps the situation is very difficult at the moment to make accurate predictions on what wind speeds can be expected.
Coastal stretches from Dorset to Kent are likely to see gusts of 70mph, perhaps higher. Their warnings fall quite nicely with the last GFS run.
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Is it me, or do the MO warnings keep changing? They removed the Western/South Western warnings for a time, and now they're back again. Perhaps it's a glitch?
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Met Office have changed their warnings agian.
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Turned out to be rubbish here. No gusty winds with that squall line for me, and just a few spots of rain.
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45 to 55 mph maybe?
Quite agree, i definitely wouldn't say light winds. Ok, not as pokey as Northern parts, but gales will develop in the channel.
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Does it? Anyone else?
Charts with blue like that are deceiving, don't get too excited. :unsure:
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Cloud 10 - I can confirm that the Netweather radar corresponds with the image you posted :winky:
That's because the overlay comes straight from that lightning detection software.
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What's the chances of this rain turning thundery as it hits NE England?
Edit...
A couple of strikes not far from Minsterworth? :o
Not according to this one , and i treat this as one of the most accurate. Not a single sferic since the early hours.
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just got soaked here in Bmouth. Thought i could hear thunder then realised it was the sliding doors of the shop i was hiding by
I can see the darkness over your way, my webcam points in that direction. Really nice bronze colours in the cloud formations too.
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Interestingly, there's not been any electrical activity since the early hours of this morning.
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I've missed everything today, extremely unlucky.
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I think i'm in the only dry spot of Dorset right now. It's passing me by about quarter of a mile to my West.
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I think the radar needs calibrating or something. According to the postcode zoom for my area, i'm under a red to white blob, had a couple of drops that lasted less than 15 seconds, and the sun is out. Doesn't seem right to me! :wacko:
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To be brutally honest, i think a few of you are getting a bit carried away with the bulk moving up from the channel.
An NVA lobe is progged around Sussex/Kent, this is likely to bring down the rainfall rates, most probably the heaviest right on the coast of Kent and up in to East Anglia. Not saying there won't be some heavier bursts about, but otherwise, the MO would have an advisory out on this by now.
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Fax shows the trough around the South West tomorrow:
NAE not far out from the fax:
Looking forward to seeing what develops tomorrow.
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MO have a watch out for parts of Devon/Dorset and the IOW for Friday. The latest NAE backs that up quite nicely. Just have to wait and see i gues?!
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The rain over France has definitely intensified!
Kent and Clipper spring to mind lol
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Dorset/IOW is looking pretty funky tomorrow. Probably more chance of something tomorrow than today.
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Am I looking at the right thing Paul, a hook echo on the SE flank of that cell?....If so, it's quite pronounced and has lasted for about 20 mins so far
That cell passed right over me. Just heavy rain .. slight inflow, but nothing remotely tornadic about it.
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Had a bit of a deluge here over the last hour. Bumped the total up nicely.
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23.2mm in the last 24hrs here. Wareham quay (River Frome) was flooded on the high tide this morning.
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Not surprising that area is under a warning, after all the rain they've had. And with the PVA at vortmax over the same area, it shows a lot more heavy rain to come, and likely in my region too.
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Normally when a LOW is moving in and high level frontal cloud advancing the showery activity dies down, however some very heavy cells have broken out through the evening moving inland from the Dorset/West Hampshire coast.
Yeah, it lashed it down here just a moment ago .. in the space of 45 minutes, i've gone from 4.6mm to 12mm.
All very welcome though, it's been an exceptionally dry October for these parts.
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There's been thunder & lightning and some good downpours here. Looks as though some more is pushing up from the channel.
Atlantic Storms - 12th December 2011 Onwards Part 2
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted · Edited by Mapantz
I spoke to them not long ago, they've said there are no amber warnings in force at the moment, but they are monitoring the situation carefully.