AutumnMists
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Least it has been remarkably dry in our town all in all over the year compaired to the last few years. Torrential rain was never ending and this year we've still only had a handfull of really wet days, mainly just damp squibbyness
Nobody not even Mr even larger teapot can say for sure what would happen after SSW and PV disruption. Personally, I'm more optimistic of having classic Jan/Feb snowfests, rather than damp warm weather that I thought would be the case in my pre-winter blog. Time will tell.
At least the rain at the moment means Oldham Council don't have to grit the roads on top of their already busy work schedule. (Sarcasm)
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GFS continues to show at least some sort of cold around the first week of the new year.
A bit of week consistency but temperatures each run have certainly been below 6'C, the latest run shows a high of 3'C on the 5th of January.
Anyway, Oldham seems to be magically and mysteriously avoiding the rain; for now; as of Midnight.
I'm sure like always the noise of rain crashing on my skylight windows will wake me up before dawn!
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A similar forecast for Oldham;
Although I do think it is pretty accurate perhaps at the moment, apart from maybe the forecast for Christmas Eve which appears to disagree with the Met office by some 3'C.
I think the rain/snow forecast for the 28th and the 29th is certainly plausible though; especially over the hills.
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I feel the cold but it doesn't really hurt or anything
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Really dull, dreary day here in Oldham, oh of course it's raining slightly too!
If we didn't get snow I'd be quite happy with frost, just not rain - I hate it!
:smiliz23:
Don't think we can ever get a day in Oldham without just one drop of rain! -
Well tomorrow is the shortest day, Thursday will be longer than today!
Doesn't seem long ago since the Summer solstice, although happily we may see a demise of Daylight Savings time next February or whenever it is next year. (Mind, they say that every single year and nothing ever happens!)
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Yeah all melted now
. Well still 2 months of winter yet to go, will be interesting to see if we get another very cold month after the last few winters.I would expect something more like February 2009 or something like that as apposed to December 2011 or January 2010 if we were to get anything.
Oh and just for fun, the famous winter of 1946/1947 saw the heavy snow arrive until way way into January (22nd), so it might not all be bad news
Realistically though as you said still plenty of time for change as we go into the New Year, especially February and even March (or April as 2008 kindly gave us)
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Yeah probably not a lot to talk about until new year, Merry Christmas to you all!
Ah welcome to Netweather another Saddleworth resident, we're taking over I tell ya!
The hills are now green as well now
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Too dismissive - next week is along time in weather terms, would only take a strong deep low to power in off the atlantic again dragging down the cold northwesterlies - very plausible before new year.
Totally agree; I understand what your saying about next week though, possibly a few cold days to ponder about although models have shown some consistency for 26th-31st being around average, some days a touch cooler, some a touch milder. Possibly the odd sweet light dusting I suppose.
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Mehh, and the rain resumes.
Looks like intensifying in the early hours.
Going to the lovely Middle East next week and returning on the 2nd; could I return to a perhaps a short but couple of days of cold?
GFS shows slight bias towards cooler than average conditions within the first week of January
I think if it is anything to go by, we will see a typical '1990's/2000's' type cold snap, with a thin cover lasting a couple of days.
On a more shorter range note, that is now it as far as the below zero temperatures go until at least the New Year, at least for us in the North West anyway
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Its been a horrible day here in Oldham.
Still patchy snow cover, and quite a thick cover on the Pennines
Double figures on Wednesday and Thursday and maybe Friday with nothing wintry all week apart from a possible widespread frost for many Eastern parts of the North West on Friday Night and Christmas Eve
Yes it looks like FI straw clutching now and judging by your member title field, you dont think that a good potent cold spell is odds on in jan or feb either, i am quietly confident of some sort of decent event for us but certainly not shouting from the rooftops yet, the good thing about yesterdays brief but exceptionally heavy spell of snow is it has given me renewed confidence that even if a decent strat event doesnt happen, or happens but blocking not favourable for us, then at least we could see some good PM incursions unlike jan / feb last year when it really was a tame end. In short, im still hopefull of a potent easterly though and will only start to think of giving up if in a months time we still have similar output and the seemingly permanent Met 30 dayer is sssttttiiiillll the same!
Happy Xmas all.
Merry Christmas to you too, fellow Saddleworth resident.
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A simple answer is no we cannot.
Just because it has not happened before does not mean that something will not happen again.
Yes, i suppose so, although three consecutive cold winters has happened before, followed by a mild or average one. This has happened many times, but i don't know, like you said, that was then and this is now.
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Can we trust historical data for weather forecasting?
The concept of another 'cold' or 'below average' winter seems to be talked upon a lot over the last few days, however historical data would appear to go strongly against the concept of a fourth consecutive cold winter in a row. Can we trust historical data? Or can sunspot measures and charts and graphs that we have these days prove it to be wrong?
Don't think we can ever get a day in Oldham without just one drop of rain!
. Well still 2 months of winter yet to go, will be interesting to see if we get another very cold month after the last few winters.
Northern England Regional Discussion Thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Still very mild!
Very pleasant, but also very 'un'festive
Anyway, I'm not going to be naughty this time, lets hope for some sun
Overcast forecast for tomorrow, not rain, a good sign.