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Eskimo

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Everything posted by Eskimo

  1. Eskimo
    I don't think this proves that charts are accurate, I think it may just prove charts can be accurate at times. It would be interesting to see the verification statistics of the NOAA charts, but I suspect they would be fairly low.
  2. Eskimo
    It feels like the excitement this forum went through during the 'that ECM' moment back in 2012 before some mammary glands took a trip on an elevator at the last hurdle. Let's hope not
  3. Eskimo
    All this blocking and we end up with a SW feed
  4. Eskimo
    Slow and steady wins the race...unless of course you're talking about climatology, in which case it might not.
  5. Eskimo
    Other than everything being slightly further south, the GFS at +210h looks remarkably similar to the 06z for our part of the world. Never thought I'd see the day where the GFS becomes...consistent.
  6. Eskimo
    That is one beautiful NH profile. Second image is 2015 when we had that dreadful december.
  7. Eskimo
    Your absolutely correct, that's why I've frequented this place for the better part of 10 years - the difference of opinion is what drives interesting conversation. However, an alternative view, especially as we are predicting the future with no certainty isn't pessimistic, just different, and both views should be respected.
  8. Eskimo
    I don't think its pessimism to see an alernative view, 'dude'. You could be right, Scott. However, so could West is Best. What makes this thread tolerable at the best of times is the tolerance to alternative views.
  9. Eskimo
    Icy rain here. Temp has dropped 2C over the course of the two showers. Now at 3C.
  10. Eskimo
    This isn't true, Example: Boxing Day 2017. Here in Brum, we got about 5-6" of snow.
  11. Eskimo
    Here we go!
  12. Eskimo
    As the feature wraps around tonight, there is a chance of further snowfall across the region as dew points start to fall away. Won't amount to much even if it did settle, but may provide a few flakes for the snow-starved (me!).
  13. Eskimo
    Blimey, that doesn't give us here in Birmingham any hope then!
  14. Eskimo
    That northwesterly airflow seems to be tearing the system apart somewhat - although this was modelled I suppose.
  15. Eskimo
    Snow in Buxton? IMPOSSIBLE!
  16. Eskimo
    Will be rain for those without any meaningful elevation (>300m). Higher dew points are mixing into the system as the air 'moistens' up due to it coming off a relatively warm north sea.
  17. Eskimo
    Latest Arpege out now. I mean...how can a run differ so much when the conditions that it's trying to model are literally happening at this very point.
  18. Eskimo
  19. Eskimo
    It strangely still hasn't got this one right though. Radar shows precips over isel of wight - no sign of that on the Harmonie. Strange.
  20. Eskimo
    Seems like the GFS has caught on as well - band of precip slightly further south by midday tomorrow.
  21. Eskimo
    Taking the ICON into isolation. As Nick alluded to with regards to an apparent westward shift, the pivot was 'supposed' to occur due south of around East Sussex. However the turn seems to be happening around West Sussex. The system seems to be slowing considerably in its easterly movement. More beneficial for those across internal parts of the UK at this stage.
  22. Eskimo
    I'll hold you to that, Nick. Benefits us a lot more here in the Midlands.
  23. Eskimo
    Latest ICON brings the system further southward - likely to affect East Anglia, East Midlands, through to the West Midlands and parts of NW England. EDIT: Starts off further south but ends up in the same position come Friday Evening.
  24. Eskimo
    Harmonie. Please save us.
  25. Eskimo
    A significant shift south from the latest ICON which would suggest a more westward shift. Minimal snow/precips on it but as demonstrated earlier with the radar...ICON underplays precip amounts and intensity.
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