Robbie Garrett

My CET would be a August Record, not going to happen then seeing as the previous best was 19.2 lool!

haha! Let's see!

20.5 for me!

Interesting, because this country cannot deal with it! Britain grinds to a halt if it hits as bad as this says.

That's a bit more indepth, and sometimes these models never get it right. I've been a victim of poor forecasting - I was sitting in the aircraft at Biggin Hill, forecast (TAF) and current METAR was 'CAVOK' - and this happened https://fbcdn-sphotos-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-snc3/18771_295037488340_735173340_3482434_7168205_n.jpg Let's hope August is a decent scorcher, I spoke to the Metoffice this time last year and they where uncertain weather or not we could break 2003s MAX temp record, it could have happened but the high and lows didn't end up where we needed them, otherwise it would have happened. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/education/teens/casestudy_heatwave.html#p04 I am hoping this can happen. Doubt it though.

Yes I fly Light Aircraft, and whats the Daniel? A sign of winter? Lol

Hello Guys, Quick replies there, and very detailed. I am 18, only basic Met understanding through Aviation Meteorology. (If you would like to call that basic) - it's allowed me to stay alive so far, that's for sure. I've read upon this before, But I am guessing this is something to do with El Nino and La Nina right? As this affects global weather, specifically Europe as it's in the line of fire of the Gulf Jet Stream? The only decent weather I remember was 1997 and 2003, Summer wise. But lets be honest, every year we expect a good forecast we get crap. I remember Winters as Wet and windy, never cold. But of late it's been interestingly cold, can we get a hot/humid winter though??

Explain this to me please? Why does the Metoffice keep chaning it's forecast, first it was supposed to be a mini-heatwave then a washout. Now they are saying some rain but some rather very warmish interludes with fine days. Still unsettled but the chance to see some hot summers days? Could August turn out to be a scorcher then?

Why? Question I have for you guys, I've heard that this Winter (2011-12) could see widespread heavy snowfall once again, for the first part of winter at the very least. This would result in the fourth bad winter in succession for the UK, and should prove to be the worst of them all. Widespread heavy snowfall and well below average temperatures that should see records broken. Why the worst of them all? What's affecting/causing these weired weather patterns that we are having in the UK? I remember night time Thunderstorms, dry modest festive periods, not freezing cold winters. A very very very warm Summer with clear blue sky days, not like we have at the moment. Followed by mist in July?? Regards, R

I have a view of Southwest London from here, and a good view of the Oval. Looks a bit misty/merky out there.

When that falk lightning bolt went off, you could feel something hit you?? - then the bang!

http://www.youtube.com/user/robbiegarrett?feature=mhee#p/a/u/0/nkyLxtrXisQ

As I say again, if it had of gone off yesterday, would we have a Southern England? The CAPE, -LI yesterday was very rare. Supercells, we probably would have got destroyed looking at those stats on post #315 if it had of exploded, and lets just say thank god it didn't, there's a huge population in the South East. < took this whilst carelessly recording, so it didn't get the full falk! But I am rendering/uploading the video of the TS we had near Crystal palace on the hills near Kings College Hospital.

Definitely something out towards the west of London, no precipitation yet. Very Cb like, anyone else see this? EGLL 281520Z 33005KT 300V010 9999 FEW008CB BKN013 18/16 Q101

Cb Cell towards Heathrow from where I am. Looks a bit grey out there.

Well that was just crazy, talk about Thunder & Lightning - it stopped not that long ago in South East London. Was at my Grandparents when it all kicked off, not far from Crystal Palace. Got Some Videos when it came over. The cloud direction was bizzare! One cannot imagine, if this had of kicked off yesterday with all that CAPE, it would have done a lot more than strike Gatwicks ATC Tower, Block of Flats & roof tops. Is that it then? No more for this evening?

WHERE WHERE? LOL!

Nothing for me south of London City (in South East England for a while I guess) EGLL 281150Z 32007KT 270V040 4000 TSRA SCT013 BKN020 17/15 Q1015 TEMPO BKN012 Heathrow looks like once again it is a firing line for Thunderstorms. Bugger all for SE London.

Heathrow now in 7000m in RAIN. Odiham light thunderstorm rain. And Farnborough in thunderstorm rain. It's kicking off west of London even before the Jersey Cell has even made it to the south downs, where in for an Afternoon of some powerfull stuff!

for Heathrow Airport - so anything between 10z (11am) and 16z (1700) we are in for some TSRA - but Heathrow Tower's met forecaster knows something we don't giving it a Probability of 30% - he is after all trained in met.Something forming West of EGLL right now. My Jersey cell from this morning looks very mean indeed, intensifying as it goes over the south downs and then urban affect over London?

For Kent area? Have a look at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/pws/invent/weathermap/ - Click Rainfall, then go through the forecast!

Our Jersey Cell, is throwing out 32mm > according to metoffice and there is more and more cells around it??? Light rain showers and thunderstorm in vicinity for Southampton, Now for the South Downs to do it's work, then your'e have the urban affect and bang over London

Pretty Hazy in London at the moment, very grey!

The Jersey Cell, looks to be de-tensifying as it's crossing the channel! - What sort of up to date radar stuff do you guys use? It seems to be more widespread as it scraped Chebough.

Are these storms reliant on upper winds?? As the surface wind/upper winds would push it North east Towards London. 000-040 magnetic heading - at the direction the wind's flowing.