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Everything posted by syed2878
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
syed2878 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sadly, I think this chase is almost at an end. I think uk high is the best we can expect. Maybe something will come later on in January. It is what it is. It’s the weather it will do what it will at least it’s going to be a break from endless wind and rain on that note, I wish you all on this forum and the staff are very happy peaceful and prosperous New Year. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
syed2878 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think there has been a lot of knee jerk reaction here today regarding the SSW I realise the eps backed away somewhat. However I will reserve judgement until EC46 tomorrow. See where we go from there in the mean time the icon model looks quite good for pressure rising up north what’s more a very interesting update from Exeter. I know some well say there are lots of ifs and buts I do believe they have the best tools to observe the strat -
January 2024 CET and E.W.P. forecast contests
syed2878 replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
For January I'm going for temp 6.3C. Rain fall I'm going 40mm I can't see january beeing too cold like some are saying including the met. May i wish all netweather membors and staff a verry happy newyear may 2024 bee a good 1 for all of you and snowy1 for those of us who love the white stuff. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
syed2878 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at today’s zero hours runs from GFS, and to an extent ECMWF. I think we can have 30 maybe 40% confidence in getting something called for next week it certainly ties in with forts from Exeter in the text forecast from yesterday if you read the text. It also says that chances of cold increases later on in December and beginning of Jan 2024 they do, however state that on balance it could remain mild -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
syed2878 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This morning GFS0 hours run is rather impressive at the extended range and I do have little confidence that it could be on the right path it does tie in with Exeter thoughts colder with wintry hazards cannot be ruled out I will be more confident when this synoptic outlook comes in to the range of ECMF. Remember the ECMF only goes out to 240 hours. Where as the GFS goes out to 364 hours, so it’s likely to take out any new trends, whether it’s mild or cold have any of you seen today’s ECMWF 46 days outlook? It would be interesting to see what it showing for Christmas and beyond. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
syed2878 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
An interesting watch from gav's weather vids the 3RD and last moddle roundup for this winter. Here it is. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
syed2878 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
VERRY INTERESTING WATCH THIS THE SECOND SEASONAL MODDEL ROUNDUP FOR WINTER 2023 2024 FROM GAVS WEATHER VIDS A MIX SIGNOEL ME THINKS. HERE IT IS ANYWAY FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO HAVEN'T SEEN IT YET. -
October 2023 C.E.T. and EWP contests
syed2878 replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
WARM AND SOME WHAT WET IS HOW I SEE OCTOBER. I'M GOING FOR 12.5C TEMP. RAIN FALL 85MM. THANK U. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
syed2878 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hi folks intresting video on gavs weather vids with his winter 2023 2024 updates. Just watched his first seasonal model roundup for the upcoming winter. From a cold winter fans view its very interesting. If this hasn't been posted take a look. -
September 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
syed2878 replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think a warm September is on the card. Also a dry one so I’m going for temperature 15.8c precipitation 40mm. Thank you. I hope I’m wrong with my prediction. -
August 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
syed2878 replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
FOR AUGUST MY GUESS IS TEMP 16.9C AND PRECIP 45MM. THANKS. -
July 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
syed2878 replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
F July I'M going 15.4C temp and precip 85MM. thank you.