Hello All,
Only found about this forum this morning, I went flying in the South-East today, up to 2200ft/2300ft it was fairly stable, anything above that was pretty bumpy.
I've looked at the frontal Charts for tonight, and it show's a trough moving through to be over London at 0000z (0100am (UK LOCAL) - as from someone with more experience explained this to me earlier, that there are going to be ISOL CB's at FL90 (9,000ft) - with about 3000m in +TSRA/+SHRA possible OCNL! It's currently moving at 15 knots, so work out where it will be now if it's over London at 1am! About 30 NM west of London at this current time to be precise.
That weather band moving through must be the TROUGH as the Cold Front moving through only says Isolated Mist and rain/Drizzle! Heathrow is giving off PROB30 TEMPO 2718/2803 VRB18G28KT 5000 TSRA
Which means only a Probability of 30% of TSRA happening, which is quite low!! The midnight TAF is out shortly, so If I am still awake Ill check on it.
PPL Student, with 28hrs +