leicsnow

[color=#282828][font=helvetica, arial, sans-serif][DATE: Max temp, min temp, events][/font][/color] Mar 1; 12.5, 3.7, Fog Mar 2; 12.5, 4.7 Mar 3; 12.0, 6.1, Rain Mar 4; 6.5, 2.7, Rain, Snow Mar 5; 8.3, 1.8 Mar 6; 10.7, -0.6 Mar 7; 9.2, 2.8, Rain Mar 8; 11.0, 1.3 Mar 9; 13.1, 6.2 Mar 10; 13.7, 6.7 Mar 11; 16.2, 6.7 Mar 12; 10.9, 6.1 Mar 13; 10.1, 6.1, Rain Mar 14; 8.3, 4.1 Mar 15; 8.4, 2.0, Fog Mar 16; 9.8, 6.1 Mar 17; 11.9, 6.1, Rain Mar 18; 8.2, 3.5, Rain Mar 19; 10.8, 0.6 Mar 20; 14.0, 4.3 Mar 21; 13.8, 3.7 Mar 22; 14.3, 4.1 Mar 23; 13.3, 7.2, Fog Mar 24; 16.2, 4.3 Mar 25; 16.5, 4.7 Mar 26; 17.9, 3.3 Mar 27; 19.7, 3.7 Mar 28; 20.4, 4.1 Mar 29; 19.7, 4.9 Mar 30; 12.7, 5.8 Mar 31; 10.8, 3.5 Average max: 12.7 Average min: 4.2 Days with rain: 6 Days with wintry precip: 1 Days with snow lying: 0 Days with fog: 3 Days with thunder: 0 Winter index: 2 Overall comment: Very little in the way of rainfall and generally unsettled weather (including wintry showers). Very warm at times, with the sunnier days producing very high maxima, but also quite low minima. Some fog and low cloud suppressing maxima around midmonth, making the Average max lower than it potentially could have been.

8.7

I'd be surprised if Death Valley was a good culprit - don't they have quite low minima considering it's a desert?

This is a strange one, but the amount of... earwigs... I've found in my house recently is weird! Wasps hardly ever come out this early. Even last April in the warmth, when I went down south on holiday at Easter there were none, but plenty of bees! In fact, wasps don't usually get annoying (going in houses) until around late July onward, then they are a menace until October!

Funny how a couple of months ago we were expecting a cool Spring, and the March CET is liable to turn out well above average!

Well yesterday was cloudy over here all day! Sunny today though.

20c - late March 25c - mid-late April 30c - late June 35c - late July 40c - maybe, just maybe... Yes, the first three predictions closely follow 2011. I think it will be similar to last year up until late June, with a warm April, mixed May, wet June with a late hot spell. Then I think that, unlike 2011, we will have further notable hot spells in July and August.

We've finally had a below average month, the first since August. How normal is it to see this many consecutive months without a month with a CET at least 1.0 below average?

I wonder what kind of position we would be in, and I mean particularly the East Midlands and East Anglian parts, if the expected dry spring was followed by a 1976-like summer?

Well today's update says cooler periods possible "particularly in the north and southeast" rather than just the "north". Maybe some signs of wintry weather?

If this continue's, we may be in a difficult predicament this time next year. If we had another summer like 76' we would be in BIG trouble (southern and central england anyway).

[DATE: Max temp, min temp, events] Feb 1: 1.8, -2.9 Feb 2: 1.5, -2.8, Snow Feb 3: 1.4, -5.1 Feb 4: 0.5, -5.7, Snow Feb 5; 2.1, -4.0, Fog Feb 6; 4.3, 1.3, Fog, Rain Feb 7; 2.4, -3.7, Fog Feb 8; 0.6, -4.6 Feb 9; 1.7, -1.4, Rain, Snow Feb 10; 1.6, -2.4, Rain, Snow Feb 11; 0.3, -5.8 Feb 12; 4.3, -0.7, Rain, Fog Feb 13; 6.4, 2.3, Rain Feb 14; 7.5, 2.1, Rain Feb 15; 9.6, 4.5 Feb 16; 9.5, 4.4 Feb 17; 10.5, 6.3, Rain Feb 18; 9.3, 1.5, Rain, Snow Feb 19; 5.4, -0.4 Feb 20; 7.2, 6.0 Feb 21; 10.6, 5.7 Feb 22; 10.7, 6.7, Rain Feb 23; 16.0, 9.9 Feb 24; 13.2, 4.6, Rain Feb 25; 10.2, 2.5 Feb 26; 11.1, 2.4 Feb 27; 11.6, 6.1, Rain Feb 28; 12.2, 9.8 Feb 29; 12.4, 6.2 Average max: 6.8 Average min: 0.9 Days with rain: 11 Days with wintry precip: 5 Days with snow lying: 3 Days with fog: 4 Days with thunder: 0 Winter index: 29 Overall comment: A decent, but often dry and cloudy first eleven days, although including a decent snow event on the 4th. Overall synopsis of month cancelled out by the mild, sometimes exceptionally mild second half.

It is strange that the run of above average months since September look set to continue. Surely the law of averages must change things now.

7.2

So has the record of 19.7 definitely not been broken?

I just looked back on some old threads, from early March 2008 where people mentioned how early easter was that year and suggested looking out for snow. Well what to you know, a white Easter for many it was!

I think the word 'mild' should be used to reference both above average temperatures in winter and below average temperatures in Summer.

Yes, probably wiser to use examples of places in the southwest such as Plymouth, who have overall milder Winters and cooler Summers than many places in the UK. Anyway I heard that Summer is longer than Winter in the Northern Hemisphere because we are closer to the sun in Winter but tilted away from it. Apparently, the reverse applies in the Southern Hemisphere.

With people mentioning how the Meto claim that 4 or 5c above average means "very mild", in Summer it would mean more like "very warm" or "hot". In Summer 4 or 5c below average would be very mild if you get my drift.

I realised Summer was a bit longer than winter, but not by two months?

The Atlantic really does moderate our weather - it disrupts cold spells in winter and hot spells in summer, making them warmer and cooler respectively. If only it could be the other way around, and make cold spells cooler and hot spells warmer!

Although most people on this forum would probably prefer Christmas 2010 (including me)!

Part of James Madden's latest update, http://www.exactaweather.com/UK_Long_Range_Forecast.html Pathetic. In September/October 2011 he stated in almost every newspaper that he expected the coldest part of winter to be November to January, didn't mention anything about February being more exceptional than those months. "This part of my original forecast still actually holds some clear validity." No? It does not hold clear validity now just because you are still forecasting the same thing! Absolutely pathetic. Rant over lol.

But even after around the 24th, some wintry blasts like late Feb/early March 2005 are always nice to experience, wouldn't you say? Even if they aren't deep cold.

I agree. Also, if we went somewhere where we were pretty much guarunteed snow each winter, there wouldn't be any need to chase it. We chase the cold and snowy weather subconsciously, knowing we get very different amounts each year, and ironically moan when we don't get it!