Snowy Easterly
-
Posts
655 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Snowy Easterly
-
-
i really hope the 18z has gone off on one, as the control run shows the high going too far west into the atlantic by thursday, and we know how much high pressure loves to retrogress west in summer but im not ignoring it just because its not what i want to see, FI for me is T120
-
12Z/18Z is a interesting run.
A few wet days possible for the south with the north seeing the best of the warm/hot sunny weather.
Tuesday-
Wednesday-
It's been showing on a few runs now, 25-27.c possible in Northern England, in comparison the south seeing temperatures ranging from 17-22.c under cloud and rain. This only lasting for two days though (Tuesday/Wednesday) with the south seeing the warmest of the temperatures on Monday and Wednesday.
The 500 SLP pressure charts or whatever they are called are really starting to annoy me now, they give a false illusion of nice warm sunny weather, with high pressure, but the chart you posted for next Wednesday shows rain over the south, you wouldn't think it by looking at a chart like this
http://cdn.nwstatic....141/h500slp.png
you have to be wary and check other things like 850's and precipitation in situations like this as it could quite easily fool people, and it fooled me tonight, why can't the weather in our country ever be straight forward
Also even though the ECM looks nice it might not be if cloud filters into the east in FI from a northerly, but again you wouldn't think it as the charts look nice,and it doesn't tell the real story http://cdn.nwstatic..../ecm500.216.png
-
Another vile summer's day, breezy, cool and dull, 15c, disgusting
roll on the weekend, hopefully there will be no last minute downgrades,
-
unbelievable rain here this evening, 25.8mm from 6pm to 9pm, my allotment got flooded, its very rare i see that amount of rain in such a short amount of time here in befford, was this even forecast ? i thought we were supposed to just have normal bog standard showers
-
WOW, GFS is a massive upgrade from the 06z, Tuesday and Wednesday next week show temps of 27-28c in the south, the 06z showed 17c and 18c, the high is further north too, so better for Northern England, lets hope this comes off.
Edit: FI looks cooler but high pressure stays in charge, Deep FI low pressure returns
-
i'm trying to figure out which chart PE will post tonight?! GFS at around T+168?
i'm just jesting, obviously - even that isn't that bad for the south.
Am i officially able to announce that things are going to get "better"? the pressure rise for the weekend and drying out for the south is inside t+144 now....
He's probably looking through the ensembles trying to find charts that show a northerly
not a bad set of runs tonight but i hope those lows don't end up tracking further south, and we end up cloudy
-
thats descriptive, cheers mate
-
i love the darker nights tbh, but for gods sakes i don't hardly take notice of the very slightly shorter days in mid july and im not interested in it getting darker earlier till about end of september, those who are sad enough to count the very slow difference in daylight atm, are just weird, plus those who say they like rain and cold, obviously don't go out much, you try getting soaked to the skin 4 days on the trot like i have, you will soon change your mind then, on the flip side to much heat is not nice, but whats wrong with plenty of sun and 23c ?
-
Whilst everyone's eyes seem fixated on over the horizon, in the near future, there is potential of more flooding. The UKMO 12z precipt charts for 60hrs and 72hrs look really wet for NW England.
quite right, the pressure charts can catch people out if they don't bother looking at the precipitation charts, i mean this chart looks average/mediocre, yet there is actually heavy rain over the north and central areas
-
Hi SE,
In fairness that height build in the image that you link is only a transient ridge-if you follow the next few frames you can see that it moves eastwards in the general westerly flow.
Anyway let`s not attack other members it does the thread no service.
So let`s keep discussion friendly-it`s only weather charts.
Yes thats true, but many a time a Greenland high has built out of nowhere, it doesn't mean it will happen again though, and we will most likely return to some sort of westerly spell, after a few days of high pressure, its a shame that the high can't stick over us for weeks and weeks like it does everywhere else
-
this thread has been taken over by the coldies, they are getting a bit too carried away, about the days getting shorter and temps dropping etc, its the middle of summer there is plenty of time to go until the days are very short and winter arrives, its like heat fans getting excited about summer in january
-
Sometimes I wonder if you look at totally different charts from me, I can't see the Greenland High at all on the GFS, could you elaborate? Seems to be any excuse to be negative, let's just be happy about the huge improvements from two weeks ago.
Well its deep FI so it probably won't be there the next run, but heights do want to build in the atlantic and the high over us doesn't last long about a week, people always seem to think that when high pressure builds over us it will stay there for weeks and weeks, when in reality hot weather in this country only lasts for a few days
http://modeles.meteo...fs-0-324.png?12
if im negative you are most certainly biased to hot weather, like your name suggests, anyway its not about being positive or negative its what the charts actually show. and on yesterday's run there was a band of heavy rain clearly over central areas for next sunday on the GFS and you said high pressure was over us
-
GFS looks good from next weekend onwards with the high having more control over us and the lows staying further north but it only lasts a few days before the GFS has its default Greenland high/mid Atalnitic ridge and its back to cool wet rubbish again
-
I feel for you - it's been a terrible year for gardening and much much worse if you're livelihood depends on it.
For me it's just a hobby but the first year I've really got 'serious' about it - what a year I picked!
Fingers crossed we can get a decent August and September to ripen off what crops have made it. For some crops the remaining growing season is now too short even if the weather does pick up - just have to chalk it up to experience and hope next year is better - well surely it can't be any worse!
yep, its just a hobby for me too, and i am getting frustrated not seeing anything grow, my tomatoes plants are quite big but they hardly even have any flowers on them, we need a hot August, September and hope there are no frosts in October if i am to get to any Toms, but as you said there isn't much time left, my beans are slow too but i think they will be ready in a few weeks, it really has been a poor year, weatherwise and crop wise
-
ECM deep FI looks good, where have we seen that before, but before that we have yet another low for next weekend, lets hope those lows in deep FI stay away to our north this time
-
I take it you're referring to GFS? I can't see any evidence of this on ECM and even GFS doesn't have the lows crashing through us, rather slightly to our north. Pressure stays above 1015mb for the south of England and Wales right the way through after Friday, so it's certainly different from what we've experienced of late.
the rain crosses central areas next sunday, there has definitely been a shift south of the high pressure on todays run's but who knows its still FI
i am afraid its a case of people seeing those red colours on the pressure charts and assuming warm sunshine
http://modeles.meteo...fs-2-192.png?12
http://modeles.meteo...fs-0-186.png?12
UKMO has a new area of high pressure trying to build come Friday
you seem to always follow what the experts say,
today is a step in the wrong direction IMO
-
here we go again the high pressure in FI will get shunted south by these lows crashing through us, i thought that would happen, the high builds back in later FI but i wouldn't bet against another low popping up
-
just 14c here and cloudy today plenty of rain last night, up to 73mm for the month here so far, and according to weatheronline my area has been the wettest in the country over the past 72hours, its normally quite dry here
-
What makes you think that? Is this from your misguided and deluded memories of last winter?
Im not deluded about last winter, it was mild here and in many other places, as i told you before we had blossom out in January, it was cold for about a week in feb and that was it, and this is coming from someone who thinks this July hasn't been wet, you seem a generally moody poster tbh
of course its just a guess about the upcoming winter, but i believe in the law of averages, and this northern blocking can't last a whole year, or can it ? patterns seem to last for months nowadays
-
raining again and it might last all night, some crops are hanging on and tonight's rain might just finish them off,
awful weather
-
for the third day in a row i got soaked, showers usually miss Bedford but not this year it seems, enough is enough now, and i see next weeks brief settled snap is getting shorter and shorter, what a shock
-
More high pressure tonight from GFS in FI for the 2nd time today, temperatures not as high as this morning but 25c is possible
We are due a settled spell now we've had enough rain this summer now
FI looks nice but i bet the high pressure gets shunted south again, and the Atlantic crashes through us,
-
the rain has really been coming down for hours, my poor crops at the allotment are dying, some have already died, im sick to the back teeth of this rain now, i don't even want any thunderstorms or convective showers etc, just some nice warm sunshine, that might happen next week but surprise surprise it only lasts for a couple of days then its back to this cool, wet crap again.
if we had a week of wall to wall sunshine, which is very rare anyway, some people would get bored of the lack of variety, well i don't care what they think, a week is nothing compared to months of cool, cloudy and wet rubbish that we have had this spring and summer so far
-
only another seven weeks till we get a big fat euro high sitting over us which will stick around till next spring
The Midlands Regional Discussion
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Snowy Easterly
again another dull, cool day, a high of 14.7c, though at least we have avoided the heavy showers today as they are in the south east