Robbie Garrett

Furthermore, Area D (London/East Anglia and South East) Occlusion and Warm Fronts moving North North East at 20knots with the Fronts overhead south downs or so at - Ocasional 7km visibility in Showers of Rain With TSRA (Thunderstorm In Rain) in area D1 is a cold front moving East at 10knots) (English Channel and France) and MAINLY FRONTS. So in English, best of the weather will be the South East, however most likely France/English Channel according to MetOffice Aviation.

TAF Updates soon, I'll see if it's a PROBABILITY or a 100% likely to happen, at the moment it's a 100% of a temporary change from CAVOK (Clouds and VIS OK) with a PROB30 of HEAVY Thunderstorm in Rain, but saying this those storms we had on the 27th June, that was a PROB30, with no 100% likely. EGLL 221115Z 2212/2318 07005KT CAVOK TEMPO 2301/2308 7000 SHRA TSRA PROB30 TEMPO 2302/2308 3000 +SHRA +TSRA BECMG 2304/2307 5000 BR -DZ SCT007 BKN010 TEMPO 2306/2312

Rain showers and thunderstorm rain for Heathrow EGLL 221115Z 2212/2318 07005KT CAVOK TEMPO 2301/2308 7000 SHRA TSRA Between 01 and 08z tomorrow that's 2am-09am UK Local!

Whatever happens it's going to be a devastating Hurricane making landfall where it does. NASA forecasters are closely following Hurricane Irene. The latest track shows the storm off Kennedy Space Center's coast on Friday morning.

Jeeze, that's a CAT 5 hitting east cost of the USA then?

First one to Hit the mainland in since how long?? 2 years? Irene looks set to hit Florida according to NOAA NHC.

I have a very accurate forecast, It's used in aviation. It will be what it will be

But wasn't November and December officially the coldest since 1983 and the coldest in over 100 years respectively? I can't remember anymore snowfall down in London after the December snowfall, but remember it remaining pretty cold for a while, thawing in early January (still remember ice/snow in February at Biggin Hill) What would be interesting is to see if the high pressure starts to block again this winter, and where it is relative to last years block, that would give us a definitive idea of how cold this winter is going to be. Are we not scientifically overdue an ice age?

Well there's the first of the Autumn storms for the UK, looks set to hit us within 1-1/2 weeks?

What I've noticed about this Summer, there is a lot of cloud cover - that has and hasn't helped our Summer, some little cloud - lots of sunshine, hot night - next day really muggy cloud = which lead to that 33.4*C or whatever it was, which kept the temperatures where they where. A good summer, I believe is generally less moist - lots of dry heat, no cloud = the Summer 2003 heatwave. Our summers seem too moist to be summers, rather than what we had years and years ago. I am a fan of Global Cooling and Climate Change, but not a fan of 'Man-made Global warming' - as science suggests that a a lot of dinosaurs pooped and created as much global warming as us humans, the last time earth had issues.

Well in Winter 2010, when I was stupid enough to go to Biggin Hill Airport at 4/5am the temperature was around -15*C according to the weather station that we had. -20*C for London, would be cool - not much TFL and Boris can do about it now can he? LOL

That brimming cell is now going 080-090 magnetic no longer north east. For Kent Sake!

Nothing beats it, lol! I would love to see a Suepercell head northbound, get the Orographic affect then the urban affect, does anybody remember this happening? Most UK Supercells Ive know have just scraped KENT!

Seems thing to be intensifying near Gatwick, as they pass near the Southdowns. Thank god for my MET book!

Post of the year more like, I've known Autumn can be very Thunderstorm Intense? Especially at night!

-20 in London?? :S

Right lets see how good the MetOffice really are, just updated at 22:41 - it expects that London will get a Thunder Shower at 1am! Whos' up for waiting for this baby?

Current Metars LONDON/CITY EGLC 072120Z AUTO 19005KT 140V240 9999NDV NCD 16/10 Q1001 LONDON/GATWICK EGKK 072120Z 17007KT 140V210 9999 FEW032 15/12 Q1002 LONDON/HEATHROW EGLL 072120Z 20007KT 140V250 CAVOK 15/11 Q1001 NOSIG SOUTHAMPTON/EASTLEIGH EGHI 072120Z 26009KT 220V290 6000 TSRA FEW018 SCT033CB BKN042 12/09 Q1002 With the TAFs for London Airports basically saying no TSRA TEMPO 0719/0803 7000 SHRA PROB40 TEMPO 0721/0803 3000 +SHRA

They haven't hit the Downs yet, give it 30 minutes, if it does nothing to re-uplift them - sods law go to bed. Are you on MSN/Skype? Inbox me - I fancy waiting for the lot behind this lot.

Shhh, that's a good thing! Hiiiii Girls

I can see something in the very distant horizon, possibly lightning flashing every 2-3 seconds just south of London, maybe north of LGW. Not sure, can't be too sure - but looking at the radar - it has to be what I think it is! + the one behind the current brighton storm looks nope - still swearinging big!

I do wonder if the Downs will help intensify these storms as the head northbound, looking at it, they are sort of intensifying. Probably going to be a 5 minute wonder though, anyone further south than me i.e London Gatwick/Croydon way see anything yet? I cannot yet. (City of London)

Sure it's not an aircraft strobe light? lool! The MetOffice Charts are almost accurate. Look at this overlay I just created.

Well the urban affect gives it's more juice, the downs will give it uplifting. Either way they should intensify unless it's a weak front/trough.