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Posts posted by syncmaster
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18z Nae high-res just rolling out now, first frame spot on with current radar, await the rest with anticipation
via relative heavy rain just hit west cornwall we have lift off..
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I just ran the animation on my NW extra radar and it is moving north gradually.
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@snowrules use the NW free radar go to home page click radar tab at top of page
Light snow just started just few mile north of scunny
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snowing modertately now out in the sticks 5 mile north of scunny..
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Just stopped 4hrs 20 mins good coverage, round 2 please
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just south of the humber been going now for 2.5hrs still in the centre of it according to radar now
easing down, i feel the front is slowed down and satrting to pivot thoughts anybody!! oh bout 5cm
measured on fence.
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I do get the feeling after watching the Radar for while this front is starting to slow down its progression..
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snow just started, between scunny and the humber Temp -1c Dp -1c light but steady.
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Well after a long wait im pleased to announce the birth of our first snow shower phew,,,,,
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This is the NAE high resolution prec model for midday tomorrow update due out soon
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Our dew points in north lincs are at 1c needs to go to 0 to snow been stuck there for hours now not looking good for tonite
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Off topic in the regionals but ukmo 120h friday as just thrown up a major blizzard for everyone got the MOD thread doin cartwheels
will it still be ther tomozz,,,,
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Interesting finger of snow showers coming off the north sea and heading southwest should be passing right over you grimsby snow lover any time soon..
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Yes we are well within the -8hpa boundery which is some where 20mile the outher side of bradford the -10 is only about 60/70 off the coast !!! all looking very good but
i have noticed this first band is afew hours earlier than was predicted goin by the radar but its so slow moving like wtching paint dry lol,,,at this rate the second one will catch
it up pretty quick.
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south yorkshire is covered by the -8 hpa uppers dp 0c and 2mt temps of 3/4c but i would guess 2 bein nearer the mark.
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Just put the overlay on the nw radar and we are somewhere between -1/-2 dp and well within the -8 hpa temps !!
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Got to say it but this morning the standard of posts by one or two members and ganging up on another member !! as sank to an all time low frosty as
put is thoughts down and that is is beliefs he as answered your questions and that should be that and some of the one liners on here does nothing in
a million years to add to this thread !! please go back to page 1 and read what paul sees as acceptible to write to the thread (Sorry mods this is one time
when somthing as to be said please delete as requirerd)
Dave
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Genuine question it is always been led to believe that as soon as models go to lo-res part of the run ie GFS they default to a zonal chuck out anything type of situation, my question here
is why when thats the case do people take it as gospel thats how its goin to carry on seems all of a sudden we have a double standard goin on!!!! now if the models cant get to grips properly
with a few days ahead why assume they re correct in FI its got to be very confusing for new people taking up this hobby when u have members touting things that are impossible to backup
now i have no preference to what happens personally but i like realism as i say if the models struggle at shortrange how can u expect them to have a clue at 10 days plus.. yet some people
seem to think they KNOW..
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I tend to think with the polar vortex moving across to siberia, the models were always goin to struggle
pinning anything down to a degree, and maybe thats what caused the Ensemble to be so wrong
Im guessing from purely a Newbie pov and gut feeling that now this process is in motion the models
will be more inclined to settle down now!! Trending towards the colder options date wise seems to coincide
with the pvs move to its new residence. probably talkin load of bull but just my thoughts today.
Dave
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Severe frost this morning -2c at 8am and fog, Black ice in residents as i found out coming back out of scunny earlier didnt quite make the exit on a roundabout that i wanted luckily
quiet on the ind estate 15mph and completely helpless !!!!
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I think if we were all truthfull this was never gonna happen like it was shown a few days ago, dont get me wrong I love snow as much as anybody bein a retired (skier)I tend to think looking at things now come mid month get this little glitch out the way things will turn around and the high pressure will feed back west as GP and others have predicted. This never was goin to be a easy transformation with the vortex moving across to siberia, and the models have come up with the best predictions that they could come up with, thats not sayin they have got it correct but even computer programs have limits Im very optimistic for later in december into the new year which really would be more realistic and tie in better with stratepheric conditions not really a moan or a ramp but somewhere a bit more conducive to the longer range pattern which as been shown for some time..
Dave..
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Great thread love it,, please please dont punish us in lincolnshire this winter for stealing all the Thunder storms during the summer. we are sorry
send us lots of snow and -temps to teach us a lesson lol,,, BRING IT ON SNOW GODS.......
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that just came out of nothing really,,,Storm just blew up out of nowhere over Hull
Yorkshire & Lincolnshire Regional Discussion 15/01/13 18z------>
in Regional
Posted
Main front catching the other up!! 150 miles between them. maybe a little less