Convective
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Posts posted by Convective
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26 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
Looks like there could be more heading your way from N Wales.
Stood in the bedroom window watching distant lightning from it. Can just about hear thunder now.
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Just home now from chasing that incredible storm (didn’t have to go far!)
Lightning every 1-2 seconds at its strongest point. Will share a photo tomorrow that I took looking across the bay.
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I’ve seen some good cloudscapes before but this is by far the best. Ready to go boom.
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Out in the open now to see what’s going on. Looking full of potential at the moment.
Some signs of rotation within the updrafts too.
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Convection going up nicely to the west (of all places!)
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Big towers to my south. Massive height on the clouds...
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First bits of mid-level cloud showing up recently around West Dorset area now. One to watch for sure.
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One more for good measure. Deeper convection now to the west.
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Somewhere is going to get a storm tonight. If not these parts, north of here should get something. Things destabilising quickly now. These photos taken over the last 15 minutes:
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More AcCas popping up here now with some towers in the distance. Not sure if they’re visible in the middle photo.
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Great day here. 21 degrees and a few ribbons of AcCas at 2,500ft.
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What’s with the seemingly constant competition as to who can call any convective event a ‘bust’ the soonest? Gets quite tiring to be honest.
With the majority of instability being non-surface-based, there is no reason to start calling today a ‘bust’ anytime soon. Storms can still initiate all through this evening and overnight so there is really no need for the constant comments about this being a non-event etc...
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2 minutes ago, Zak M said:
Cell developed out of nowhere near the IOW
Fast development. Looks to be forming along a convergence line so expect more.
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58 minutes ago, Ryukai said:
Personally, I have my fingers crossed that the blob of rain in the Irish Sea (that has just passed over the Isle of Man) keeps trundling onwards. The direction it's traveling means it'll come straight down the Cheshire gap and hit us here head on. Gardens looking very 'wilty' now, could do with a good downpour.
Precipitation was actually fairly heavy as it passed over. Didn’t take long to give things a good soaking.
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5 hours ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:
Anyone know what the MUCAPE possibility is for the SE corner on Wednesday night? Looks like a heavy area of rain moving SEwards into the region over the night hours and usually this is a good track for us (if there’s any storm potential)
NMM modelling 100-300j/kg surface-based whereas GFS having none of it.
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37 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:
I assume for you that would be this lot
I saw and heard that from here.
Seen three stunning CGs into the sea here in the last hour and very deep thunder from them.
Can see lots of virga to the northeast of here now with the orange sunrise sky peaking through.
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7 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
It looked good from the reliable so we are getting there.
Like the look of the secondary low over Iberia. Could prolong the driving of the southerly airflow, although that is well into the depths of FI!
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4 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
*No comment*
well just one,Stunning
What follows is absolute storm porn!
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GFS 18Z once again turning into the stormchaser’s dream.
Hopefully these are all signs it’s onto something longer term and not constantly standing as an outlier like it is currently!
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The 06Z GFS provides the goods.
Plumetastic!
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Liftoff in Wales!
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Nice sky here now.
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First sferic detected west of the Channel Islands.
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On 20/07/2019 at 17:06, Mapantz said:
UKV, strangely, shows it all dying out as it leaves the Midlands. I expect it'll all go up through the Irish sea and give @Convective a good seeing to.
1 hour ago, Met4Cast said:Based on current guidance..
Storms initiating across South-West England giving torrential rain, thunder, lightning etc but as the storms move north they're likely to become increasingly elevated, moderate shear with the theta-ew plume destabalising further the highest risk of severe storms/MCS/possible tornadic activity looks to be across N Wales, NW Eng and up into E Scotland later in the night.
Green area covers for likely eastwards expansion of the storms, less likely to have severe characteristics but torrential rain, gusty winds and semi-frequent lightning still a possibility.
Looks like we’re still on for something good around these parts. Keeping a close eye on the charts but certainly promising at this range.
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Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Can hear thunder from here now coming from the cells in the Irish Sea.
Very deep sounding thunder. Quite scary!